Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $50.3200 (0.44%) ($50.1000 - $50.3800) on Mon. Dec. 6, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $50.3200(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.66(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.2(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.47(3.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.56%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.12%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.77%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.21%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2004	43.44	48.47	49.2	49.66	49.73	50.02	50.32(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	72	50	44	155	0.01	78%	0.21	88.4	0.84%	0	1.9	73	0
2	Dec_3_2004	43.35	48.3	48.97	49.45	49.4	49.64	50.1(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	30	26	130	0.01	78%	0.18	99.5	0.85%	0	2	65	0
3	Dec_2_2004	43.27	48.14	48.77	49.27	49.25	49.44	49.2(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	30	27	126	0.01	77%	0.16	110.6	0.82%	0	1.3	62	0
4	Dec_1_2004	43.2	48	48.65	49.14	49.13	49.17	49.78(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	10	32	137	0.01	80%	0.19	108.3	0.8%	0	2	75	0
5	Nov_30_2004	43.12	47.8	48.39	48.83	48.9	49.05	48.92(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	15	108	0.02	80%	0.16	101.1	0.79%	0	1.3	69	0

6	Nov_29_2004	43.05	47.63	48.27	48.64	48.69	49.1	49.24(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	60	46	113	0	80%	0.14	89.3	0.79%	0	1.6	70	0
7	Nov_26_2004	42.99	47.44	48.15	48.42	48.35	48.75	49.2(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	50	49	109	0	80%	0.19	85.3	0.79%	0	1.8	71	0
8	Nov_24_2004	42.91	47.26	48.01	48.2	48.16	48.28	48.58(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	10	32	99	0	80%	0.16	77.7	0.78%	0	1.2	69	0
9	Nov_23_2004	42.84	47.08	47.86	48.09	48.03	47.95	48.2(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-20	5	92	0.01	79%	0.12	75.2	0.78%	0	1	72	0
10	Nov_22_2004	42.79	46.92	47.75	47.89	48.02	48.04	48(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	10	4	94	0	79%	0.14	72.1	0.8%	0	0.9	75	0

11	Nov_19_2004	42.73	46.77	47.68	47.83	47.88	48.12	48.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	40	14	122	0.02	79%	0.16	71.2	0.8%	0	1.1	78	0
12	Nov_18_2004	42.66	46.6	47.59	47.84	47.72	47.99	48.12(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	30	25	152	0.01	81%	0.14	73.7	0.81%	0	1.2	77	0
13	Nov_17_2004	42.6	46.43	47.48	47.8	47.68	47.64	48.04(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	-10	27	172	0	81%	0.14	77.4	0.83%	0	1.3	77	0
14	Nov_16_2004	42.54	46.25	47.3	47.59	47.55	47.44	47.2(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-20	-14	164	0.01	80%	0.12	77.4	0.81%	0	0.8	76	0
15	Nov_15_2004	42.49	46.1	47.17	47.58	47.49	47.71	47.7(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	30	13	193	0.02	83%	0.14	78.1	0.8%	0	1.3	84	0

16	Nov_12_2004	42.43	45.93	46.96	47.5	47.35	47.66	48.14(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	40	42	212	0.01	87%	0.14	78.1	0.79%	0	1.7	92	0
17	Nov_11_2004	42.37	45.72	46.69	47.3	47.19	47.26	47.9(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	0	28	202	0.01	81%	0.14	77.3	0.8%	0	1.7	92	0
18	Nov_10_2004	42.31	45.5	46.44	47.12	47.07	47.03	47.02(-0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	52	-10	5	192	0	80%	0.14	75.1	0.81%	0	1.2	90	0
19	Nov_9_2004	42.25	45.3	46.24	46.97	46.99	47.12	47.14(-0.3%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	67	20	23	197	0.01	80%	0.12	71.7	0.81%	0	1.5	94	0
20	Nov_8_2004	42.2	45.12	46.02	46.69	46.79	47.11	47.28(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	50	48	196	0.01	80%	0.14	69.1	0.82%	0	1.8	98	0

21	Nov_5_2004	42.14	44.95	45.78	46.32	46.43	46.86	47.18(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	86	70	55	178	0.02	76%	0.14	68.5	0.82%	0	2.1	91	0
22	Nov_4_2004	42.08	44.78	45.53	45.98	46.04	46.48	47(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	83	70	57	160	0.01	76%	0.14	66.7	0.84%	0	2.3	91	0
23	Nov_3_2004	42.02	44.59	45.28	45.67	45.71	45.99	46.26(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	50	45	148	0	75%	0.12	68.2	0.83%	0	1.9	91	0
24	Nov_2_2004	41.97	44.44	45.1	45.42	45.46	45.61	45.74(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	30	27	143	0	74%	0.12	69.1	0.82%	0	1.6	91	0
25	Nov_1_2004	41.92	44.33	44.94	45.25	45.29	45.42	45.42(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	18	135	0.02	74%		75.4	0.82%	0	1.5	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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