Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 5, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.0000 (0.35%) ($39.7600 - $40.0000) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $40.0000(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.7(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.21(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.31(1.76%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2004	40.3	39.31	39.21	39.7	39.81	39.97	40(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	40	13	64	0	49%	0.05	-29.9	1.17%	0	0.8	59	0
2	Apr_2_2004	40.28	39.36	39.04	39.58	39.63	39.9	39.86(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	50	27	53	0.01	51%	0.07	-33.1	1.21%	0	0.5	59	0
3	Apr_1_2004	40.25	39.42	38.9	39.3	39.44	39.65	39.88(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	50	28	21	0	51%	0.05	-38.6	1.23%	0	0.5	49	0
4	Mar_31_2004	40.23	39.46	38.83	39.1	39.13	39.36	39.52(0.66%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	16	40	22	-3	0.01	51%	0.07	-43.5	1.23%	0	0.1	44	0
5	Mar_30_2004	40.2	39.51	38.8	38.82	38.93	39.23	39.26(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	60	28	-36	0.02	51%	0.07	-52.3	1.23%	0	-0.2	36	0

6	Mar_29_2004	40.17	39.57	38.76	38.64	38.66	38.9	39.36(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	50	25	-72	0	53%	0.07	-57.2	1.24%	0	-0.2	35	0
7	Mar_26_2004	40.14	39.67	38.7	38.42	38.47	38.63	38.48(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	30	8	-123	0	50%	0.05	-60.3	1.21%	0	-1	24	0
8	Mar_25_2004	40.12	39.8	38.82	38.45	38.45	38.41	38.9(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	-10	-0	-146	0.09	50%	0.07	-61.3	1.2%	0	-0.8	25	0
9	Mar_24_2004	40.09	39.9	38.92	38.52	38.49	38.32	38.08(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-30	-25	-165	0.01	49%	0.05	-64	1.18%	0	-1.6	24	0
10	Mar_23_2004	40.07	40.05	39.18	38.78	38.76	38.48	38.36(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-50	-18	-145	0	49%	0.05	-63.7	1.19%	0	-1.6	28	0

11	Mar_22_2004	40.05	40.21	39.43	38.9	38.96	38.66	38.3(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-53	-50	-25	-137	0.01	44%	0.05	-66.5	1.19%	0	-1.9	30	0
12	Mar_19_2004	40.03	40.37	39.72	39.01	39.12	39.04	38.6(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10	-18	-122	0.01	42%	0.05	-71.1	1.31%	0	-1.9	25	0
13	Mar_18_2004	40.01	40.49	39.99	39.24	39.16	39.26	39.28(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	10	-6	-101	0	44%	0.1	-74.4	1.31%	0	-1.4	36	0
14	Mar_17_2004	39.97	40.62	40.15	39.39	39.27	39.2	39.36(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-20	-10	-95	0.01	45%	0.08	-75.1	1.31%	0	-1.5	39	0
15	Mar_16_2004	39.94	40.74	40.28	39.66	39.5	39.06	38.96(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-90	-35	-94	0	45%	0.08	-69.1	1.31%	0	-2.1	34	0

16	Mar_15_2004	39.91	40.9	40.45	40.05	39.92	39.34	38.86(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-62	-110	-53	-88	0.03	45%	0.08	-61.3	1.32%	0	-2.8	30	0
17	Mar_12_2004	39.88	41.04	40.73	40.52	40.46	39.95	39.76(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-90	-44	-55	0	48%	0.1	-58.3	1.29%	0	-2.2	35	0
18	Mar_11_2004	39.84	41.15	40.87	40.85	40.88	40.5	40(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-30	-60	-30	-28	0.01	49%	0.1	-37.3	1.29%	0	-2.2	44	0
19	Mar_10_2004	39.8	41.26	40.96	41	41.14	40.97	40.7(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-10	-21	0	50%	0.1	-15.7	1.28%	0	-1.1	41	0
20	Mar_9_2004	39.76	41.33	41	40.99	41.13	41.25	40.94(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	6	-23	0.02	50%	0.13	-5	1.28%	0	-0.8	42	0

21	Mar_8_2004	39.71	41.36	41.05	40.9	40.94	41.31	41.2(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	70	11	-33	0	50%	0.13	-0.8	1.28%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Mar_5_2004	39.66	41.37	41.06	40.99	40.82	41	41.4(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	20	18	-25	0.01	50%	0.13	11	1.29%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Mar_4_2004	39.61	41.37	41.01	40.99	40.88	40.57	40.78(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-60	-4	-51	0	48%	0.13	5.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Mar_3_2004	39.56	41.34	41.11	40.92	40.95	40.63	40.64(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-50	-28	-66	0.01	49%	0.13	5.6	1.27%	0	-1.3	37	0
25	Mar_2_2004	39.51	41.35	41.22	41	41.06	41.19	40.5(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	30	-13	-57	0.04	49%		-0.8	1.28%	0	-1.6	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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