Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.7800 (0.07%) ($26.6800 - $26.8900) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $26.7800(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-18%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.25(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.76(3.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.57(4.73%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(39%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(61%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.92%(50%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(32%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.67%(68%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2016	25	25.57	25.76	26.25	26.32	26.75	26.78(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	120	33	105	3.4	60%	-0.04	38.1	1.32%	0	2.2	60	0
2	Apr_19_2016	25.01	25.5	25.59	26.04	26.09	26.33	26.76(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	46	70	37	74	3.69	61%	0	35.9	1.34%	0	2.7	56	0
3	Apr_18_2016	25.01	25.43	25.38	25.78	25.84	25.89	26.09(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	20	17	28	4.15	58%	-0.04	29.7	1.32%	0	1.8	55	0
4	Apr_15_2016	25.02	25.4	25.31	25.58	25.68	25.85	25.8(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	60	15	11	3.39	53%	0.04	21.6	1.32%	0	1.2	57	0
5	Apr_14_2016	25.01	25.39	25.27	25.43	25.53	25.79	25.83(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	80	28	6	3.24	54%	-0.08	26.9	1.41%	0	1.3	58	0

6	Apr_13_2016	25.03	25.37	25.27	25.18	25.32	25.51	25.74(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	12	70	21	-15	2.72	51%	0	23	1.41%	0	1.2	53	0
7	Apr_12_2016	25.03	25.34	25.25	25.06	25.07	25.26	25.43(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	50	13	-24	3.52	53%	-0.08	26.2	1.44%	0	0.3	48	0
8	Apr_11_2016	25.05	25.34	25.27	24.94	24.99	25.14	25.11(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	50	8	-36	2.92	53%	-0.08	26.2	1.45%	0	-0.7	45	0
9	Apr_8_2016	25.07	25.33	25.28	24.99	24.89	24.88	25.02(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10	-6	-42	10.83	53%	-0.08	40.2	1.45%	0	-1	43	0
10	Apr_7_2016	25.09	25.3	25.3	25.09	25	24.84	24.6(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-60	-18	-43	9.83	49%	-0.08	38	1.44%	0	-1.8	37	0

11	Apr_6_2016	25.11	25.29	25.39	25.32	25.16	24.91	25.15(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-90	-23	-27	2.71	50%	-0.04	52.5	1.43%	0	-0.3	44	0
12	Apr_5_2016	25.12	25.29	25.43	25.48	25.38	25.17	24.8(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-70	-23	-7	3.27	50%	-0.08	55.9	1.43%	0	-1	47	0
13	Apr_4_2016	25.14	25.25	25.51	25.63	25.66	25.42	25.4(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-4	19	4.83	50%	0	73.7	1.4%	0	0.3	55	0
14	Apr_1_2016	25.14	25.21	25.51	25.6	25.63	25.6	25.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-0	-6	22	5.74	50%	-0.04	78.2	1.44%	0	0.6	61	0
15	Mar_31_2016	25.15	25.15	25.52	25.53	25.6	25.9	25.73(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	90	16	44	4.35	48%	-0.04	80.7	1.44%	0	1.1	78	0

16	Mar_30_2016	25.16	25.08	25.5	25.47	25.43	25.65	25.93(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	29	60	19	58	4.46	46%	0	82.8	1.45%	0	1.6	79	0
17	Mar_29_2016	25.16	25	25.42	25.39	25.32	25.3	25.59(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	18	-10	4	58	3.38	48%	-0.04	85.4	1.46%	0	1.1	78	0
18	Mar_28_2016	25.17	24.89	25.38	25.38	25.34	25.2	25.24(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-40	-9	65	1.91	48%	-0.16	68.6	1.45%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Mar_24_2016	25.21	24.81	25.37	25.44	25.4	25.33	25.17(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-20	-10	81	2.31	48%	-0.08	62.2	1.45%	0	0.5	64	0
20	Mar_23_2016	25.23	24.74	25.3	25.51	25.49	25.47	25.43(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10	0	90	3.43	49%	-0.08	60.3	1.45%	0	0.9	71	0

21	Mar_22_2016	25.25	24.64	25.19	25.52	25.47	25.46	25.52(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-10	2	97	3.6	49%	-0.08	57.3	1.46%	0	1.2	77	0
22	Mar_21_2016	25.27	24.55	25.07	25.45	25.44	25.52	25.52(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	20	7	94	6.03	49%	-0.04	59.2	1.46%	0	1.4	76	0
23	Mar_18_2016	25.28	24.48	24.97	25.39	25.34	25.47	25.55(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	30	10	108	8.1	48%	-0.08	66.9	1.47%	0	1.6	84	0
24	Mar_17_2016	25.3	24.39	24.87	25.3	25.26	25.37	25.51(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	30	22	122	4.88	48%	-0.08	75.2	1.47%	0	1.8	76	0
25	Mar_16_2016	25.32	24.31	24.76	25.05	25.15	25.2	25.52(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	30	19	112	4.88	50%		78.7	1.47%	0	2.1	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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