Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $51.0400 (-0.23%) ($50.8200 - $51.0600) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $51.0400(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $51.33
5 Day Moving Average   $51.12(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.93(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.33(-0.56%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.58%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2005	50.45	51.33	50.93	51.12	51.29	51.23	51.04(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	0	-7	-35	0	52%	0.06	-21	0.83%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	Apr_1_2005	50.42	51.33	51	51.01	51.19	51.49	51.16(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	50	21	-29	0.01	52%	0.08	-20.7	0.88%	0	-0.4	43	0
3	Mar_31_2005	50.38	51.39	51.02	50.9	50.96	51.34	51.58(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	23	60	41	-33	0.01	52%	0.08	-24.3	0.88%	0	0.3	47	0
4	Mar_30_2005	50.34	51.39	51	50.68	50.77	50.9	51.32(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	20	29	-63	0.01	52%	0.1	-29.7	0.88%	0	-0.1	39	0
5	Mar_29_2005	50.29	51.38	51.05	50.54	50.62	50.59	50.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	0	-15	-96	0.02	49%	0.06	-29.7	0.85%	0	-1.5	31	0

6	Mar_28_2005	50.26	51.44	51.16	50.72	50.72	50.64	50.5(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10	-22	-94	0.11	49%	0.14	-16.2	0.85%	0	-1.7	29	0
7	Mar_24_2005	50.19	51.51	51.28	50.99	50.97	50.65	50.6(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-50	-25	-83	0.01	51%	0.08	1	0.85%	0	-1.8	29	0
8	Mar_23_2005	50.15	51.53	51.4	51.16	51.21	50.8	50.5(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-53	-50	-46	-72	0.04	48%	0.1	8.1	0.86%	0	-2	46	0
9	Mar_22_2005	50.1	51.54	51.56	51.36	51.44	51.29	50.6(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-20	-35	-43	0.02	48%	0.12	7.1	0.88%	0	-1.8	46	0
10	Mar_21_2005	50.04	51.55	51.71	51.62	51.6	51.61	51.4(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	0	-3	-5	0	51%	0.12	12.9	0.86%	0	-0.3	52	0

11	Mar_18_2005	49.98	51.53	51.78	51.65	51.6	51.6	51.86(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10	2	4	0.01	57%	0.12	12.6	0.87%	0	0.7	52	0
12	Mar_17_2005	49.92	51.5	51.81	51.62	51.66	51.59	51.46(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-10	-13	3	0.01	57%	0.14	15.8	0.87%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Mar_16_2005	49.85	51.49	51.8	51.67	51.75	51.59	51.5(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	0	-7	12	0	53%	0.14	28.4	0.87%	0	0	59	0
14	Mar_15_2005	49.78	51.51	51.78	51.8	51.8	51.73	51.88(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10	-6	31	0	53%	0.14	50.5	0.89%	0	0.7	67	0
15	Mar_14_2005	49.71	51.49	51.74	51.81	51.87	51.78	51.54(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10	-13	41	0.01	53%	0.14	63.2	0.89%	0	0.1	65	0

16	Mar_11_2005	49.64	51.47	51.74	51.92	51.98	51.87	51.74(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10	-10	59	0.01	56%	0.14	76.8	0.91%	0	0.6	59	0
17	Mar_10_2005	49.57	51.43	51.75	52.03	52	51.96	51.7(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10	-3	74	0.02	54%	0.16	90.7	0.92%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Mar_9_2005	49.49	51.35	51.68	51.93	52.03	52.08	52.14(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	10	18	74	0	54%	0.16	68.1	0.92%	0	1.4	60	0
19	Mar_8_2005	49.41	51.25	51.52	51.75	51.81	52.03	51.92(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	30	15	47	0.01	54%	0.16	53	0.92%	0	1.1	50	0
20	Mar_7_2005	49.33	51.18	51.38	51.65	51.56	51.98	52.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	50	29	34	0.01	54%	0.16	49.6	0.92%	0	1.5	54	0

21	Mar_4_2005	49.25	51.1	51.27	51.56	51.44	51.58	52.28(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	10	31	27	0.01	54%	0.18	54.4	0.92%	0	2	59	0
22	Mar_3_2005	49.16	50.98	51.16	51.45	51.36	51.15	51.18(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-30	-7	9	0.02	53%	0.18	56.5	0.88%	0	0.4	54	0
23	Mar_2_2005	49.07	50.96	51.15	51.4	51.39	51.3	51.26(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10	-6	18	0.02	51%	0.16	62	0.91%	0	0.5	63	0
24	Mar_1_2005	48.99	50.94	51.2	51.24	51.32	51.58	51.4(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	40	22	38	0.02	54%	0.14	65.7	0.93%	0	0.8	64	0
25	Feb_28_2005	48.92	50.88	51.21	51.06	51.07	51.47	51.68(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	60	36	44	0.04	54%		63	0.94%	0	1.5	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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