Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.5000 (-0.42%) ($42.2000 - $42.5000) on Mon. Jul. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $42.5000(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.3(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.17(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.84(1.58%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.15% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2004	40.37	41.84	42.17	42.3	42.32	42.46	42.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	20	10	42	0.01	53%	0.05	57.4	1.04%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Jul_9_2004	40.35	41.77	42.13	42.24	42.21	42.37	42.68(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	20	21	52	0	53%	0.02	60.9	1.04%	0	2	63	0
3	Jul_8_2004	40.34	41.67	42.02	42.24	42.1	42.18	42.1(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	8	35	0	51%	0	50.9	1.04%	0	1	58	0
4	Jul_7_2004	40.34	41.65	42	42.06	42.04	42.06	42.3(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	0	6	46	0	51%	0	59.1	1.03%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Jul_6_2004	40.34	41.61	41.9	42	42.04	42.06	41.9(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	0	-1	38	0	51%	0.02	71.3	1.03%	0	0.6	56	0

6	Jul_2_2004	40.33	41.57	41.89	42.02	42.01	42.02	42.22(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	0	1	56	0	51%	0	76.9	1.02%	0	1.4	67	0
7	Jul_1_2004	40.33	41.49	41.82	42.01	42.04	41.99	41.8(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10	-0	64	0	51%	0	78.4	1.01%	0	0.7	60	0
8	Jun_30_2004	40.33	41.45	41.79	41.97	42.1	42	42.06(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10	0	71	0	51%	0	83.2	1.01%	0	1.3	65	0
9	Jun_29_2004	40.33	41.37	41.69	41.92	42.03	42.08	42(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	20	2	61	0.01	55%	0	89.8	1.01%	0	1.3	52	0
10	Jun_28_2004	40.33	41.29	41.63	41.79	41.96	42.2	42.02(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	18	55	0	55%	0.02	98.3	1.04%	0	1.5	53	0

11	Jun_25_2004	40.32	41.23	41.5	41.74	41.78	41.99	42.16(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	40	22	48	0.02	58%	0.02	108.4	1.05%	0	1.9	59	0
12	Jun_24_2004	40.31	41.13	41.38	41.61	41.65	41.73	41.62(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	20	11	37	0	56%	0.02	124.3	1.07%	0	1.1	60	0
13	Jun_23_2004	40.3	41.06	41.3	41.59	41.57	41.73	41.82(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-0	10	35	0.01	56%	0.05	128.9	1.08%	0	1.6	59	0
14	Jun_22_2004	40.28	40.94	41.27	41.42	41.49	41.57	41.34(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	20	3	34	0	54%	0	120.8	1.07%	0	0.8	59	0
15	Jun_21_2004	40.28	40.83	41.29	41.43	41.35	41.58	41.78(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	30	21	58	0	54%	0.05	101.3	1.06%	0	1.6	64	0

16	Jun_18_2004	40.26	40.7	41.22	41.21	41.24	41.41	41.48(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	23	46	0.01	51%	0	82.8	1.09%	0	1.1	56	0
17	Jun_17_2004	40.26	40.59	41.14	41.11	41.03	41.13	41.52(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	10	12	39	0.01	51%	0.02	77.5	1.09%	0	1.2	62	0
18	Jun_16_2004	40.25	40.46	41.07	40.96	40.94	41.06	40.98(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	20	-2	33	0	49%	-0.02	71.5	1.08%	0	0.7	60	0
19	Jun_15_2004	40.26	40.35	41.03	41.1	40.97	40.94	41.4(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10	1	62	0.02	46%	0	71.8	1.07%	0	1.2	70	0
20	Jun_14_2004	40.26	40.22	40.93	41.14	41.05	40.82	40.68(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-50	-18	75	0	42%	-0.05	68.8	1.09%	0	0.5	69	0

21	Jun_10_2004	40.28	40.12	40.95	41.22	41.28	40.99	40.98(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-40	-9	105	0	40%	-0.02	58.7	1.1%	0	0.9	67	0
22	Jun_9_2004	40.29	40.01	40.88	41.15	41.27	41.27	40.78(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	10	-12	112	0	40%	-0.02	45.2	1.11%	0	0.8	66	0
23	Jun_8_2004	40.3	39.91	40.82	41.17	41.18	41.56	41.68(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	70	29	154	0	43%	0.05	37.5	1.07%	0	1.7	80	0
24	Jun_7_2004	40.28	39.75	40.58	40.94	41	41.28	41.56(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	69	50	41	151	0.01	43%	0.02	23.5	1.08%	0	1.8	80	0
25	Jun_4_2004	40.27	39.61	40.33	40.7	40.72	40.79	41.1(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	10	9	127	0.02	44%		14.2	1.08%	0	1.7	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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