Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $25.5100 (-0.04%) ($25.2700 - $25.5400) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $25.5100(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.3(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.87(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.39(4.59%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.32%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	25.3	24.39	24.87	25.3	25.26	25.37	25.51(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	30	22	122	4.88	48%	-0.08	75.2	1.47%	0	1.8	76	0
2	Mar_16_2016	25.32	24.31	24.76	25.05	25.15	25.2	25.52(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	30	19	112	4.88	50%	-0.04	78.7	1.47%	0	2.1	76	0
3	Mar_15_2016	25.33	24.23	24.62	24.81	24.93	25.16	25.13(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	80	15	102	2.91	48%	-0.08	81.2	1.48%	0	1.7	76	0
4	Mar_14_2016	25.35	24.14	24.53	24.64	24.75	25.1	25.24(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	110	26	100	3.92	48%	-0.08	82.6	1.48%	0	2.2	70	0
5	Mar_11_2016	25.37	24.03	24.34	24.49	24.54	24.71	25.11(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	50	19	73	9.92	46%	-0.08	73	1.48%	0	2.3	60	0

6	Mar_10_2016	25.39	23.92	24.2	24.38	24.39	24.41	24.25(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	10	-2	54	24.5	42%	-0.08	57.1	1.44%	0	0.7	56	0
7	Mar_9_2016	25.41	23.86	24.14	24.42	24.43	24.37	24.34(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-20	2	56	4.83	42%	-0.08	46.7	1.44%	0	1	55	0
8	Mar_8_2016	25.43	23.79	24.05	24.42	24.42	24.38	24.24(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10	-3	45	4.24	41%	-0.08	37.4	1.43%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Mar_7_2016	25.45	23.73	24	24.39	24.36	24.49	24.49(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	30	15	57	8.48	41%	-0.08	26	1.44%	0	1.4	65	0
10	Mar_4_2016	25.47	23.69	23.96	24.17	24.28	24.47	24.56(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	70	25	56	6.23	41%	-0.08	8.5	1.45%	0	1.7	70	0

11	Mar_3_2016	25.49	23.65	23.88	23.99	23.99	24.23	24.46(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	70	17	51	3.13	41%	-0.08	-2.6	1.45%	0	1.8	71	0
12	Mar_2_2016	25.51	23.63	23.82	23.83	23.84	24.09	24.22(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	70	25	55	4.34	40%	-0.08	-14	1.44%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Mar_1_2016	25.53	23.63	23.79	23.66	23.7	23.75	24.24(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	20	16	51	5.03	40%	-0.08	-33.7	1.46%	0	1.5	67	0
14	Feb_29_2016	25.55	23.6	23.71	23.55	23.49	23.59	23.36(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	20	-14	40	4.08	35%	-0.12	-36.8	1.36%	0	-0.6	58	0
15	Feb_26_2016	25.58	23.64	23.69	23.71	23.59	23.65	23.65(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	0	4	57	4.03	35%	-0.08	-24.2	1.36%	0	0	50	0

16	Feb_25_2016	25.6	23.67	23.63	23.76	23.68	23.4	23.66(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-90	-10	37	3.98	37%	-0.08	-17	1.37%	0	-0	44	0
17	Feb_24_2016	25.62	23.69	23.57	23.82	23.74	23.53	23.4(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-70	-27	19	7.37	37%	-0.12	-5.9	1.37%	0	-0.6	39	0
18	Feb_23_2016	25.65	23.74	23.53	23.93	23.74	23.96	23.7(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	10	3	31	3.93	37%	-0.04	5.2	1.37%	0	-0.1	50	0
19	Feb_22_2016	25.66	23.74	23.47	23.88	23.94	23.95	24.14(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	18	9	2.84	38%	-0.04	5.2	1.35%	0	0.8	46	0
20	Feb_19_2016	25.67	23.75	23.4	23.67	23.76	23.92	23.89(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	60	17	-25	5.01	38%	-0.04	-9	1.34%	0	0.3	42	0

21	Feb_18_2016	25.68	23.74	23.4	23.47	23.55	23.93	23.97(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	120	31	-44	9.37	38%	0	-25.1	1.35%	0	0.5	46	0
22	Feb_17_2016	25.68	23.74	23.41	23.28	23.26	23.59	23.94(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	100	31	-65	7.23	38%	-0.04	-47.9	1.36%	0	0.4	44	0
23	Feb_16_2016	25.69	23.72	23.38	23.09	23.09	23.17	23.44(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	20	18	-106	3.52	35%	0	-64	1.33%	0	-0.6	35	0
24	Feb_12_2016	25.69	23.73	23.45	23	22.97	22.93	23.12(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-20	-9	-123	11.67	34%	-0.04	-74.9	1.32%	0	-1.2	40	0
25	Feb_11_2016	25.7	23.8	23.57	23.1	22.96	23.01	22.87(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-0	-21	-118	16.21	34%		-69.2	1.31%	0	-1.8	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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