Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 4, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.6400 (0.35%) ($40.4800 - $40.7400) on Thu. Dec. 4, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $40.6400(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.98(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.16(3.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.27(6.19%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.27% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.77%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2003	35.62	38.27	39.16	39.98	40.18	40.54	40.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	302	80	297	315	0	73%	0.2	78.9	0.9%	0	1.9	74	NAN
2	Dec_3_2003	35.55	38.04	38.9	39.63	32.45	40.19	40.5(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	1130	56	202	0.01	74%	0.2	76.1	0.91%	0	2.1	77	NAN
3	Dec_2_2003	35.48	37.82	38.64	39.22	32.06	39.82	40(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	766	1150	852	506	0	73%	0.14	72.9	0.92%	0	2	78	NAN
4	Dec_1_2003	35.43	37.63	38.37	38.89	31.68	24.72	39.84(2.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	85	-2090	57	169	0.01	73%	0.17	69.4	0.92%	0	2.2	77	NAN
5	Nov_28_2003	35.37	37.45	38.15	38.5	31.31	24.3	38.9(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-850	-2130	-1038	-285	0	71%	0.17	66.7	0.88%	0	1.6	68	NAN

6	Nov_26_2003	35.31	37.3	38.04	38.22	38.34	38.64	38.9(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	64	60	37	146	0	71%	0.11	60.6	0.88%	0	1.8	73	NAN
7	Nov_25_2003	35.27	37.17	37.87	38.07	38.04	38.32	38.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	50	25	147	0.01	68%	0.11	60.6	0.87%	0	1.6	71	NAN
8	Nov_24_2003	35.23	37.05	37.69	37.98	37.97	38.03	38.34(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	10	30	147	0.01	68%	0.11	60.6	0.89%	0	1.7	71	NAN
9	Nov_21_2003	35.19	36.94	37.52	37.98	37.9	37.77	37.86(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10	-6	122	0.01	62%	0.09	57.4	0.89%	0	1.3	69	NAN
10	Nov_20_2003	35.16	36.86	37.44	37.76	37.83	37.91	37.5(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	20	-12	132	0.01	61%	0.09	59.1	0.9%	0	0.9	63	NAN

11	Nov_19_2003	35.13	36.78	37.32	37.82	37.88	38.03	38.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	30	32	168	0	62%	0.11	61.1	0.87%	0	2	73	NAN
12	Nov_18_2003	35.09	36.67	37.13	37.64	37.76	38.03	38.02(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	10	24	147	0	62%	0.09	58.7	0.89%	0	2.1	70	NAN
13	Nov_17_2003	35.06	36.59	36.95	37.36	37.56	37.74	37.26(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	50	13	120	0	59%	0.09	55.3	0.86%	0	1.2	65	NAN
14	Nov_14_2003	35.03	36.53	36.84	37.24	37.32	37.78	37.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	65	90	45	124	0	63%	0.09	51	0.84%	0	2.5	74	NAN
15	Nov_13_2003	35	36.44	36.69	37.07	37.04	37.38	37.84(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	73	60	59	116	0	63%	0.06	50.4	0.84%	0	3.2	74	NAN

16	Nov_12_2003	34.98	36.36	36.5	36.76	36.84	36.85	37.26(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	10	30	76	0.01	60%	0.09	53	0.82%	0	3	73	NAN
17	Nov_11_2003	34.95	36.31	36.39	36.55	36.64	36.71	36.6(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	20	1	43	0	57%	0.03	62.3	0.8%	0	1.3	58	NAN
18	Nov_10_2003	34.94	36.29	36.35	36.48	36.54	36.83	36.66(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	60	29	43	0	57%	0.03	65.5	0.8%	0	1.8	54	NAN
19	Nov_7_2003	34.93	36.26	36.3	36.37	36.4	36.57	37(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	33	40	33	34	0.01	62%	0.06	63.6	0.81%	0	3.7	64	NAN
20	Nov_6_2003	34.91	36.22	36.22	36.24	36.4	36.25	36.26(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-0	3	10	0.01	55%	0	92.3	0.77%	0	0.3	54	NAN

21	Nov_5_2003	34.91	36.2	36.19	36.21	36.28	36.23	36.24(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-0	-5	-6	0	55%	-0.03	84	0.8%	0	0.2	46	NAN
22	Nov_4_2003	34.92	36.17	36.18	36.21	36.3	36.31	36.22(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	214	10	254	93	0	55%	0	85.5	0.8%	0	0.2	45	NAN
23	Nov_3_2003	34.92	36.15	36.18	36.2	29.49	36.33	36.14(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	1070	3	-4	0.02	55%	0.03	106.9	0.8%	0	-0	50	NAN
24	Oct_31_2003	34.91	36.13	36.2	36.22	29.44	36.29	36.36(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	726	1070	855	339	0.02	55%	0.03	104.2	0.8%	0	0.9	54	NAN
25	Oct_30_2003	34.9	36.09	36.18	36.19	29.42	22.66	36.1(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	5	-2170	8	-5	0	55%		92.3	0.79%	0	0	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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