Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 3, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.4600 (1.14%) ($35.4600 - $35.6800) on Fri. Oct. 3, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $35.4600(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.07(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.05(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35(1.31%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20031103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2003	34.58	35	35.05	35.07	35.12	35.32	35.46(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	40	30	2	0.01	51%	0.06	89	0.86%	0	1.3	58	NAN
2	Oct_2_2003	34.56	34.94	35.06	34.9	34.94	35.1	35.06(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	40	15	-8	0	51%	0.09	76.9	0.88%	0	0.3	54	NAN
3	Oct_1_2003	34.53	34.89	35.1	34.89	34.94	34.92	35.28(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	20	12	4	0.04	49%	0.09	77.5	0.9%	0	0.9	59	NAN
4	Sep_30_2003	34.5	34.82	35.08	34.81	34.81	34.79	34.64(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-0	-7	1	0.01	45%	0.06	66.5	0.89%	0	-0.3	57	NAN
5	Sep_29_2003	34.48	34.76	35.08	34.94	34.91	34.71	34.9(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-40	-16	11	0.03	45%	0.06	73.9	0.89%	0	0.3	52	NAN

6	Sep_26_2003	34.46	34.69	35.1	35.02	35.03	34.83	34.6(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-24	-40	-36	14	0	43%	0.06	66.8	0.9%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
7	Sep_25_2003	34.44	34.63	35.13	35.24	35.2	35.12	35.02(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-20	-18	55	0	45%	0.06	65.4	0.88%	0	0.5	62	NAN
8	Sep_24_2003	34.42	34.54	35.1	35.34	35.34	35.24	34.88(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-20	-6	86	0.07	45%	0.06	57.4	0.88%	0	0.4	67	NAN
9	Sep_23_2003	34.4	34.46	35.06	35.38	35.39	35.28	35.32(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-20	-1	105	0	45%	0.09	49.4	0.87%	0	1.1	72	NAN
10	Sep_22_2003	34.37	34.36	35.01	35.28	35.33	35.45	35.3(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	30	8	126	0.03	45%	0.12	35.1	0.88%	0	1.1	77	NAN

11	Sep_19_2003	34.33	34.27	34.95	35.18	35.21	35.5	35.7(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	60	36	157	0	44%	0.12	26.3	0.87%	0	1.8	84	NAN
12	Sep_18_2003	34.29	34.17	34.81	35.01	34.99	35.21	35.48(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	40	32	156	0.03	44%	0.12	19.2	0.89%	0	1.8	83	NAN
13	Sep_17_2003	34.25	34.11	34.65	34.84	34.85	34.92	35.12(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	10	21	152	0	42%	0.12	12.8	0.88%	0	1.5	82	NAN
14	Sep_16_2003	34.21	34.11	34.53	34.84	34.73	34.78	34.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	3	145	0	44%	0.12	5.4	0.88%	0	1.2	79	NAN
15	Sep_15_2003	34.17	34.07	34.39	34.7	34.64	34.79	34.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	42	30	6	148	0	44%	0.12	9	0.91%	0	1.2	79	NAN

16	Sep_12_2003	34.13	34.06	34.24	34.68	34.65	34.69	34.82(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	10	18	148	0	44%	0.12	11.2	0.91%	0	1.2	67	NAN
17	Sep_11_2003	34.09	34.03	34.09	34.59	34.6	34.5	34.66(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-20	7	127	0	49%	0.12	11.9	0.9%	0	1	58	NAN
18	Sep_10_2003	34.05	34.02	33.94	34.42	34.52	34.62	34.38(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	30	6	85	0.11	49%	0.09	9.9	0.95%	0	0.6	49	NAN
19	Sep_9_2003	34.02	34.03	33.82	34.34	34.36	34.7	34.84(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	70	42	69	0	51%	0.15	8.5	0.94%	0	1.3	50	NAN
20	Sep_8_2003	33.97	34.01	33.65	34.03	34.11	34.42	34.72(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	70	49	10	0.01	51%	0.03	-4.4	0.94%	0	1.1	42	NAN

21	Sep_5_2003	33.96	33.99	33.53	33.74	33.81	34.02	34.34(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	50	32	-48	0	51%	0.12	-17.5	0.94%	0	0.6	40	NAN
22	Sep_4_2003	33.92	33.99	33.47	33.53	33.57	33.81	33.84(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	50	25	-85	0.02	46%	0.12	-32.2	0.93%	0	-0.2	38	NAN
23	Sep_3_2003	33.88	33.96	33.5	33.38	33.44	33.6	33.94(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	40	29	-103	0.01	46%	0.15	-44.6	0.95%	0	-0	39	NAN
24	Sep_2_2003	33.83	33.98	33.55	33.23	33.28	33.33	33.3(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	20	6	-139	0.04	45%	0.24	-54.8	0.91%	0	-1.1	24	NAN
25	Aug_29_2003	33.75	34.04	33.7	33.21	33.21	33.29	33.28(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	20	-3	-138	0	48%		-64.1	0.92%	0	-1.3	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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