Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $66.0700 (0.62%) ($65.7000 - $66.3000) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.59% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $66.0700(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.295% (StdDev 0.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.51(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.28(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.4(2.59%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 0.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.35%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(36%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.48%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2006	60.81	64.4	65.28	65.51	65.43	65.76	66.07(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	30	50	135	0.03	80%	0.08	75.4	0.59%	0	1.5	84	0
2	Nov_21_2006	60.76	64.22	65.12	65.39	65.26	65.34	65.66(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	0	27	136	0.03	79%	0.12	75.1	0.6%	0	1.2	84	0
3	Nov_20_2006	60.69	64.03	65.01	65.31	65.2	65.1	65.32(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	36	-20	0	143	0.03	79%	0.12	73	0.59%	0	1.1	83	0
4	Nov_17_2006	60.62	63.86	64.9	65.22	65.17	65.17	65.24(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	32	-0	-9	155	0.01	79%	0.12	71.7	0.6%	0	1.1	85	0
5	Nov_16_2006	60.55	63.7	64.73	65.18	65.16	65.31	65.26(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	20	25	183	0.02	79%	0.15	70.8	0.6%	0	1.3	86	0

6	Nov_15_2006	60.46	63.54	64.55	64.99	65.09	65.17	65.48(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	10	33	188	0.05	82%	0.17	66	0.59%	0	1.6	88	0
7	Nov_14_2006	60.36	63.34	64.32	64.82	64.89	65.01	65.24(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	16	165	0.03	82%	0.13	62.8	0.65%	0	1.6	88	0
8	Nov_13_2006	60.28	63.15	64.11	64.67	64.72	65	64.88(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	30	31	183	0.02	82%	0.15	62.6	0.64%	0	1.5	90	0
9	Nov_10_2006	60.19	63	63.88	64.53	64.61	64.76	65.02(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	20	51	187	0.01	82%	0.15	63.5	0.66%	0	1.9	88	0
10	Nov_9_2006	60.1	62.84	63.63	64.22	64.34	64.44	64.34(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	20	162	0.02	81%	0.13	66.7	0.65%	0	1.6	85	0

11	Nov_8_2006	60.02	62.74	63.46	64.02	64.08	64.46	64.6(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	40	43	166	0.04	81%	0.15	67.6	0.65%	0	2	86	0
12	Nov_7_2006	59.93	62.6	63.23	63.74	63.8	64.25	64.52(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	50	70	169	0.06	81%	0.17	67.4	0.65%	0	2.4	89	0
13	Nov_6_2006	59.83	62.45	62.96	63.46	63.5	63.7	64.16(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	77	20	54	145	0.02	81%	0.13	70.5	0.65%	0	2.4	84	0
14	Nov_3_2006	59.75	62.32	62.73	63.14	63.28	63.34	63.46(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	10	22	110	0.16	79%	0.13	70.7	0.65%	0	1.8	73	0
15	Nov_2_2006	59.67	62.21	62.58	62.96	63.06	63.3	63.38(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	30	21	96	0.04	79%	0.15	72.2	0.65%	0	2.1	68	0

16	Nov_1_2006	59.58	62.13	62.45	62.8	62.9	63.22	63.18(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	40	48	92	0.01	79%	0.15	79.7	0.65%	0	2.1	59	0
17	Oct_31_2006	59.49	62.06	62.28	62.64	62.72	62.81	63.1(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	10	41	71	0.01	79%	0.13	89.2	0.65%	0	2.3	63	0
18	Oct_30_2006	59.41	61.96	62.13	62.38	62.49	62.58	62.58(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	12	36	0.01	77%	0.1	87	0.65%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Oct_27_2006	59.35	61.89	62.05	62.26	62.29	62.62	62.54(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	40	33	37	0.01	80%	0.1	76.7	0.67%	0	1.4	62	0
20	Oct_26_2006	59.29	61.81	62	62.15	62.05	62.39	62.6(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	30	44	44	0.03	80%	0.1	77.5	0.67%	0	1.8	68	0

21	Oct_25_2006	59.23	61.74	61.96	62.05	61.91	61.95	62.4(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-0	29	38	0.01	80%	0.07	72	0.68%	0	1.4	56	0
22	Oct_24_2006	59.19	61.65	61.92	61.86	61.86	61.71	61.8(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-20	-8	9	0	81%	0.05	59	0.68%	0	0.3	48	0
23	Oct_23_2006	59.16	61.6	61.91	61.82	61.82	61.86	61.96(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-4	0	-9	12	0.02	81%	0.05	63	0.69%	0	0.7	59	0
24	Oct_20_2006	59.13	61.54	61.88	61.8	61.77	62.02	61.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	18	30	0.01	81%	0.05	61.4	0.69%	0	0.8	62	0
25	Oct_19_2006	59.1	61.47	61.81	61.82	61.74	61.78	62.12(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	0	17	35	0.02	84%		64.8	0.69%	0	1.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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