Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 8, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $56.4000 (-1.84%) ($55.6000 - $56.6200) on Thu. Jun. 8, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $56.4000(-1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $58.03
5 Day Moving Average   $57.96(-2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.86(-2.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.03(-2.81%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2006	56.17	58.03	57.86	57.96	57.81	57.04	56.4(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-60	-100	-81	4	0.08	49%	0.07	-47.6	1.03%	0	-1.5	46	NAN
2	Jun_7_2006	56.13	58.25	57.93	58.4	58.57	57.95	57.46(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-70	-38	43	0.17	50%	0.07	-27.2	1.01%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
3	Jun_6_2006	56.09	58.4	57.88	58.53	58.66	58.58	57.94(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-10	-0	-24	33	0.18	50%	0.04	-17.5	1.01%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
4	Jun_5_2006	56.07	58.5	57.82	58.36	58.65	59.18	58.62(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	80	40	32	0.44	52%	0.09	-15.3	1%	0	0.1	45	NAN
5	Jun_2_2006	56.02	58.57	57.72	58.16	58.27	58.74	59.4(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	60	57	7	0.05	54%	0.13	-14.8	0.99%	0	0.6	43	NAN

6	Jun_1_2006	55.95	58.56	57.5	57.77	57.87	58.12	58.6(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	40	35	-58	0.1	52%	0.09	-20.3	0.97%	0	0	34	NAN
7	May_31_2006	55.9	58.58	57.37	57.42	57.68	57.8	58.1(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	30	27	-113	0.02	52%	0.09	-25.8	0.99%	0	-0.3	30	NAN
8	May_30_2006	55.85	58.63	57.47	57.15	57.38	57.63	57.08(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	40	7	-154	0.01	49%	0.11	-27.7	0.97%	0	-1.1	23	NAN
9	May_26_2006	55.79	58.71	57.66	57.19	57.22	57.56	57.64(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	40	23	-161	0.03	49%	0.09	-27.1	0.95%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
10	May_25_2006	55.74	58.78	57.87	57.21	57.18	57.13	57.42(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10	12	-166	0.01	49%	0.07	-22.9	0.96%	0	-1.1	30	NAN

11	May_24_2006	55.7	58.84	58.17	57.2	57.24	56.88	56.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-40	-28	-175	0.03	47%	0.07	-19.9	0.96%	0	-1.6	33	NAN
12	May_23_2006	55.66	58.94	58.57	57.32	57.41	57.24	56.78(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-20	-49	-161	0.05	47%	0.02	-14	0.96%	0	-1.8	38	NAN
13	May_22_2006	55.65	59.01	58.96	57.83	57.77	57.61	57.26(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-20	-25	-111	0.03	47%	0.11	2.2	0.95%	0	-1.6	39	NAN
14	May_19_2006	55.59	59.06	59.26	58.21	58.19	57.58	57.74(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-70	-48	-85	0.01	47%	0.11	21.3	0.94%	0	-1.2	48	NAN
15	May_18_2006	55.53	59.07	59.51	58.65	58.62	57.93	57.38(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-83	-80	-89	-64	0.04	47%	0.13	40.9	0.95%	0	-1.5	43	NAN

16	May_17_2006	55.46	59.09	59.74	59.3	59.27	58.8	57.44(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-60	-70	-10	0.07	47%	0.11	66.7	0.95%	0	-1.5	45	NAN
17	May_16_2006	55.4	59.1	59.74	59.99	59.88	59.31	59.34(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-24	-70	-49	52	0.01	54%	0.07	88.2	0.86%	0	0.2	61	NAN
18	May_15_2006	55.36	58.99	59.92	60.26	60.26	59.75	59.16(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-60	-59	81	0.04	54%	0.14	84.8	0.86%	0	0.1	64	NAN
19	May_12_2006	55.28	58.84	59.88	60.45	60.57	60.45	59.94(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10	-20	118	0.04	59%	0.14	87.3	0.86%	0	0.8	72	NAN
20	May_11_2006	55.2	58.63	59.77	60.48	60.56	60.78	60.64(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	30	23	155	0.02	61%	0.16	75.6	0.85%	0	1.3	83	NAN

21	May_10_2006	55.11	58.37	59.57	60.24	60.35	60.68	60.88(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	78	40	49	166	0.01	61%	0.16	62.9	0.85%	0	1.6	88	NAN
22	May_9_2006	55.02	58.1	59.32	59.85	59.98	60.33	60.69(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	50	43	151	0.01	61%	0.15	53.6	0.86%	0	1.7	87	NAN
23	May_8_2006	54.94	57.89	59.04	59.55	59.59	60.03	60.12(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	50	45	148	0.01	60%	0.16	52.6	0.85%	0	1.5	88	NAN
24	May_5_2006	54.85	57.68	58.82	59.22	59.35	59.63	60.08(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	40	48	152	0.03	61%	0.15	50.2	0.86%	0	1.7	90	NAN
25	May_4_2006	54.77	57.52	58.57	58.96	59.06	59.15	59.42(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	20	17	148	0.01	60%		53	0.86%	0	1.5	90	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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