Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 22, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.4800 (0.85%) ($40.1200 - $40.4800) on Thu. Apr. 22, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $40.4800(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.28(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.16(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.87(1.53%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2004	40.48	39.87	40.16	40.28	40.25	40.15	40.48(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-20	8	24	0	41%	0	84.4	1.1%	0	1.2	60	NAN
2	Apr_21_2004	40.48	39.76	40.13	40.18	40.25	40.08	40.14(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-20	-11	18	0	44%	0	56.4	1.1%	0	0.6	62	NAN
3	Apr_20_2004	40.48	39.67	40.11	40.18	40.24	40.36	39.86(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	30	1	29	0.01	48%	0	46.8	1.12%	0	0.3	63	NAN
4	Apr_19_2004	40.48	39.6	40.13	40.15	40.17	40.39	40.68(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	40	20	45	0	50%	0.05	40.8	1.12%	0	1.5	78	NAN
5	Apr_16_2004	40.46	39.5	40.04	40.15	40.04	40.12	40.22(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	19	10	9	50	0.01	46%	-0.02	30.6	1.12%	0	1	83	NAN

6	Apr_15_2004	40.47	39.45	40.01	40.04	40.02	39.94	40(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-20	-4	57	0	46%	0.02	26.9	1.13%	0	0.8	69	NAN
7	Apr_14_2004	40.46	39.41	39.96	40.07	40.07	39.97	40(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-20	-7	78	0	46%	0.05	20.2	1.13%	0	0.9	77	NAN
8	Apr_13_2004	40.44	39.36	39.9	40.06	40.15	40.09	39.86(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-0	-5	91	0.01	46%	0.05	6.5	1.13%	0	0.7	70	NAN
9	Apr_12_2004	40.42	39.31	39.85	40.09	40.14	40.17	40.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	10	1	111	0.04	46%	0.12	-7.6	1.13%	0	1.2	74	NAN
10	Apr_8_2004	40.37	39.28	39.7	40.04	40.09	40.22	40.2(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	9	113	0	49%	0.05	-21.8	1.12%	0	1.4	69	NAN

11	Apr_7_2004	40.35	39.26	39.57	39.97	40.04	40.11	40.18(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	20	15	106	0.02	46%	0.05	-28.4	1.14%	0	1.3	58	NAN
12	Apr_6_2004	40.33	39.28	39.36	39.84	39.93	39.96	39.94(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	9	78	0	46%	0.07	-30.9	1.17%	0	0.9	55	NAN
13	Apr_5_2004	40.3	39.31	39.21	39.7	39.81	39.97	40(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	13	64	0	49%	0.05	-29.9	1.17%	0	0.8	59	NAN
14	Apr_2_2004	40.28	39.36	39.04	39.58	39.63	39.9	39.86(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	50	27	53	0.01	51%	0.07	-33.1	1.21%	0	0.5	59	NAN
15	Apr_1_2004	40.25	39.42	38.9	39.3	39.44	39.65	39.88(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	50	28	21	0	51%	0.05	-38.6	1.23%	0	0.5	49	NAN

16	Mar_31_2004	40.23	39.46	38.83	39.1	39.13	39.36	39.52(0.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	16	40	22	-3	0.01	51%	0.07	-43.5	1.23%	0	0.1	44	NAN
17	Mar_30_2004	40.2	39.51	38.8	38.82	38.93	39.23	39.26(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	60	28	-36	0.02	51%	0.07	-52.3	1.23%	0	-0.2	36	NAN
18	Mar_29_2004	40.17	39.57	38.76	38.64	38.66	38.9	39.36(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	50	25	-72	0	53%	0.07	-57.2	1.24%	0	-0.2	35	NAN
19	Mar_26_2004	40.14	39.67	38.7	38.42	38.47	38.63	38.48(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	30	8	-123	0	50%	0.05	-60.3	1.21%	0	-1	24	NAN
20	Mar_25_2004	40.12	39.8	38.82	38.45	38.45	38.41	38.9(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10	-0	-146	0.09	50%	0.07	-61.3	1.2%	0	-0.8	25	NAN

21	Mar_24_2004	40.09	39.9	38.92	38.52	38.49	38.32	38.08(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-30	-25	-165	0.01	49%	0.05	-64	1.18%	0	-1.6	24	NAN
22	Mar_23_2004	40.07	40.05	39.18	38.78	38.76	38.48	38.36(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-50	-18	-145	0	49%	0.05	-63.7	1.19%	0	-1.6	28	NAN
23	Mar_22_2004	40.05	40.21	39.43	38.9	38.96	38.66	38.3(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-50	-25	-137	0.01	44%	0.05	-66.5	1.19%	0	-1.9	30	NAN
24	Mar_19_2004	40.03	40.37	39.72	39.01	39.12	39.04	38.6(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10	-18	-122	0.01	42%	0.05	-71.1	1.31%	0	-1.9	25	NAN
25	Mar_18_2004	40.01	40.49	39.99	39.24	39.16	39.26	39.28(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	10	-6	-101	0	44%		-74.4	1.31%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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