Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.6600 (0.11%) ($26.6200 - $26.7800) on Tue. Aug. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $26.6600(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(81%)    SPY(80%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.54(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.1(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.65(3.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(44%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.03%(37%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 2.23%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.35%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2016	25.39	25.65	26.1	26.54	26.61	26.67	26.66(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	20	7	79	6.13	38%	0.08	73.9	1.75%	0	1.5	81	0
2	Aug_15_2016	25.37	25.54	25.97	26.46	26.54	26.6	26.63(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	20	12	80	2.59	38%	0.04	75.3	1.76%	0	1.7	83	0
3	Aug_12_2016	25.36	25.44	25.86	26.26	26.4	26.55	26.5(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	60	14	75	3.23	38%	0.04	77.1	1.76%	0	1.8	83	0
4	Aug_11_2016	25.35	25.35	25.76	26.07	26.18	26.47	26.53(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	90	22	76	3.31	38%	0.04	82.4	1.76%	0	2.1	85	0
5	Aug_10_2016	25.34	25.26	25.65	25.82	25.9	26.26	26.38(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	36	110	25	68	1.87	38%	0.04	92.6	1.76%	0	2.2	84	0

6	Aug_9_2016	25.33	25.16	25.53	25.6	25.62	25.88	26.27(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	31	70	22	58	3.9	38%	0.04	99.5	1.77%	0	2.4	83	0
7	Aug_8_2016	25.32	25.07	25.41	25.41	25.39	25.54	25.64(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	18	40	8	47	2.91	34%	0	105.7	1.74%	0	1.3	82	0
8	Aug_5_2016	25.32	24.99	25.34	25.39	25.32	25.35	25.51(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	0	1	46	2.38	34%	0	92.5	1.74%	0	1	68	0
9	Aug_4_2016	25.32	24.9	25.27	25.42	25.36	25.25	25.3(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-3	48	1.78	33%	0	75.1	1.74%	0	0.7	66	0
10	Aug_3_2016	25.32	24.8	25.22	25.44	25.44	25.29	25.29(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-40	-6	49	1.74	31%	0	65.3	1.75%	0	0.7	62	0

11	Aug_2_2016	25.32	24.7	25.17	25.45	25.48	25.46	25.31(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-0	-1	57	7.95	31%	0	61.9	1.76%	0	0.8	69	0
12	Aug_1_2016	25.32	24.61	25.09	25.4	25.45	25.59	25.55(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	11	59	2.56	31%	0	63.5	1.77%	0	1.3	76	0
13	Jul_29_2016	25.32	24.53	25.01	25.27	25.31	25.49	25.65(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	50	16	61	2.46	31%	0.08	65.8	1.78%	0	1.6	83	0
14	Jul_28_2016	25.3	24.45	24.91	25.09	25.14	25.32	25.42(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	60	13	61	4.9	31%	0.04	49.2	1.78%	0	1.5	85	0
15	Jul_27_2016	25.29	24.36	24.85	24.97	24.99	25.14	25.3(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	40	11	73	4.27	31%	0.04	35.2	1.78%	0	1.5	88	0

16	Jul_26_2016	25.28	24.27	24.76	24.86	24.89	24.97	25.07(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	30	10	81	5.82	31%	0.04	13.4	1.78%	0	1.3	81	0
17	Jul_25_2016	25.27	24.16	24.69	24.74	24.82	24.85	24.89(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	20	5	85	2.62	31%	0	-11.1	1.77%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Jul_22_2016	25.27	24.09	24.61	24.71	24.7	24.81	24.78(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	2	82	3.3	31%	0	-23.3	1.77%	0	1.1	58	0
19	Jul_21_2016	25.27	24.14	24.5	24.7	24.68	24.78	24.79(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	30	5	80	6.1	31%	0.04	-11.9	1.77%	0	0.9	59	0
20	Jul_20_2016	25.26	24.15	24.35	24.71	24.66	24.6	24.77(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-20	3	74	2.08	31%	0	-7.5	1.77%	0	0.8	63	0

21	Jul_19_2016	25.26	24.19	24.21	24.64	24.68	24.58	24.46(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-20	-3	68	3.28	35%	0.08	-2.3	1.77%	0	0.3	65	0
22	Jul_18_2016	25.24	24.19	24.1	24.63	24.69	24.71	24.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	10	5	77	2.99	35%	0.04	1.4	1.79%	0	0.6	73	0
23	Jul_15_2016	25.23	24.19	24.03	24.49	24.64	24.78	24.73(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	60	16	79	9.82	35%	0.04	-4.1	1.8%	0	0.6	62	0
24	Jul_14_2016	25.22	24.23	23.95	24.27	24.48	24.68	24.83(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	80	26	42	8.59	35%	0.04	-17.7	1.8%	0	0.7	40	0
25	Jul_13_2016	25.21	24.21	23.83	23.93	24.17	24.5	24.45(0.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	15	130	22	-5	3.65	35%		-38.3	1.79%	0	0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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