Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 30, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.6000 (0.1%) ($40.5400 - $41.1000) on Fri. Jul. 30, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $40.6000(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.12(-8.57%)
Resistance Level   $41.43
5 Day Moving Average   $40.45(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.81(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.43(-2%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.43%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2004	40.39	41.43	40.81	40.45	40.45	40.62	40.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	30	21	-92	0.01	49%	0.02	-51.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	31	0
2	Jul_29_2004	40.38	41.49	40.91	40.36	40.35	40.31	40.56(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-35	-10	-6	-123	0	47%	0	-55.9	1.09%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	Jul_28_2004	40.38	41.57	41.02	40.52	40.34	40.29	40.14(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-20	-20	-123	0.01	45%	-0.02	-51.1	1.1%	0	-1.9	33	0
4	Jul_27_2004	40.39	41.67	41.22	40.7	40.6	40.4	40.54(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-16	-113	0	45%	-0.02	-45.3	1.1%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Jul_26_2004	40.4	41.75	41.35	40.93	40.82	40.39	40.42(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-57	-80	-40	-108	0	45%	-0.02	-38.4	1.1%	0	-2.2	38	0

6	Jul_23_2004	40.41	41.84	41.56	41.22	41.13	40.81	40.14(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-54	-60	-43	-86	0	45%	-0.02	-23.6	1.1%	0	-3.2	33	0
7	Jul_22_2004	40.42	41.92	41.82	41.53	41.49	41.24	41.36(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-18	-48	0.01	50%	0.02	-10.2	1.04%	0	-1.5	47	0
8	Jul_21_2004	40.41	41.95	41.9	41.59	41.67	41.46	41.04(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-30	-26	-46	0.01	50%	0.02	4.9	1.04%	0	-2.7	41	0
9	Jul_20_2004	40.4	41.97	42.03	41.8	41.8	41.73	41.68(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-13	-22	0	49%	0	24.3	1.03%	0	-0.9	47	0
10	Jul_19_2004	40.4	41.98	42.06	41.85	41.9	41.89	41.88(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	0	-6	-17	0.03	51%	0.02	46.5	1.06%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Jul_16_2004	40.39	41.97	42.1	41.97	41.94	41.87	41.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-13	-10	-14	-10	0.01	51%	0	61.8	1.06%	0	-0.9	44	0
12	Jul_15_2004	40.39	41.96	42.12	42.17	42.05	41.92	41.68(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-9	-30	-14	7	0	51%	0.02	87.3	1.07%	0	-0.8	53	0
13	Jul_14_2004	40.38	41.93	42.16	42.26	42.24	42.02	42.1(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-11	18	0	51%	0.02	73.1	1.06%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Jul_13_2004	40.37	41.9	42.15	42.26	42.28	42.19	41.9(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-20	-14	28	0	51%	0	73.7	1.06%	0	0	58	0
15	Jul_12_2004	40.37	41.84	42.17	42.3	42.32	42.46	42.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	20	10	42	0.01	53%	0.05	57.4	1.04%	0	1.4	58	0

16	Jul_9_2004	40.35	41.77	42.13	42.24	42.21	42.37	42.68(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	20	21	52	0	53%	0.02	60.9	1.04%	0	2	63	0
17	Jul_8_2004	40.34	41.67	42.02	42.24	42.1	42.18	42.1(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	8	35	0	51%	0	50.9	1.04%	0	1	58	0
18	Jul_7_2004	40.34	41.65	42	42.06	42.04	42.06	42.3(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	6	46	0	51%	0	59.1	1.03%	0	1.4	67	0
19	Jul_6_2004	40.34	41.61	41.9	42	42.04	42.06	41.9(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	0	-1	38	0	51%	0.02	71.3	1.03%	0	0.6	56	0
20	Jul_2_2004	40.33	41.57	41.89	42.02	42.01	42.02	42.22(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	0	1	56	0	51%	0	76.9	1.02%	0	1.4	67	0

21	Jul_1_2004	40.33	41.49	41.82	42.01	42.04	41.99	41.8(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10	-0	64	0	51%	0	78.4	1.01%	0	0.7	60	0
22	Jun_30_2004	40.33	41.45	41.79	41.97	42.1	42	42.06(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10	0	71	0	51%	0	83.2	1.01%	0	1.3	65	0
23	Jun_29_2004	40.33	41.37	41.69	41.92	42.03	42.08	42(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	2	61	0.01	55%	0	89.8	1.01%	0	1.3	52	0
24	Jun_28_2004	40.33	41.29	41.63	41.79	41.96	42.2	42.02(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	18	55	0	55%	0.02	98.3	1.04%	0	1.5	53	0
25	Jun_25_2004	40.32	41.23	41.5	41.74	41.78	41.99	42.16(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	40	22	48	0.02	58%		108.4	1.05%	0	1.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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