Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 16, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $65.2600 (-0.34%) ($65.1200 - $65.4600) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $65.2600(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.18(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.73(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.7(2.45%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.39%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.81%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.95%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2006	60.55	63.7	64.73	65.18	65.16	65.31	65.26(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	20	25	183	0.02	79%	0.15	70.8	0.6%	0	1.3	86	0
2	Nov_15_2006	60.46	63.54	64.55	64.99	65.09	65.17	65.48(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	10	33	188	0.05	82%	0.17	66	0.59%	0	1.6	88	0
3	Nov_14_2006	60.36	63.34	64.32	64.82	64.89	65.01	65.24(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	16	165	0.03	82%	0.13	62.8	0.65%	0	1.6	88	0
4	Nov_13_2006	60.28	63.15	64.11	64.67	64.72	65	64.88(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	30	31	183	0.02	82%	0.15	62.6	0.64%	0	1.5	90	0
5	Nov_10_2006	60.19	63	63.88	64.53	64.61	64.76	65.02(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	20	51	187	0.01	82%	0.15	63.5	0.66%	0	1.9	88	0

6	Nov_9_2006	60.1	62.84	63.63	64.22	64.34	64.44	64.34(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	20	162	0.02	81%	0.13	66.7	0.65%	0	1.6	85	0
7	Nov_8_2006	60.02	62.74	63.46	64.02	64.08	64.46	64.6(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	40	43	166	0.04	81%	0.15	67.6	0.65%	0	2	86	0
8	Nov_7_2006	59.93	62.6	63.23	63.74	63.8	64.25	64.52(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	95	50	70	169	0.06	81%	0.17	67.4	0.65%	0	2.4	89	0
9	Nov_6_2006	59.83	62.45	62.96	63.46	63.5	63.7	64.16(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	77	20	54	145	0.02	81%	0.13	70.5	0.65%	0	2.4	84	0
10	Nov_3_2006	59.75	62.32	62.73	63.14	63.28	63.34	63.46(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	10	22	110	0.16	79%	0.13	70.7	0.65%	0	1.8	73	0

11	Nov_2_2006	59.67	62.21	62.58	62.96	63.06	63.3	63.38(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	30	21	96	0.04	79%	0.15	72.2	0.65%	0	2.1	68	0
12	Nov_1_2006	59.58	62.13	62.45	62.8	62.9	63.22	63.18(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	40	48	92	0.01	79%	0.15	79.7	0.65%	0	2.1	59	0
13	Oct_31_2006	59.49	62.06	62.28	62.64	62.72	62.81	63.1(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	10	41	71	0.01	79%	0.13	89.2	0.65%	0	2.3	63	0
14	Oct_30_2006	59.41	61.96	62.13	62.38	62.49	62.58	62.58(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	20	12	36	0.01	77%	0.1	87	0.65%	0	1.4	62	0
15	Oct_27_2006	59.35	61.89	62.05	62.26	62.29	62.62	62.54(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	40	33	37	0.01	80%	0.1	76.7	0.67%	0	1.4	62	0

16	Oct_26_2006	59.29	61.81	62	62.15	62.05	62.39	62.6(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	30	44	44	0.03	80%	0.1	77.5	0.67%	0	1.8	68	0
17	Oct_25_2006	59.23	61.74	61.96	62.05	61.91	61.95	62.4(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-0	29	38	0.01	80%	0.07	72	0.68%	0	1.4	56	0
18	Oct_24_2006	59.19	61.65	61.92	61.86	61.86	61.71	61.8(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-20	-8	9	0	81%	0.05	59	0.68%	0	0.3	48	0
19	Oct_23_2006	59.16	61.6	61.91	61.82	61.82	61.86	61.96(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-4	0	-9	12	0.02	81%	0.05	63	0.69%	0	0.7	59	0
20	Oct_20_2006	59.13	61.54	61.88	61.8	61.77	62.02	61.98(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	18	30	0.01	81%	0.05	61.4	0.69%	0	0.8	62	0

21	Oct_19_2006	59.1	61.47	61.81	61.82	61.77	61.78	62.12(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	0	17	35	0.02	84%	0.07	64.8	0.69%	0	1.2	64	0
22	Oct_18_2006	59.06	61.4	61.78	61.87	61.74	61.52	61.46(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-30	-24	28	0.02	83%	0.08	67	0.75%	0	0.1	55	0
23	Oct_17_2006	59.01	61.37	61.83	61.98	61.9	61.71	61.6(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-30	-21	52	0.06	75%	0.03	61.2	0.75%	0	0.4	63	0
24	Oct_16_2006	58.99	61.29	61.8	62	61.99	61.96	61.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-0	-2	69	0.01	75%	0.08	53.8	0.77%	0	0.9	67	0
25	Oct_13_2006	58.94	61.21	61.72	61.96	61.89	62.08	62.06(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	14	76	0.01	68%		50.9	0.78%	0	1.3	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.