Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2006

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $53.9400 (1.28%) ($53.8200 - $54.1000) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $53.9400(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.18(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.16(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.98(1.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(75%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2006	51.32	52.98	53.16	53.18	53.45	53.68	53.94(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	50	37	5	0.01	66%	0.02	45.3	0.96%	0	1.4	57	0
2	Jan_25_2006	51.31	52.84	53.13	52.97	53.12	53.32	53.26(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	30	11	-16	0.03	64%	0	27.1	0.95%	0	0.6	49	0
3	Jan_24_2006	51.31	52.76	53.12	52.93	52.99	53.22	53.2(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	30	18	-15	0.02	66%	0.04	17.8	0.95%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Jan_23_2006	51.29	52.73	53.11	52.92	52.91	52.93	53.34(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	0	7	0	0.01	66%	0	21.4	0.97%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Jan_20_2006	51.29	52.73	53.15	52.94	52.92	52.77	52.14(-1.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-10	-20	-18	15	0.01	61%	0	20.1	0.94%	0	-0.6	57	0

6	Jan_19_2006	51.29	52.67	53.25	53.14	53.03	52.89	52.9(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-20	46	0.06	64%	0.02	26.3	0.95%	0	0.3	63	0
7	Jan_18_2006	51.28	52.64	53.3	53.31	53.15	53.07	53.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-11	87	0.04	60%	0.06	34.1	0.95%	0	0.5	66	0
8	Jan_17_2006	51.25	52.61	53.31	53.34	53.29	53.17	53.18(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-20	-1	110	0.01	60%	0.04	40.8	0.98%	0	0.6	64	0
9	Jan_13_2006	51.23	52.55	53.13	53.32	53.29	53.24	53.4(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-0	-12	91	0.01	61%	0.06	46.3	0.98%	0	1	54	0
10	Jan_12_2006	51.2	52.49	52.96	53.4	53.24	53.41	53.14(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	10	7	98	0.01	59%	0.04	60	0.99%	0	0.8	55	0

11	Jan_11_2006	51.18	52.44	52.8	53.38	53.31	53.24	53.76(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10	14	96	0.01	62%	0.04	66	0.98%	0	1.6	61	0
12	Jan_10_2006	51.16	52.35	52.55	53.3	53.22	53.07	53.2(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-17	69	0.06	60%	0.04	75.9	0.98%	0	1.1	55	0
13	Jan_9_2006	51.14	52.25	52.37	53.28	53.3	53.38	53.08(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	10	19	73	0.03	60%	0.04	83.1	0.98%	0	1.1	54	0
14	Jan_6_2006	51.12	52.15	52.32	52.9	53.18	53.36	53.8(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	40	45	67	0.03	63%	0.08	71.5	0.97%	0	2.2	61	0
15	Jan_5_2006	51.08	52	52.14	52.46	52.55	53.21	53.04(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	90	36	34	0.09	61%	0.02	67.2	0.95%	0	1.5	54	0

16	Jan_4_2006	51.07	51.9	52.03	52.13	52.18	53	53.38(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	76	110	90	33	0.18	59%	0.04	60.9	0.95%	0	2.1	59	0
17	Jan_3_2006	51.05	51.78	51.91	51.69	51.74	51.89	53.1(3.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	37	20	52	-9	0.06	59%	-0.02	52.5	0.96%	0	2.1	58	0
18	Dec_30_2005	51.06	51.64	51.81	51.34	51.4	51.36	51.16(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-0	-31	-60	0.01	52%	-0.04	36.7	0.84%	0	-0.8	52	0
19	Dec_29_2005	51.08	51.62	51.9	51.66	51.5	51.58	51.6(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	0	-6	-15	0.02	54%	0	46.1	0.84%	0	-0	57	0
20	Dec_28_2005	51.08	51.55	51.98	51.79	51.74	51.43	51.42(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-40	-11	13	0.54	54%	-0.02	42.8	0.84%	0	-0.2	59	0

21	Dec_27_2005	51.09	51.49	52.06	51.9	51.94	51.41	51.16(-0.43%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-38	-70	-56	15	0.01	54%	-0.02	43.3	0.84%	0	-0.4	52	0
22	Dec_23_2005	51.1	51.45	52.06	52.14	52.13	52.05	51.38(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-10	-42	54	0	56%	-0.02	53.4	0.84%	0	-0.1	57	0
23	Dec_22_2005	51.11	51.42	52.15	52.33	52.36	52.47	52.72(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	20	26	116	0.02	63%	0	63.5	0.78%	0	1.5	76	0
24	Dec_21_2005	51.11	51.32	52	52.19	52.29	52.22	52.26(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	-0	104	0.01	61%	0.02	72.8	0.78%	0	1.2	70	0
25	Dec_20_2005	51.1	51.23	51.86	52.22	52.19	52.26	52(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	10	-9	116	0.01	61%		83.3	0.78%	0	1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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