Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $56.5000 (-0.7%) ($56.5000 - $56.8800) on Tue. Mar. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $56.5000(-0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.74(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.97(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.33(2.11%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2006	52.61	55.33	55.97	56.74	56.85	56.82	56.5(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	0	-2	128	0.03	62%	0.15	75.6	0.98%	0	1.2	70	NAN
2	Mar_20_2006	52.53	55.23	55.73	56.7	56.79	56.93	56.9(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	19	132	0.02	62%	0.15	84.5	0.98%	0	1.8	77	NAN
3	Mar_17_2006	52.45	55.1	55.51	56.43	56.54	56.89	56.94(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	59	50	38	121	0.03	62%	0.17	86.7	0.98%	0	2.1	66	NAN
4	Mar_16_2006	52.36	54.95	55.26	56.03	56.17	56.66	56.92(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	70	60	104	0.04	62%	0.15	83.1	0.98%	0	2.5	67	NAN
5	Mar_15_2006	52.28	54.77	55.01	55.5	55.63	56.18	56.46(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	60	80	57	69	0.05	62%	0.13	71.1	0.98%	0	2.4	66	NAN

6	Mar_14_2006	52.21	54.62	54.81	55.07	55.12	55.69	56.3(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	57	80	62	43	0.05	62%	0.13	67	0.99%	0	2.8	62	NAN
7	Mar_13_2006	52.14	54.46	54.62	54.62	54.63	55.08	55.54(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	35	60	44	7	0	60%	0.13	46.7	0.98%	0	1.9	59	NAN
8	Mar_10_2006	52.07	54.36	54.56	54.45	54.28	54.56	54.92(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	14	30	21	-6	0.01	61%	0.13	43.6	0.98%	0	1	58	NAN
9	Mar_9_2006	52	54.3	54.55	54.39	54.29	54.18	54.28(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	-20	7	-6	0.03	59%	0.1	46.5	0.98%	0	-0	57	NAN
10	Mar_8_2006	51.95	54.27	54.6	54.44	54.31	54	54.32(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-50	-26	-3	0.01	59%	0.12	43.7	0.98%	0	0.1	64	NAN

11	Mar_7_2006	51.89	54.22	54.65	54.51	54.41	54.39	54.04(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10	-18	17	0.01	57%	0.08	38.1	0.98%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
12	Mar_6_2006	51.85	54.2	54.72	54.6	54.54	54.61	54.7(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	7	49	0.05	60%	0.08	41.4	0.97%	0	0.8	71	NAN
13	Mar_3_2006	51.81	54.12	54.68	54.68	54.51	54.44	54.6(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-20	-8	59	0.01	62%	0.1	38.5	0.97%	0	0.7	63	NAN
14	Mar_2_2006	51.76	54.06	54.63	54.74	54.63	54.47	54.52(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-30	-12	63	0.03	62%	0.1	37.1	0.98%	0	0.7	57	NAN
15	Mar_1_2006	51.71	54.03	54.53	54.78	54.77	54.59	54.68(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-20	-14	64	0.01	63%	0.08	45.1	0.98%	0	1	61	NAN

16	Feb_28_2006	51.67	53.98	54.44	54.82	54.85	54.79	54.48(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10	-11	76	0.02	63%	0.06	52.9	0.98%	0	0.8	64	NAN
17	Feb_27_2006	51.64	53.94	54.31	54.85	54.9	54.96	55.12(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	10	11	84	0.03	66%	0.08	57.3	0.97%	0	1.9	64	NAN
18	Feb_24_2006	51.6	53.86	54.14	54.69	54.82	54.91	54.92(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	17	83	0.01	66%	0.08	68.9	0.97%	0	1.9	67	NAN
19	Feb_23_2006	51.56	53.81	54.03	54.49	54.61	54.85	54.7(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	25	79	0	66%	0.06	76.8	0.98%	0	1.7	61	NAN
20	Feb_22_2006	51.53	53.73	53.91	54.23	54.32	54.73	54.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	60	37	64	0.01	66%	0.08	69.7	0.98%	0	2.4	56	NAN

21	Feb_21_2006	51.49	53.64	53.73	54	53.99	54.37	54.62(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	50	44	46	0.02	66%	0.02	67.1	0.98%	0	2.4	55	NAN
22	Feb_17_2006	51.48	53.58	53.62	53.69	53.72	53.9	54.32(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	30	29	20	0.02	68%	0.02	40.5	0.97%	0	1.6	55	NAN
23	Feb_16_2006	51.47	53.47	53.49	53.52	53.48	53.6	53.94(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	10	5	-7	0.03	68%	0.04	22.5	0.99%	0	1.1	51	NAN
24	Feb_15_2006	51.45	53.42	53.43	53.51	53.42	53.54	53.4(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	10	6	-14	0	67%	0	12.7	0.98%	0	-0	45	NAN
25	Feb_14_2006	51.45	53.4	53.48	53.54	53.5	53.36	53.74(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-20	8	-4	0.03	67%		12.3	0.98%	0	0.8	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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