Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.3000 (-1.12%) ($35.0600 - $35.3800) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $35.3000(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.28(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.01(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.36(2.74%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2003	34.37	34.36	35.01	35.28	35.33	35.45	35.3(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	30	8	126	0.03	45%	0.12	35.1	0.88%	0	1.1	77	0
2	Sep_19_2003	34.33	34.27	34.95	35.18	35.21	35.5	35.7(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	60	36	157	0	44%	0.12	26.3	0.87%	0	1.8	84	0
3	Sep_18_2003	34.29	34.17	34.81	35.01	34.99	35.21	35.48(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	40	32	156	0.03	44%	0.12	19.2	0.89%	0	1.8	83	0
4	Sep_17_2003	34.25	34.11	34.65	34.84	34.85	34.92	35.12(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	10	21	152	0	42%	0.12	12.8	0.88%	0	1.5	82	0
5	Sep_16_2003	34.21	34.11	34.53	34.84	34.73	34.78	34.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	3	145	0	44%	0.12	5.4	0.88%	0	1.2	79	0

6	Sep_15_2003	34.17	34.07	34.39	34.7	34.64	34.79	34.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	42	30	6	148	0	44%	0.12	9	0.91%	0	1.2	79	0
7	Sep_12_2003	34.13	34.06	34.24	34.68	34.65	34.69	34.82(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	10	18	148	0	44%	0.12	11.2	0.91%	0	1.2	67	0
8	Sep_11_2003	34.09	34.03	34.09	34.59	34.6	34.5	34.66(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-20	7	127	0	49%	0.12	11.9	0.9%	0	1	58	0
9	Sep_10_2003	34.05	34.02	33.94	34.42	34.52	34.62	34.38(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	30	6	85	0.11	49%	0.09	9.9	0.95%	0	0.6	49	0
10	Sep_9_2003	34.02	34.03	33.82	34.34	34.36	34.7	34.84(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	70	42	69	0	51%	0.15	8.5	0.94%	0	1.3	50	0

11	Sep_8_2003	33.97	34.01	33.65	34.03	34.11	34.42	34.72(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	70	49	10	0.01	51%	0.03	-4.4	0.94%	0	1.1	42	0
12	Sep_5_2003	33.96	33.99	33.53	33.74	33.81	34.02	34.34(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	50	32	-48	0	51%	0.12	-17.5	0.94%	0	0.6	40	0
13	Sep_4_2003	33.92	33.99	33.47	33.53	33.57	33.81	33.84(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	50	25	-85	0.02	46%	0.12	-32.2	0.93%	0	-0.2	38	0
14	Sep_3_2003	33.88	33.96	33.5	33.38	33.44	33.6	33.94(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	40	29	-103	0.01	46%	0.15	-44.6	0.95%	0	-0	39	0
15	Sep_2_2003	33.83	33.98	33.55	33.23	33.28	33.33	33.3(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	20	6	-139	0.04	45%	0.24	-54.8	0.91%	0	-1.1	24	0

16	Aug_29_2003	33.75	34.04	33.7	33.21	33.21	33.29	33.28(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	20	-3	-138	0	48%	0.09	-64.1	0.92%	0	-1.3	30	0
17	Aug_28_2003	33.72	34.09	33.85	33.28	33.23	33.24	33.28(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-0	-5	-123	0	48%	0.12	-70.2	0.95%	0	-1.5	33	0
18	Aug_27_2003	33.68	34.16	33.97	33.41	33.3	33.13	33.12(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-50	-26	-109	0	51%	0.12	-69	0.95%	0	-2	43	0
19	Aug_26_2003	33.64	34.23	34.12	33.64	33.52	33.22	33.18(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-70	-39	-80	0	51%	0.12	-66.4	0.97%	0	-2.2	44	0
20	Aug_25_2003	33.6	34.31	34.28	33.91	33.83	33.47	33.2(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-50	-80	-49	-52	0	51%	0.15	-52.7	0.97%	0	-2.5	37	0

21	Aug_22_2003	33.55	34.41	34.42	34.26	34.15	33.83	33.6(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-35	-80	-42	-13	0.01	55%	0.18	-26.4	0.98%	0	-2.1	40	0
22	Aug_21_2003	33.49	34.48	34.42	34.5	34.44	34.19	33.94(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-17	-60	-28	18	0.02	56%	0.18	-3	0.97%	0	-1.6	45	0
23	Aug_20_2003	33.43	34.52	34.51	34.62	34.63	34.48	34.28(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	165	-30	185	105	0	58%	0.18	21.5	0.97%	0	-0.8	47	0
24	Aug_19_2003	33.37	34.52	34.48	34.66	28.21	34.7	34.52(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	1050	-7	23	0.01	56%	0.03	37.6	0.96%	0	-0.1	49	0
25	Aug_18_2003	33.36	34.55	34.46	34.7	28.19	34.79	34.96(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	590	1080	687	299	0	58%		46.2	0.96%	0	1.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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