Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2004

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $41.3400 (0.05%) ($41.0000 - $41.4600) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $41.3400(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.56(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.25(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.86(1.17%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2004	37.91	40.86	41.25	41.56	41.58	41.42	41.34(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-30	-2	28	0.01	63%	0.21	60.9	1.22%	0	0.7	53	0
2	Jan_23_2004	37.83	40.76	41.24	41.37	41.57	41.67	41.32(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	30	6	30	0	64%	0.19	37	1.22%	0	0.7	61	0
3	Jan_22_2004	37.76	40.65	41.23	41.3	41.33	41.74	41.88(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	70	24	54	0.01	66%	0.24	22.9	1.21%	0	1.6	71	0
4	Jan_21_2004	37.67	40.5	41.1	41.11	41.11	41.48	41.98(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	60	34	57	0.01	66%	0.24	6.7	1.21%	0	1.9	69	0
5	Jan_20_2004	37.58	40.5	41.04	40.94	40.94	40.92	41.26(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-0	9	54	0.01	65%	0.21	2	1.2%	0	1	63	0

6	Jan_16_2004	37.5	40.44	41.04	40.92	40.9	40.74	40.4(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-30	-21	64	0.02	63%	0.19	6.3	1.17%	0	-0	62	0
7	Jan_15_2004	37.43	40.48	41.01	41.09	41.06	40.97	41(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-20	-7	94	0	65%	0.21	17.1	1.15%	0	0.6	68	0
8	Jan_14_2004	37.35	40.47	40.87	41.13	41.06	41.06	40.92(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10	-1	110	0.01	65%	0.21	19.1	1.15%	0	0.5	71	0
9	Jan_13_2004	37.27	40.45	40.75	41.07	41.11	41.15	41.1(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	10	-1	114	0.01	65%	0.22	17.3	1.15%	0	0.7	70	0
10	Jan_12_2004	37.19	40.42	40.63	41.15	41	41.16	41.2(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	4	114	0	65%	0.22	20.6	1.15%	0	0.9	51	0

11	Jan_9_2004	37.11	40.39	40.44	41.12	41.05	41.07	41.22(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-0	19	93	0.01	66%	0.22	21.1	1.16%	0	1	46	0
12	Jan_8_2004	37.03	40.33	40.26	40.91	41.02	40.85	41.22(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-20	12	54	0.01	66%	0.19	13	1.16%	0	1.1	48	0
13	Jan_7_2004	36.96	40.33	40.02	40.56	40.81	41.04	40.6(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	60	10	5	0.02	65%	0.16	5.4	1.14%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Jan_6_2004	36.9	40.3	39.87	40.36	40.53	41.19	41.5(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	37	130	54	-14	0.04	69%	0.19	3	1.1%	0	1.5	54	0
15	Jan_5_2004	36.83	40.24	39.77	40.03	40.11	40.59	41.08(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	35	90	58	-34	0.01	69%	0.16	0	1.1%	0	1.1	53	0

16	Jan_2_2004	36.77	40.21	39.79	39.68	39.77	39.88	40.16(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	30	25	-65	0	68%	0.22	-2.7	1.08%	0	-0.1	45	0
17	Dec_31_2003	36.69	40.22	39.88	39.52	39.54	39.63	39.44(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	20	7	-75	0	68%	0.14	3.3	1.06%	0	-1.1	45	0
18	Dec_30_2003	36.64	40.26	40.02	39.4	39.46	39.66	39.6(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	40	20	-76	0.04	68%	0.14	9.5	1.08%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Dec_29_2003	36.59	40.27	40.13	39.29	39.25	39.46	39.86(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-21	30	3	-93	0.02	68%	0.16	17.6	1.08%	0	-0.6	44	0
20	Dec_26_2003	36.53	40.24	40.19	39.48	39.16	39.25	39.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-40	-10	-23	-89	0.01	64%	0.22	31.9	1.08%	0	-1.2	43	0

21	Dec_24_2003	36.45	40.23	40.33	39.93	39.58	39.04	39.34(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-120	-35	-60	0	62%	0.14	51.3	1.08%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Dec_23_2003	36.4	40.2	40.43	40.32	40.15	39.07	38.86(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-75	-200	-82	-54	0.03	61%	0.14	63.6	1.09%	0	-1.6	38	0
23	Dec_22_2003	36.35	40.19	40.63	40.72	40.73	40.12	39.04(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-61	-100	-77	-13	0.01	59%	0.14	79.2	1.09%	0	-1.3	45	0
24	Dec_19_2003	36.3	40.15	40.82	41.05	41.14	41.23	40.8(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	-0	63	0.01	67%	0.17	81.7	0.94%	0	0.6	62	0
25	Dec_18_2003	36.24	39.99	40.78	40.98	41.1	41.33	41.6(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	50	33	95	0.02	72%		70.2	0.91%	0	1.4	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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