Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $62.1200 (1.07%) ($61.7400 - $62.2000) on Thu. Oct. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $62.1200(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(12%)    LQD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.82(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.81(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.47(1.06%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.31%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2006	59.1	61.47	61.81	61.82		61.78	62.12(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	0	17	35	0.02	84%	0.07	64.8	0.69%	0	1.2	64	0
2	Oct_18_2006	59.06	61.4	61.78	61.87	61.74	61.52	61.46(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-11	-30	-24	28	0.02	83%	0.08	67	0.75%	0	0.1	55	0
3	Oct_17_2006	59.01	61.37	61.83	61.98	61.9	61.71	61.6(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-30	-21	52	0.06	75%	0.03	61.2	0.75%	0	0.4	63	0
4	Oct_16_2006	58.99	61.29	61.8	62	61.99	61.96	61.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-0	-2	69	0.01	75%	0.08	53.8	0.77%	0	0.9	67	0
5	Oct_13_2006	58.94	61.21	61.72	61.96	61.89	62.08	62.06(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	14	76	0.01	68%	0.07	50.9	0.78%	0	1.3	65	0

6	Oct_12_2006	58.9	61.13	61.62	61.8	61.77	62.03	62.36(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	30	34	77	0.01	62%	0.1	45.6	0.8%	0	2	72	0
7	Oct_11_2006	58.84	61.04	61.49	61.68	61.54	61.7	62(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	13	64	0.08	62%	0.09	50	0.82%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Oct_10_2006	58.79	60.98	61.36	61.67	61.52	61.51	61.74(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10	11	64	0.03	62%	0.09	54.8	0.82%	0	1.5	63	0
9	Oct_9_2006	58.74	60.94	61.25	61.57	61.53	61.38	61.66(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-20	-1	63	0.08	62%	0.07	46.3	0.82%	0	1.5	70	0
10	Oct_6_2006	58.7	60.88	61.17	61.44	61.43	61.54	61.22(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	10	-5	58	0.04	62%	0.07	31.6	0.83%	0	0.7	59	0

11	Oct_5_2006	58.66	60.84	61.1	61.39	61.4	61.68	61.8(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	30	34	75	0.02	61%	0.07	20.8	0.82%	0	2	66	0
12	Oct_4_2006	58.62	60.76	61	61.26	61.2	61.32	61.92(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	10	25	62	0.02	61%	0.05	2.9	0.84%	0	2.8	59	0
13	Oct_3_2006	58.59	60.7	60.86	61.02	61.08	61.12	61.26(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	10	11	39	0.03	59%	0.03	-15.6	0.84%	0	1.4	53	0
14	Oct_2_2006	58.57	60.71	60.73	60.89	60.99	61.07	61.02(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	10	9	19	0.03	59%	0.02	-11.1	0.84%	0	0.8	50	0
15	Sep_29_2006	58.56	60.73	60.66	60.85	60.84	61.04	60.96(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	20	16	19	0.01	65%	0.02	0	0.84%	0	0.5	55	0

16	Sep_28_2006	58.55	60.73	60.6	60.76	60.73	60.9	61.16(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	20	19	11	0.01	65%	0	1.4	0.94%	0	1	57	0
17	Sep_27_2006	58.55	60.75	60.55	60.69	60.64	60.64	60.69(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-0	3	6	0.02	61%	0	13.9	0.94%	0	-0.1	56	0
18	Sep_26_2006	58.55	60.76	60.57	60.68	60.7	60.55	60.6(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-20	1	5	0.01	61%	0	22.2	0.96%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Sep_25_2006	58.55	60.75	60.6	60.53	60.67	60.64	60.86(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-5	0	-3	-12	0.02	61%	0.02	12.2	0.96%	0	0.2	40	0
20	Sep_22_2006	58.54	60.75	60.6	60.44	60.54	60.84	60.5(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	40	12	-21	0.25	61%	0.02	6.8	0.96%	0	-0.5	39	0

21	Sep_21_2006	58.53	60.74	60.56	60.44	60.45	60.7	60.8(0.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	16	30	29	-25	0.02	64%	0.03	6.8	0.96%	0	0.1	45	0
22	Sep_20_2006	58.51	60.69	60.51	60.4	60.3	60.24	60.66(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10	-1	-45	0.02	64%	0.03	1.2	0.99%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Sep_19_2006	58.49	60.67	60.52	60.45	60.35	60.2	59.84(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-28	-20	-20	-53	0.02	62%	0.02	5.8	0.98%	0	-1.6	38	0
24	Sep_18_2006	58.48	60.7	60.71	60.67	60.51	60.35	60.4(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-30	-11	-27	0.03	62%	0.03	34.6	0.97%	0	-0.6	52	0
25	Sep_15_2006	58.46	60.71	60.82	60.69	60.6	60.5	60.3(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-20	-10	-16	0.02	66%		54.3	0.98%	0	-0.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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