Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 16, 2005

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $51.1600 (-1.27%) ($50.9400 - $51.6400) on Wed. Feb. 16, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $51.1600(-1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.32(-0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.81(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.39(1.53%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2005	48.31	50.39	50.81	51.32	51.32	51.49	51.16(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	11	78	0.01	57%	0.19	54.8	0.94%	0	1.1	66	0
2	Feb_15_2005	48.22	50.33	50.76	51.1	51.19	51.53	51.82(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	57	50	46	89	0.02	58%	0.21	53.4	0.93%	0	2.3	68	0
3	Feb_14_2005	48.12	50.22	50.64	50.76	50.82	51.16	51.54(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	50	35	77	0.01	58%	0.19	45.2	0.94%	0	2.3	69	0
4	Feb_11_2005	48.03	50.14	50.51	50.53	50.54	50.85	51.18(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	40	30	68	0.01	60%	0.19	46.9	0.94%	0	2.1	66	0
5	Feb_10_2005	47.94	50.07	50.36	50.41	50.39	50.48	50.9(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	10	23	55	0.02	60%	0.19	46.4	0.96%	0	2	60	0

6	Feb_9_2005	47.85	50.02	50.23	50.23	50.33	50.22	50.05(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10	-11	29	0.02	58%	0.17	39.2	0.94%	0	0.1	56	0
7	Feb_8_2005	47.77	49.97	50.21	50.38	50.32	50.31	50.14(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-0	-15	39	0.01	58%	0.17	35.2	0.94%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Feb_7_2005	47.69	49.96	50.16	50.5	50.44	50.43	50.4(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-0	6	55	0.02	58%	0.17	31.8	0.94%	0	1	58	0
9	Feb_4_2005	47.61	49.91	50.07	50.47	50.47	50.33	50.54(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-20	3	46	0.01	60%	0.21	12.8	0.94%	0	1.5	53	0
10	Feb_3_2005	47.51	49.91	50	50.31	50.39	50.45	50.02(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	8	10	-0	32	0.02	60%	0.17	-12.2	0.95%	0	0.3	50	0

11	Feb_2_2005	47.43	49.88	49.96	50.21	50.26	50.61	50.78(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	50	31	34	0.01	63%	0.19	-34.1	0.94%	0	2.2	60	0
12	Feb_1_2005	47.34	49.88	49.86	50.02	50	50.33	50.76(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	35	50	36	33	0.01	63%	0.19	-77.1	0.94%	0	2.7	70	0
13	Jan_31_2005	47.25	49.82	49.75	49.77	49.88	49.92	50.26(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	10	23	9	0.01	62%	0.19	-98.6	0.93%	0	1.2	54	0
14	Jan_28_2005	47.16	49.85	49.72	49.63	49.77	49.67	49.72(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10	-12	-7	0.01	62%	0.19	-83	0.93%	0	-0.3	53	0
15	Jan_27_2005	47.07	49.93	49.75	49.65	49.8	49.85	49.52(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	20	-2	-1	0	62%	0.17	-72.3	0.93%	0	-0.7	46	0

16	Jan_26_2005	46.99	50.02	49.8	49.65	49.83	49.86	49.84(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	11	5	0	62%	0.17	-63.3	0.93%	0	-0.3	48	0
17	Jan_25_2005	46.91	50.09	49.72	49.67	49.7	49.74	49.5(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	10	-7	-11	0.01	62%	0.06	-56.4	0.92%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Jan_24_2005	46.88	50.18	49.75	49.72	49.75	49.79	49.56(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	10	3	-18	0.01	62%	0.17	-46.3	0.92%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Jan_21_2005	46.8	50.25	49.74	49.83	49.73	49.65	49.84(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-20	-6	-34	0.01	62%	0.19	-38.1	0.92%	0	-0.6	37	0
20	Jan_20_2005	46.71	50.33	49.75	49.86	49.78	49.71	49.62(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10	-13	-50	0.01	62%	0.19	-33.6	0.92%	0	-0.9	34	0

21	Jan_19_2005	46.62	50.43	49.79	49.94	49.9	49.81	49.84(0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-20	8	-54	0	62%	0.21	-25.5	0.92%	0	-0.7	34	0
22	Jan_18_2005	46.52	50.49	49.78	49.76	49.86	49.84	49.72(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	0	-6	-92	0.01	62%	0.35	-28.8	0.92%	0	-1	33	0
23	Jan_14_2005	46.36	50.52	49.89	49.78	49.76	50	50.14(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	30	15	-92	0	64%	0.22	-27.3	0.91%	0	-0.5	35	0
24	Jan_13_2005	46.26	50.53	49.98	49.78	49.71	49.87	50(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	30	21	-97	0.01	62%	0.22	-33.1	0.92%	0	-0.7	41	0
25	Jan_12_2005	46.16	50.59	50.1	49.64	49.66	49.51	49.98(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-31	-20	-4	-110	0.11	62%		-28.9	0.94%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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