Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 16, 2003

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.3000 (0.3%) ($33.0200 - $33.5000) on Fri. May. 16, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $33.3000(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(15%)    XLU(50%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.86(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.78(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.97(4.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2003	30.85	31.97	32.78	32.86	32.92	33.15	33.3(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	50	20	118	0.03	86%	0.26	79.5	1.17%	0	1.4	84	0
2	May_15_2003	30.77	31.82	32.61	32.7	32.79	32.95	33.2(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	40	18	123	0	86%	0.26	78.5	1.19%	0	1.4	87	0
3	May_14_2003	30.69	31.65	32.45	32.62	32.66	32.69	32.62(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	164	10	158	181	0	84%	0.2	77.7	1.18%	0	1	66	0
4	May_13_2003	30.63	31.51	32.36	32.65	26.5	32.63	32.5(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	1050	-4	127	0	84%	0.23	78.3	1.2%	0	1	66	0
5	May_12_2003	30.56	31.38	32.25	32.74	26.51	32.62	32.66(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	470	1040	509	352	0	84%	0.23	82.2	1.21%	0	1.2	71	0

6	May_9_2003	30.49	31.23	32.09	32.68	26.52	20.38	32.52(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-2190	10	163	0	84%	0.26	85.5	1.23%	0	1.2	75	0
7	May_8_2003	30.41	31.08	31.88	32.5	26.43	20.41	32.78(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-497	-2150	-628	-105	0	84%	0.3	87	1.23%	0	1.6	74	0
8	May_7_2003	30.32	30.91	31.72	32.26	32.27	32.66	32.78(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	90	27	157	0.03	84%	0.33	86.7	1.24%	0	1.7	76	0
9	May_6_2003	30.22	30.73	31.54	32.02	31.99	32.45	32.96(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	100	46	166	0	84%	0.37	90.1	1.25%	0	2.2	78	0
10	May_5_2003	30.11	30.54	31.31	31.7	31.71	31.88	32.38(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	40	34	150	0	83%	0.33	0	1.25%	0	2	75	0

11	May_2_2003	30.01	30.33	31.08	31.43	31.47	31.53	31.58(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	47	20	18	135	0	80%	0.23	0	1.21%	0	1.3	73	0
12	May_1_2003	29.94	30.17	30.95	31.17	31.3	31.54	31.58(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	43	70	16	122	0.03	80%	0.27	0	1.23%	0	1.5	73	0
13	Apr_30_2003	29.86	30.01	30.78	31.09	31.04	31.41	31.58(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	80	22	126	0	80%	0.3	0	1.26%	0	1.6	75	0
14	Apr_29_2003	29.77	29.83	30.6	30.99	30.92	31.06	31.38(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	20	23	126	0.01	80%	0.27	0	1.29%	0	1.6	75	0
15	Apr_28_2003	29.69	29.83	30.44	30.87	30.86	30.67	31.02(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-40	8	3	0	80%	0.24	0	1.32%	0	33	73	0

16	Apr_25_2003	29.62	29.83	30.3	30.87	30.77	30.77	30.28(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	10	-9	-4	0	75%	0.14	0	1.27%	0	33.3	76	0
17	Apr_24_2003	29.58	29.83	30.23	30.68	30.68	31.04	31.18(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	80	37	15	0	100%	0.34	0	0.99%	0	33.5	92	0
18	Apr_23_2003	29.48	29.83	30.04	30.42	30.46	30.78	31.1(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	80	48	19	0	100%	0.37	0	1.02%	0	36.2	92	0
19	Apr_22_2003	29.37	29.83	29.85	30.15	30.19	30.32	30.78(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	21	30	25	10	0.01	100%	0.34	0	1.05%	0	39.5	91	0
20	Apr_21_2003	29.27	29.83	29.69	29.96	30.02	30.14	30.06(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	30	14	6	0	100%	0.21	0	0.96%	0	42.9	50	0

21	Apr_17_2003	29.21	29.83	29.53	29.86	29.93	30.05	30.3(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	174	40	205	82	0.01	100%	0.31	0	0.92%	0	43.9	50	0
22	Apr_16_2003	29.12	29.83	29.33	29.72	24.22	29.9	29.86(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	1090	18	7	0.01	100%	0.24	0	0.93%	0	46.7	50	0
23	Apr_15_2003	29.05	29.83	29.17	29.6	24.11	29.8	29.76(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	502	1100	591	236	0.01	100%	0.24	0	0.97%	0	47.2	50	0
24	Apr_14_2003	28.98	29.83	29.01	29.5	23.98	18.55	29.84(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	159	-2150	187	75	0	100%	0.35	0	0.98%	0	48.9	50	0
25	Apr_11_2003	28.88	29.83	29.01	29.38	18.38	18.41	29.56(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-575	-1110	-676	-270	0	100%		0	1.03%	0	51.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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