Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 4, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $47.0000 (1.6%) ($46.4000 - $47.0000) on Thu. Nov. 4, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $47.0000(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.98(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.53(3.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.78(4.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.22%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.3%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2004	42.08	44.78	45.53	45.98	46.04	46.48	47(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	83	70	57	160	0.01	76%	0.14	66.7	0.84%	0	2.3	91	0
2	Nov_3_2004	42.02	44.59	45.28	45.67	45.71	45.99	46.26(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	71	50	45	148	0	75%	0.12	68.2	0.83%	0	1.9	91	0
3	Nov_2_2004	41.97	44.44	45.1	45.42	45.46	45.61	45.74(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	30	27	143	0	74%	0.12	69.1	0.82%	0	1.6	91	0
4	Nov_1_2004	41.92	44.33	44.94	45.25	45.29	45.42	45.42(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	18	135	0.02	74%	0.1	75.4	0.82%	0	1.5	75	0
5	Oct_29_2004	41.88	44.23	44.82	45.15	45.12	45.32	45.5(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	30	24	136	0	74%	0.1	83.5	0.82%	0	1.8	69	0

6	Oct_28_2004	41.84	44.13	44.67	45	44.98	45.15	45.44(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	27	129	0	74%	0.12	87.2	0.82%	0	1.9	69	0
7	Oct_27_2004	41.79	44	44.48	44.84	44.84	44.93	44.98(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	10	18	115	0.01	73%	0.07	90.7	0.83%	0	1.5	71	0
8	Oct_26_2004	41.76	43.9	44.3	44.73	44.71	44.81	44.92(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	10	16	103	0	73%	0.1	90.3	0.83%	0	1.5	69	0
9	Oct_25_2004	41.72	43.78	44.16	44.57	44.58	44.76	44.9(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	21	90	0.01	73%	0.1	81.6	0.83%	0	1.6	64	0
10	Oct_22_2004	41.68	43.65	44.06	44.45	44.44	44.61	44.76(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	30	24	81	0	65%	0.1	82.7	0.92%	0	1.6	65	0

11	Oct_21_2004	41.64	43.54	43.96	44.3	44.26	44.41	44.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	20	24	73	0.01	61%	0.1	79.1	0.92%	0	1.6	60	0
12	Oct_20_2004	41.6	43.41	43.83	44.07	44.11	44.27	44.44(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	28	62	0	61%	0.1	73.3	0.94%	0	1.5	66	0
13	Oct_19_2004	41.56	43.29	43.72	43.8	43.91	44.12	44.1(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	40	21	44	0	61%	0.05	69.1	0.94%	0	1.2	63	0
14	Oct_18_2004	41.54	43.22	43.67	43.69	43.67	43.96	44.3(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	22	52	0	61%	0.1	67.3	0.94%	0	1.5	69	0
15	Oct_15_2004	41.5	43.09	43.58	43.62	43.67	43.7	44(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	20	18	60	0	61%	0.1	66.5	0.94%	0	1.3	69	0

16	Oct_14_2004	41.46	43	43.54	43.6	43.52	43.39	43.52(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-30	2	68	0	60%	0.07	68.1	0.94%	0	0.7	62	0
17	Oct_13_2004	41.43	42.91	43.54	43.55	43.61	43.35	43.06(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-40	-21	68	0	55%	0.07	64	0.93%	0	0.2	64	0
18	Oct_12_2004	41.4	42.84	43.48	43.61	43.66	43.65	43.58(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	0	-12	90	0	58%	0.12	63.9	0.94%	0	1	71	0
19	Oct_11_2004	41.35	42.75	43.38	43.63	43.64	43.87	43.94(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	17	104	0	58%	0.12	67.2	0.93%	0	1.5	64	0
20	Oct_8_2004	41.3	42.65	43.22	43.53	43.59	43.67	43.88(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	20	20	105	0	60%	0.1	70.1	0.95%	0	1.7	71	0

21	Oct_7_2004	41.26	42.53	43.09	43.5	43.45	43.41	43.3(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10	-1	104	0	58%	0.12	76	0.93%	0	1.1	62	0
22	Oct_6_2004	41.21	42.44	42.97	43.4	43.44	43.52	43.36(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	10	109	0	58%	0.1	77	0.94%	0	1.3	67	0
23	Oct_5_2004	41.17	42.35	42.84	43.31	43.31	43.49	43.66(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	30	25	115	0	58%	0.12	81.6	0.94%	0	1.9	69	0
24	Oct_4_2004	41.12	42.24	42.73	43.08	43.1	43.36	43.46(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	40	31	110	0	58%	0.12	89.9	0.95%	0	1.9	66	0
25	Oct_1_2004	41.07	42.13	42.56	42.86	42.87	43.12	43.7(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	40	36	95	0	58%		93	0.95%	0	2.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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