Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 11, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.2600 (0.86%) ($41.4400 - $42.2600) on Wed. Feb. 11, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $42.2600(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.59(1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.17(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.2(2.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2004	38.67	41.2	41.17	41.59	41.86	41.84	42.26(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	20	5	20	0.02	60%	0.18	26.7	1.27%	0	2	51	NAN
2	Feb_10_2004	38.6	41.14	41	41.26	41.61	42.19	41.9(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	20	120	29	-6	0	59%	0.18	6.8	1.26%	0	1.6	46	NAN
3	Feb_9_2004	38.53	41.1	40.97	41	41.32	41.88	41.58(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	36	120	51	-8	0.01	59%	0.16	-7.3	1.27%	0	1.1	53	NAN
4	Feb_6_2004	38.47	41.08	40.94	40.82	40.84	41.04	41.38(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	40	20	-23	0.01	61%	0.16	-8.4	1.29%	0	0.7	60	NAN
5	Feb_5_2004	38.41	41.07	40.92	40.66	40.71	40.76	40.84(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	10	5	-36	0.01	60%	0.16	0	1.28%	0	-0.5	49	NAN

6	Feb_4_2004	38.35	41.06	41.02	40.69	40.63	40.64	40.6(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-0	-3	-29	0	60%	0.16	11.8	1.28%	0	-1	49	NAN
7	Feb_3_2004	38.29	41.11	41.15	40.7	40.69	40.66	40.62(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10	-10	-23	0.01	60%	0.16	29	1.28%	0	-1.1	47	NAN
8	Feb_2_2004	38.23	41.13	41.22	40.93	40.83	40.62	40.64(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-40	-16	-10	0.02	60%	0.16	63.8	1.29%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
9	Jan_30_2004	38.17	41.12	41.21	41.07	41.13	40.72	40.62(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-70	-22	-12	0.03	60%	0.16	76.3	1.29%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
10	Jan_29_2004	38.11	41.07	41.21	41.21	41.3	41.04	40.98(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-40	-30	-8	0.02	60%	0.18	92.9	1.28%	0	-0.2	48	NAN

11	Jan_28_2004	38.04	41.01	41.26	41.39	41.48	41.54	40.62(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	20	-15	12	0	60%	0.16	84.9	1.28%	0	-0.7	53	NAN
12	Jan_27_2004	37.98	40.98	41.32	41.66	41.62	41.57	41.8(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10	11	38	0	63%	0.18	80.7	1.22%	0	1.2	52	NAN
13	Jan_26_2004	37.91	40.86	41.25	41.56	41.58	41.42	41.34(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-30	-2	28	0.01	63%	0.21	60.9	1.22%	0	0.7	53	NAN
14	Jan_23_2004	37.83	40.76	41.24	41.37	41.57	41.67	41.32(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	6	30	0	64%	0.19	37	1.22%	0	0.7	61	NAN
15	Jan_22_2004	37.76	40.65	41.23	41.3	41.33	41.74	41.88(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	70	24	54	0.01	66%	0.24	22.9	1.21%	0	1.6	71	NAN

16	Jan_21_2004	37.67	40.5	41.1	41.11	41.11	41.48	41.98(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	60	34	57	0.01	66%	0.24	6.7	1.21%	0	1.9	69	NAN
17	Jan_20_2004	37.58	40.5	41.04	40.94	40.94	40.92	41.26(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-0	9	54	0.01	65%	0.21	2	1.2%	0	1	63	NAN
18	Jan_16_2004	37.5	40.44	41.04	40.92	40.9	40.74	40.4(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-30	-21	64	0.02	63%	0.19	6.3	1.17%	0	-0	62	NAN
19	Jan_15_2004	37.43	40.48	41.01	41.09	41.06	40.97	41(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-20	-7	94	0	65%	0.21	17.1	1.15%	0	0.6	68	NAN
20	Jan_14_2004	37.35	40.47	40.87	41.13	41.06	41.06	40.92(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10	-1	110	0.01	65%	0.21	19.1	1.15%	0	0.5	71	NAN

21	Jan_13_2004	37.27	40.45	40.75	41.07	41.11	41.15	41.1(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	10	-1	114	0.01	65%	0.22	17.3	1.15%	0	0.7	70	NAN
22	Jan_12_2004	37.19	40.42	40.63	41.15	41	41.16	41.2(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	4	114	0	65%	0.22	20.6	1.15%	0	0.9	51	NAN
23	Jan_9_2004	37.11	40.39	40.44	41.12	41.05	41.07	41.22(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-0	19	93	0.01	66%	0.22	21.1	1.16%	0	1	46	NAN
24	Jan_8_2004	37.03	40.33	40.26	40.91	41.02	40.85	41.22(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-20	12	54	0.01	66%	0.19	13	1.16%	0	1.1	48	NAN
25	Jan_7_2004	36.96	40.3	40.02	40.56	40.81	41.04	40.6(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	60	10	5	0.02	65%		5.4	1.14%	0	0.4	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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