Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.9400 (2.13%) ($23.7000 - $24.0000) on Wed. Feb. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $23.9400(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(89%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.25(-19.59%)
5 Day Moving Average   $23.28(2.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.41(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.72(0.93%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.99%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.01%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2016	25.68		23.41	23.28	23.26	23.59	23.94(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	100	31	-65	7.23	38%	-0.04	-47.9	1.36%	0	0.4	44	INF
2	Feb_16_2016	25.69	23.72	23.38	23.09	23.09	23.17	23.44(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-13	20	18	-106	3.52	35%	0	-64	1.33%	0	-0.6	35	INF
3	Feb_12_2016	25.69	23.73	23.45	23	22.97	22.93	23.12(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-20	-9	-123	11.67	34%	-0.04	-74.9	1.32%	0	-1.2	40	INF
4	Feb_11_2016	25.7	23.8	23.57	23.1	22.96	23.01	22.87(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-0	-21	-118	16.21	34%	-0.08	-69.2	1.31%	0	-1.8	33	INF
5	Feb_10_2016	25.72	23.87	23.7	23.34	23.19	23	23.04(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-80	-15	-86	9.71	34%	-0.08	-71	1.31%	0	-1.8	44	INF

6	Feb_9_2016	25.74	23.96	23.83	23.56	23.39	22.91	22.97(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-40	-170	-34	-58	12.01	32%	-0.08	-61.7	1.31%	0	-2.1	47	INF
7	Feb_8_2016	25.76	24.04	23.98	23.7	23.68	23.38	23.01(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-39	-90	-40	-37	11.59	32%	-0.12	-71.4	1.32%	0	-2.5	42	INF
8	Feb_5_2016	25.79	24.11	24.09	23.96	23.89	23.88	23.6(-1.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-10	-16	6	5.3	34%	-0.12	-90.3	1.29%	0	-1.5	52	INF
9	Feb_4_2016	25.82	24.16	24.15	24.11	24	23.98	24.06(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-20	0	23	12.48	34%	-0.12	-108.5	1.27%	0	-0.3	45	INF
10	Feb_3_2016	25.85	24.2	24.12	24.13	24.05	23.91	24.15(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-50	-7	13	9.06	34%	-0.08	-119.7	1.29%	0	-0.1	49	INF

11	Feb_2_2016	25.87	24.25	24.06	24.15	24.11	24.02	23.7(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-30	-20	-13	8.1	34%	-0.12	-114.5	1.26%	0	-1.2	38	INF
12	Feb_1_2016	25.9	24.34	24.09	24.3	24.24	24.19	24.31(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-20	4	2	4.26	36%	-0.08	-104.8	1.24%	0	-0.1	48	INF
13	Jan_29_2016	25.92	24.43	24.03	24.23	24.26	24.2	24.33(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10	-0	-19	6.94	36%	-0.12	-110.6	1.24%	0	-0.2	50	INF
14	Jan_28_2016	25.95	24.53	24.03	24.2	24.22	24.28	24.16(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	20	5	-21	5.46	36%	-0.08	-88.3	1.24%	0	-0.6	46	INF
15	Jan_27_2016	25.97	24.67	24.04	24.11	24.2	24.31	24.26(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	40	21	-39	13.1	36%	-0.08	-71.7	1.24%	0	-0.5	42	INF

16	Jan_26_2016	25.99	24.78	24.04	23.96	24.01	24.16	24.43(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	50	14	-67	4.87	36%	-0.08	-62	1.25%	0	-0.4	41	INF
17	Jan_25_2016	26.01	24.89	24.09	23.86	23.8	24.1	23.97(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	80	15	-100	5.69	33%	-0.04	-58.4	1.22%	0	-0.9	34	INF
18	Jan_22_2016	26.02	25.03	24.12	23.79	23.77	23.87	24.18(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	30	13	-141	14.45	38%	-0.08	-58.9	1.24%	0	-0.8	31	INF
19	Jan_21_2016	26.04	25.14	24.15	23.86	23.66	23.5	23.73(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-70	-19	-187	8.38	35%	-0.12	-53.6	1.23%	0	-1.2	24	INF
20	Jan_20_2016	26.07	25.27	24.28	23.96	23.86	23.68	23.49(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-70	-31	-218	7.75	35%	-0.08	-48.8	1.22%	0	-1.5	19	INF

21	Jan_19_2016	26.09	25.4	24.46	24.24	24.14	23.81	23.92(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-110	-23	-217	7.83	37%	-0.11	-43.7	1.2%	0	-1.3	25	INF
22	Jan_15_2016	26.12	25.53	24.62	24.35	24.36	24.04	23.63(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-84	-90	-33	-236	11.23	34%	-0.11	-44.2	1.18%	0	-1.8	21	INF
23	Jan_14_2016	26.15	25.68	24.87	24.35	24.58	24.47	24.53(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-20	-11	-241	11.88	38%	-0.08	-44.4	1.11%	0	-1.2	25	INF
24	Jan_13_2016	26.17	25.76	25.07	24.48	24.62	24.69	24.25(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	40	-12	-242	6.58	36%	-0.08	-48.5	1.1%	0	-1.6	28	INF
25	Jan_12_2016	26.19	25.85	25.34	24.64	24.63	24.68	24.87(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-55	10	-1	-217	9.03	39%		-54.4	1.06%	0	-1.1	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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