Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 29, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $53.0000 (0.45%) ($52.5400 - $53.0000) on Thu. Sep. 29, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $53.0000(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.52(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.55(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.69(0.59%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2005	50.61	52.69	52.55	52.52	52.37	52.74	53(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	40	29	-1	0	68%	0.06	92.3	0.87%	0	0.9	45	0
2	Sep_28_2005	50.58	52.63	52.55	52.39	52.12	52.48	52.76(0.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	20	30	31	-14	0	68%	0.08	85.7	0.87%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Sep_27_2005	50.54	52.53	52.5	52.36	52.07	52	52.5(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-30	11	-26	0	68%	0.06	50	0.87%	0	-0.1	46	0
4	Sep_26_2005	50.51	52.47	52.49	52.32	52.2	51.77	52.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-60	-31	-57	0.01	68%	0.06	39.8	0.87%	0	-0.1	42	0
5	Sep_23_2005	50.48	52.39	52.51	52.36	52.4	52.15	51.92(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-30	-44	-65	0.01	62%	0.04	34.2	0.87%	0	-0.6	40	0

6	Sep_22_2005	50.46	52.37	52.65	52.58	52.59	52.63	52.36(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-8	-27	0	62%	0.04	45.8	0.88%	0	-0	48	0
7	Sep_21_2005	50.44	52.32	52.71	52.62	52.71	52.66	52.64(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	-0	6	-6	0	62%	0.06	43.5	0.88%	0	0.4	59	0
8	Sep_20_2005	50.41	52.24	52.74	52.66	52.65	52.56	52.28(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-10	-15	15	0	62%	0.06	40.7	0.88%	0	0	67	0
9	Sep_19_2005	50.38	52.2	52.83	52.66	52.74	52.77	52.6(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	10	4	50	0	62%	0.08	34.9	0.88%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Sep_16_2005	50.34	52.12	52.87	52.67	52.67	52.75	53.04(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	10	1	77	0.01	62%	0.08	26.6	0.89%	0	1	70	0

11	Sep_15_2005	50.3	52	52.83	52.73	52.64	52.71	52.56(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	0	-1	96	0.01	62%	0.08	16.9	0.9%	0	0.6	60	0
12	Sep_14_2005	50.26	51.95	52.78	52.81	52.78	52.59	52.84(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-30	-1	112	0	62%	0.04	16	0.9%	0	0.9	63	0
13	Sep_13_2005	50.24	51.95	52.57	52.83	52.82	52.56	52.32(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-40	-36	98	0.01	63%	0.04	14.7	0.89%	0	0.5	61	0
14	Sep_12_2005	50.22	51.89	52.46	53	52.98	52.97	52.6(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-0	-12	119	0	63%	0.06	22.6	0.9%	0	0.8	61	0
15	Sep_9_2005	50.19	51.88	52.28	53.08	53.07	53.08	53.32(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	0	13	135	0.01	64%	0.06	30.5	0.89%	0	1.6	70	0

16	Sep_8_2005	50.16	51.84	52.08	52.95	53	52.99	52.98(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	42	0	10	137	0.02	64%	0.06	32.6	0.89%	0	1.3	71	0
17	Sep_7_2005	50.13	51.8	51.9	52.73	52.86	53.07	52.92(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	40	37	129	0.03	64%	0.06	26.5	0.89%	0	1.3	59	0
18	Sep_6_2005	50.1	51.76	51.71	52.26	52.46	53.01	53.2(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	80	61	99	0.01	64%	0.06	13.9	0.89%	0	1.8	59	0
19	Sep_2_2005	50.07	51.68	51.5	51.82	51.8	52.66	53(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	73	120	77	62	0.01	63%	0.04	1.4	0.9%	0	1.8	52	0
20	Sep_1_2005	50.05	51.6	51.29	51.35	51.33	51.92	52.66(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	60	80	77	9	0.01	63%	0.02	-15.9	0.9%	0	1.6	48	0

21	Aug_31_2005	50.04	51.55	51.07	51.1	50.98	50.94	51.88(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10	17	-61	0.01	56%	-0.02	-23.8	0.88%	0	0.5	40	0
22	Aug_30_2005	50.05	51.58	51.03	50.96	50.99	50.75	50.58(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-30	-28	-102	0.01	51%	-0.02	-19.2	0.87%	0	-1.5	34	0
23	Aug_29_2005	50.06	51.64	51.14	51.07	51.21	51.02	51(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-16	-96	0.02	51%	-0.02	-6.6	0.87%	0	-1	39	0
24	Aug_26_2005	50.07	51.67	51.26	51.12	51.27	51.23	50.64(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	0	-17	-89	0.01	51%	-0.02	2.5	0.87%	0	-1.7	39	0
25	Aug_25_2005	50.08	51.71	51.46	51.2	51.37	51.4	51.38(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	10	16	-60	0	54%		8.9	0.85%	0	-0.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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