Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 21, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $44.6400 (0.45%) ($44.2400 - $44.6400) on Thu. Oct. 21, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $44.6400(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.3(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.96(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.54(2.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.27%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.92%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.99%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2004	41.64	43.54	43.96	44.3	44.26	44.41	44.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	20	24	73	0.01	61%	0.1	79.1	0.92%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Oct_20_2004	41.6	43.41	43.83	44.07	44.11	44.27	44.44(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	30	28	62	0	61%	0.1	73.3	0.94%	0	1.5	66	0
3	Oct_19_2004	41.56	43.29	43.72	43.8	43.91	44.12	44.1(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	40	21	44	0	61%	0.05	69.1	0.94%	0	1.2	63	0
4	Oct_18_2004	41.54	43.22	43.67	43.69	43.67	43.96	44.3(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	22	52	0	61%	0.1	67.3	0.94%	0	1.5	69	0
5	Oct_15_2004	41.5	43.09	43.58	43.62	43.67	43.7	44(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	20	18	60	0	61%	0.1	66.5	0.94%	0	1.3	69	0

6	Oct_14_2004	41.46	43	43.54	43.6	43.52	43.39	43.52(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-30	2	68	0	60%	0.07	68.1	0.94%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Oct_13_2004	41.43	42.91	43.54	43.55	43.61	43.35	43.06(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-40	-21	68	0	55%	0.07	64	0.93%	0	0.2	64	0
8	Oct_12_2004	41.4	42.84	43.48	43.61	43.66	43.65	43.58(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	0	-12	90	0	58%	0.12	63.9	0.94%	0	1	71	0
9	Oct_11_2004	41.35	42.75	43.38	43.63	43.64	43.87	43.94(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	40	17	104	0	58%	0.12	67.2	0.93%	0	1.5	64	0
10	Oct_8_2004	41.3	42.65	43.22	43.53	43.59	43.67	43.88(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	20	20	105	0	60%	0.1	70.1	0.95%	0	1.7	71	0

11	Oct_7_2004	41.26	42.53	43.09	43.5	43.45	43.41	43.3(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10	-1	104	0	58%	0.12	76	0.93%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Oct_6_2004	41.21	42.44	42.97	43.4	43.44	43.52	43.36(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	20	10	109	0	58%	0.1	77	0.94%	0	1.3	67	0
13	Oct_5_2004	41.17	42.35	42.84	43.31	43.31	43.49	43.66(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	30	25	115	0	58%	0.12	81.6	0.94%	0	1.9	69	0
14	Oct_4_2004	41.12	42.24	42.73	43.08	43.1	43.36	43.46(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	40	31	110	0	58%	0.12	89.9	0.95%	0	1.9	66	0
15	Oct_1_2004	41.07	42.13	42.56	42.86	42.87	43.12	43.7(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	40	36	95	0	58%	0.15	93	0.95%	0	2.6	69	0

16	Sep_30_2004	41.01	42	42.4	42.63	42.58	42.83	42.84(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	40	23	83	0	54%	0.1	107.4	0.92%	0	1.6	65	0
17	Sep_29_2004	40.97	41.91	42.28	42.48	42.49	42.61	42.9(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	20	30	76	0	54%	0.1	109.2	0.92%	0	2	67	0
18	Sep_28_2004	40.93	41.8	42.15	42.3	42.31	42.34	42.48(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	10	-2	49	0	52%	0.1	106.7	0.92%	0	1.4	61	0
19	Sep_27_2004	40.89	41.69	42.08	42.34	42.26	42.37	42.36(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	10	9	60	0	52%	0.1	92.4	0.92%	0	1.1	61	0
20	Sep_24_2004	40.85	41.58	42.02	42.22	42.31	42.29	42.56(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	0	18	63	0	55%	0.05	80.1	0.93%	0	1.5	67	0

21	Sep_23_2004	40.83	41.46	41.93	42.14	42.12	42.15	42.1(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	0	-3	56	0	55%	0.02	70.7	0.92%	0	0.9	65	0
22	Sep_22_2004	40.82	41.37	41.87	42.04	42.06	42.34	42.02(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	34	50	23	65	0	55%	0.05	62.1	0.93%	0	0.9	65	0
23	Sep_21_2004	40.8	41.27	41.83	41.96	41.89	42.09	42.64(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	42	30	31	76	0	58%	0.05	55.3	0.92%	0	1.9	79	0
24	Sep_20_2004	40.78	41.14	41.72	41.96	41.69	41.79	41.78(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	10	4	76	0.02	54%	0.05	50.3	0.89%	0	0.9	80	0
25	Sep_17_2004	40.76	41.07	41.66	41.8	41.74	41.69	42.16(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10	11	97	0	59%		56.1	0.88%	0	1.5	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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