Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $41.1400 (1.38%) ($41.0200 - $41.1800) on Wed. May. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $41.1400(1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.34(1.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.34(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.24(2.24%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2004	40.46	40.24	40.34	40.34	40.5	40.89	41.14(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	36	80	39	27	0.01	46%	0	36.6	1.07%	0	2.7	60	NAN
2	May_4_2004	40.46	40.18	40.24	40.14	40.19	40.44	40.58(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	15	50	18	6	0.01	43%	0	36.9	1.06%	0	1.5	56	NAN
3	May_3_2004	40.46	40.14	40.16	40.15	40.09	40.11	40.34(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-0	7	2	0.03	43%	0	53.2	1.06%	0	0.8	56	NAN
4	Apr_30_2004	40.46	40.14	40.19	40.14	40.17	39.93	39.94(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-40	-11	1	0.03	43%	-0.02	77.4	1.04%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
5	Apr_29_2004	40.47	40.14	40.22	40.18	40.24	40.07	39.68(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-20	-30	-26	-2	0.01	43%	0	100	1.05%	0	-1.8	45	NAN

6	Apr_28_2004	40.47	40.12	40.26	40.34	40.24	40.4	40.16(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	10	-1	19	0.04	41%	-0.02	134.3	1.04%	0	0.1	50	NAN
7	Apr_27_2004	40.48	40.08	40.25	40.33	40.32	40.42	40.62(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	19	27	0	43%	0	127.5	1.09%	0	1.7	59	NAN
8	Apr_26_2004	40.48	40.01	40.17	40.18	40.19	40.23	40.28(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	10	-2	5	0	43%	0	126.8	1.09%	0	0.8	54	NAN
9	Apr_23_2004	40.48	39.93	40.17	40.26	40.15	40.22	40.14(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	0	-0	16	0	41%	0	95.7	1.09%	0	0.5	55	NAN
10	Apr_22_2004	40.48	39.87	40.16	40.28	40.25	40.15	40.48(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-20	8	24	0	41%	0	84.4	1.1%	0	1.2	60	NAN

11	Apr_21_2004	40.48	39.76	40.13	40.18	40.25	40.08	40.14(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-20	-11	18	0	44%	0	56.4	1.1%	0	0.6	62	NAN
12	Apr_20_2004	40.48	39.67	40.11	40.18	40.24	40.36	39.86(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	30	1	29	0.01	48%	0	46.8	1.12%	0	0.3	63	NAN
13	Apr_19_2004	40.48	39.6	40.13	40.15	40.17	40.39	40.68(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	40	20	45	0	50%	0.05	40.8	1.12%	0	1.5	78	NAN
14	Apr_16_2004	40.46	39.5	40.04	40.15	40.04	40.12	40.22(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	10	9	50	0.01	46%	-0.02	30.6	1.12%	0	1	83	NAN
15	Apr_15_2004	40.47	39.45	40.01	40.04	40.02	39.94	40(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-20	-4	57	0	46%	0.02	26.9	1.13%	0	0.8	69	NAN

16	Apr_14_2004	40.46	39.41	39.96	40.07	40.07	39.97	40(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-7	78	0	46%	0.05	20.2	1.13%	0	0.9	77	NAN
17	Apr_13_2004	40.44	39.36	39.9	40.06	40.15	40.09	39.86(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-0	-5	91	0.01	46%	0.05	6.5	1.13%	0	0.7	70	NAN
18	Apr_12_2004	40.42	39.31	39.85	40.09	40.14	40.17	40.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	10	1	111	0.04	46%	0.12	-7.6	1.13%	0	1.2	74	NAN
19	Apr_8_2004	40.37	39.28	39.7	40.04	40.09	40.22	40.2(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	9	113	0	49%	0.05	-21.8	1.12%	0	1.4	69	NAN
20	Apr_7_2004	40.35	39.26	39.57	39.97	40.04	40.11	40.18(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	15	106	0.02	46%	0.05	-28.4	1.14%	0	1.3	58	NAN

21	Apr_6_2004	40.33	39.28	39.36	39.84	39.93	39.96	39.94(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	9	78	0	46%	0.07	-30.9	1.17%	0	0.9	55	NAN
22	Apr_5_2004	40.3	39.31	39.21	39.7	39.81	39.97	40(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	13	64	0	49%	0.05	-29.9	1.17%	0	0.8	59	NAN
23	Apr_2_2004	40.28	39.36	39.04	39.58	39.63	39.9	39.86(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	50	27	53	0.01	51%	0.07	-33.1	1.21%	0	0.5	59	NAN
24	Apr_1_2004	40.25	39.42	38.9	39.3	39.44	39.65	39.88(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	50	28	21	0	51%	0.05	-38.6	1.23%	0	0.5	49	NAN
25	Mar_31_2004	40.23	39.46	38.83	39.1	39.13	39.36	39.52(0.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	16	40	22	-3	0.01	51%		-43.5	1.23%	0	0.1	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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