Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.2400 (3.77%) ($23.8600 - $24.2600) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $24.2400(3.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    IPO(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.66(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.79(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.6(2.71%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	25.53		23.79	23.66	23.7	23.75	24.24(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	20	16	51	5.03	40%	-0.08	-33.7	1.46%	0	1.5	67	INF
2	Feb_29_2016	25.55	23.6	23.71	23.55	23.49	23.59	23.36(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	20	-14	40	4.08	35%	-0.12	-36.8	1.36%	0	-0.6	58	INF
3	Feb_26_2016	25.58	23.64	23.69	23.71	23.59	23.65	23.65(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	0	4	57	4.03	35%	-0.08	-24.2	1.36%	0	0	50	INF
4	Feb_25_2016	25.6	23.67	23.63	23.76	23.68	23.4	23.66(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-90	-10	37	3.98	37%	-0.08	-17	1.37%	0	-0	44	INF
5	Feb_24_2016	25.62	23.69	23.57	23.82	23.74	23.53	23.4(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-70	-27	19	7.37	37%	-0.12	-5.9	1.37%	0	-0.6	39	INF

6	Feb_23_2016	25.65	23.74	23.53	23.93	23.74	23.96	23.7(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	10	3	31	3.93	37%	-0.04	5.2	1.37%	0	-0.1	50	INF
7	Feb_22_2016	25.66	23.74	23.47	23.88	23.94	23.95	24.14(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	10	18	9	2.84	38%	-0.04	5.2	1.35%	0	0.8	46	INF
8	Feb_19_2016	25.67	23.75	23.4	23.67	23.76	23.92	23.89(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	60	17	-25	5.01	38%	-0.04	-9	1.34%	0	0.3	42	INF
9	Feb_18_2016	25.68	23.74	23.4	23.47	23.55	23.93	23.97(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	120	31	-44	9.37	38%	0	-25.1	1.35%	0	0.5	46	INF
10	Feb_17_2016	25.68	23.74	23.41	23.28	23.26	23.59	23.94(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	100	31	-65	7.23	38%	-0.04	-47.9	1.36%	0	0.4	44	INF

11	Feb_16_2016	25.69	23.72	23.38	23.09	23.09	23.17	23.44(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	20	18	-106	3.52	35%	0	-64	1.33%	0	-0.6	35	INF
12	Feb_12_2016	25.69	23.73	23.45	23	22.97	22.93	23.12(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-20	-9	-123	11.67	34%	-0.04	-74.9	1.32%	0	-1.2	40	INF
13	Feb_11_2016	25.7	23.8	23.57	23.1	22.96	23.01	22.87(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-0	-21	-118	16.21	34%	-0.08	-69.2	1.31%	0	-1.8	33	INF
14	Feb_10_2016	25.72	23.87	23.7	23.34	23.19	23	23.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-80	-15	-86	9.71	34%	-0.08	-71	1.31%	0	-1.8	44	INF
15	Feb_9_2016	25.74	23.96	23.83	23.56	23.39	22.91	22.97(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-40	-170	-34	-58	12.01	32%	-0.08	-61.7	1.31%	0	-2.1	47	INF

16	Feb_8_2016	25.76	24.04	23.98	23.7	23.68	23.38	23.01(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-39	-90	-40	-37	11.59	32%	-0.12	-71.4	1.32%	0	-2.5	42	INF
17	Feb_5_2016	25.79	24.11	24.09	23.96	23.89	23.88	23.6(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-10	-16	6	5.3	34%	-0.12	-90.3	1.29%	0	-1.5	52	INF
18	Feb_4_2016	25.82	24.16	24.15	24.11	24	23.98	24.06(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-20	0	23	12.48	34%	-0.12	-108.5	1.27%	0	-0.3	45	INF
19	Feb_3_2016	25.85	24.2	24.12	24.13	24.05	23.91	24.15(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-50	-7	13	9.06	34%	-0.08	-119.7	1.29%	0	-0.1	49	INF
20	Feb_2_2016	25.87	24.25	24.06	24.15	24.11	24.02	23.7(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-30	-20	-13	8.1	34%	-0.12	-114.5	1.26%	0	-1.2	38	INF

21	Feb_1_2016	25.9	24.34	24.09	24.3	24.24	24.19	24.31(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-20	4	2	4.26	36%	-0.08	-104.8	1.24%	0	-0.1	48	INF
22	Jan_29_2016	25.92	24.43	24.03	24.23	24.26	24.2	24.33(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10	-0	-19	6.94	36%	-0.12	-110.6	1.24%	0	-0.2	50	INF
23	Jan_28_2016	25.95	24.53	24.03	24.2	24.22	24.28	24.16(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	20	5	-21	5.46	36%	-0.08	-88.3	1.24%	0	-0.6	46	INF
24	Jan_27_2016	25.97	24.67	24.04	24.11	24.2	24.31	24.26(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	40	21	-39	13.1	36%	-0.08	-71.7	1.24%	0	-0.5	42	INF
25	Jan_26_2016	25.99	24.78	24.09	23.96	24.01	24.16	24.43(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	50	14	-67	4.87	36%		-62	1.25%	0	-0.4	41	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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