Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $49.0800 (-0.12%) ($48.3600 - $49.3400) on Wed. Oct. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   13
Latest Price   $49.0800(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.8(-6.68%)
Resistance Level   $51.25
5 Day Moving Average   $49.73(-1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.3(-2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.25(-4.23%)
To recent high   -8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.03%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2005	50.84	51.25	50.3	49.73	49.66	49.09	49.08(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-91	-80	-58	-190	0.01	51%	0	-63.6	0.86%	0	-1.9	13	0
2	Oct_18_2005	50.84	51.43	50.54	49.98	49.88	49.76	49.14(-1.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-87	-20	-53	-187	0	51%	-0.02	-65	0.87%	0	-2.2	18	0
3	Oct_17_2005	50.85	51.6	50.8	50.3	50.19	50.24	50.06(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	0	-1	-160	0.01	56%	0	-64.8	0.84%	0	-1.6	26	0
4	Oct_14_2005	50.85	51.73	51.01	50.5	50.35	50	50.44(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-60	-26	-159	0	56%	0.02	-61.9	0.84%	0	-1.4	29	0
5	Oct_13_2005	50.84	51.86	51.22	50.7	50.6	50.13	49.92(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-86	-70	-63	-153	0.01	54%	0	-61.4	0.84%	0	-2.3	31	0

6	Oct_12_2005	50.84	52	51.53	50.96	51.06	50.71	50.32(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-40	-39	-119	0.03	56%	0.02	-63.9	0.83%	0	-2.2	30	0
7	Oct_11_2005	50.83	52.14	51.78	51.18	51.26	51.07	50.78(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-20	-35	-101	0.02	58%	0.02	-66.7	0.83%	0	-2.1	30	0
8	Oct_10_2005	50.82	52.22	51.96	51.37	51.42	51.41	51.06(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	0	-18	-79	0	58%	0.04	-74.3	0.83%	0	-2	38	0
9	Oct_7_2005	50.8	52.3	52.1	51.6	51.54	51.46	51.44(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10	-14	-60	0	63%	0.06	-69.9	0.87%	0	-1.6	38	0
10	Oct_6_2005	50.77	52.4	52.16	51.84	51.7	51.43	51.22(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-40	-35	-66	0.01	63%	0.04	-55.6	0.87%	0	-2.3	31	0

11	Oct_5_2005	50.75	52.49	52.28	52.2	51.95	51.62	51.4(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-45	-60	-44	-47	0	63%	0.06	-31.4	0.87%	0	-2.4	40	0
12	Oct_4_2005	50.72	52.57	52.41	52.47	52.3	51.98	51.72(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-29	-50	-31	-24	0.01	63%	0.06	9.5	0.87%	0	-2.2	40	0
13	Oct_3_2005	50.69	52.64	52.48	52.62	52.51	52.28	52.24(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-40	-23	-11	0.01	66%	0.08	51.5	0.87%	0	-1.1	50	0
14	Sep_30_2005	50.65	52.68	52.52	52.66	52.55	52.63	52.62(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	0	6	4	0.01	68%	0.08	86.2	0.87%	0	-0.2	50	0
15	Sep_29_2005	50.61	52.69	52.55	52.52	52.37	52.74	53(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	40	29	-1	0	68%	0.06	92.3	0.87%	0	0.9	45	0

16	Sep_28_2005	50.58	52.63	52.55	52.39	52.12	52.48	52.76(0.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	20	30	31	-14	0	68%	0.08	85.7	0.87%	0	0.4	47	0
17	Sep_27_2005	50.54	52.53	52.5	52.36	52.07	52	52.5(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-30	11	-26	0	68%	0.06	50	0.87%	0	-0.1	46	0
18	Sep_26_2005	50.51	52.47	52.49	52.32	52.2	51.77	52.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-60	-31	-57	0.01	68%	0.06	39.8	0.87%	0	-0.1	42	0
19	Sep_23_2005	50.48	52.39	52.51	52.36	52.4	52.15	51.92(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-30	-44	-65	0.01	62%	0.04	34.2	0.87%	0	-0.6	40	0
20	Sep_22_2005	50.46	52.37	52.65	52.58	52.59	52.63	52.36(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-8	-27	0	62%	0.04	45.8	0.88%	0	-0	48	0

21	Sep_21_2005	50.44	52.32	52.71	52.62	52.71	52.66	52.64(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-0	6	-6	0	62%	0.06	43.5	0.88%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Sep_20_2005	50.41	52.24	52.74	52.66	52.65	52.56	52.28(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-10	-15	15	0	62%	0.06	40.7	0.88%	0	0	67	0
23	Sep_19_2005	50.38	52.2	52.83	52.66	52.74	52.77	52.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	10	4	50	0	62%	0.08	34.9	0.88%	0	0.4	65	0
24	Sep_16_2005	50.34	52.12	52.87	52.67	52.67	52.75	53.04(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	10	1	77	0.01	62%	0.08	26.6	0.89%	0	1	70	0
25	Sep_15_2005	50.3	52	52.83	52.73	52.64	52.71	52.56(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	0	-1	96	0.01	62%		16.9	0.9%	0	0.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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