Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.3700 (-3.11%) ($23.3100 - $23.7200) on Tue. Jul. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $23.3700(-3.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    SPY(80%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.92(-31.88%)
Resistance Level   $24.71
5 Day Moving Average   $23.73(-1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.16(-3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.71(-5.42%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 2.81%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.99%(52%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 4.72%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.52%(48%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 6.09%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.33%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2016	25.21	24.71	24.16	23.73	23.81	23.85	23.37(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	20	-0	-78	17	31%	0	-54.6	1.8%	0	-1.3	45	INF
2	Jul_1_2016	25.21	24.85	24.38	23.64	23.77	24.03	24.12(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	90	19	-70	22.6	33%	0.08	-56.7	1.77%	0	-0.7	47	INF
3	Jun_30_2016	25.19	24.94	24.46	23.51	23.44	23.78	24.05(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-31	90	-10	-95	14.3	33%	0.04	-59.8	1.76%	0	-0.8	43	INF
4	Jun_29_2016	25.18	25.04	24.52	23.91	23.38	23.51	23.71(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-30	-12	-84	11.63	33%	0	-50.4	1.75%	0	-1.3	36	INF
5	Jun_28_2016	25.18	25.16	24.62	24.21	23.93	23.11	23.39(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-270	-34	-95	16.49	33%	0.04	-43.1	1.75%	0	-1.8	31	INF

6	Jun_27_2016	25.17	25.29	24.74	24.68	24.41	23.24	22.92(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-86	-370	-80	-105	11.8	30%	-0.04	-29.5	1.73%	0	-2.5	28	INF
7	Jun_24_2016	25.18	25.46	24.95	25.2	25.13	24.75	23.49(-9.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-52	-110	-46	-70	46.6	32%	0	-14.1	1.72%	0	-2.5	33	INF
8	Jun_23_2016	25.18	25.59	25.13	25.49	25.63	25.58	26.04(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	0	27	-50	11.62	42%	0.04	2	1.22%	0	0.7	48	INF
9	Jun_22_2016	25.17	25.58	25.1	25.22	25.37	25.51	25.22(-2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	60	8	-92	10.22	35%	0.08	-6.1	1.16%	0	-0.6	41	INF
10	Jun_21_2016	25.15	25.6	25.22	25.09	25.13	25.68	25.74(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	160	46	-87	6.42	38%	0.08	-10.7	1.13%	0	0.2	46	INF

11	Jun_20_2016	25.13	25.6	25.27	24.83	24.85	25.22	25.53(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	110	48	-108	12.8	38%	0.04	-25.2	1.12%	0	-0.1	44	INF
12	Jun_17_2016	25.12	25.57	25.32	24.67	24.85	24.59	24.93(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-37	-0	1	-150	9.3	31%	0.04	-32.9	1.08%	0	-1	33	INF
13	Jun_16_2016	25.11	25.58	25.44	24.72	24.56	24.48	24.69(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-40	-28	-159	5.5	36%	0	-35	1.07%	0	-1.4	27	INF
14	Jun_15_2016	25.11	25.62	25.58	24.98	24.78	24.53	24.54(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-90	-43	-131	5.26	36%	0	-29.1	1.09%	0	-1.8	31	INF
15	Jun_14_2016	25.11	25.67	25.73	25.37	25.12	24.64	24.46(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-67	-160	-60	-88	9.32	36%	0.04	-18.6	1.09%	0	-2.2	36	INF

16	Jun_13_2016	25.1	25.73	25.89	25.77	25.63	25.02	24.75(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-52	-180	-60	-27	4.95	38%	0	0.5	1.08%	0	-2.1	49	INF
17	Jun_10_2016	25.1	25.78	26.03	26.06	26.05	25.61	25.15(-3.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.2	-29	-120	-46	23	6.55	49%	0.08	16.6	1.15%	0	-1.5	52	INF
18	Jun_9_2016	25.08	25.8	26.13	26.06	26.28	26.24	26.01(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10	-13	84	3.75	56%	0.08	31.6	1.07%	0	0.5	72	INF
19	Jun_8_2016	25.06	25.79	26.12	26.25	26.3	26.5	26.49(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	60	20	112	1.39	61%	0.12	34.4	1.04%	0	1.8	75	INF
20	Jun_7_2016	25.03	25.77	26.03	26.14	26.16	26.33	26.47(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	50	24	107	5.07	61%	0.04	29.2	1.05%	0	1.9	74	INF

21	Jun_6_2016	25.02	25.73	25.9	26.03	26	26.1	26.16(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	20	8	80	3.33	59%	0.12	14.1	1.05%	0	1.3	60	INF
22	Jun_3_2016	24.99	25.71	25.82	26	26	25.99	26.12(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	0	5	74	3.04	59%	0.08	5	1.05%	0	1.3	63	INF
23	Jun_2_2016	24.97	25.68	25.72	25.99	25.97	25.91	26(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-20	-1	62	4.43	59%	0.04	-7.7	1.05%	0	1.1	57	INF
24	Jun_1_2016	24.96	25.68	25.65	25.96	26.01	25.96	25.96(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10	3	50	4.08	66%	0.04	-24.8	1.05%	0	1	50	INF
25	May_31_2016	24.95	25.66	25.59	25.89	26	26.02	25.93(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	20	13	31	4.63	59%		-37.2	1.07%	0	0.9	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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