Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.9700 (-0.87%) ($23.9400 - $24.1800) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $23.9700(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(86%)    VT(82%)    IWD(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-25%)    TLT(-19%)    IPO(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.01(-33.21%)
Resistance Level   $24.89
5 Day Moving Average   $23.86(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.09(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.89(-3.7%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4.3% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(54%) Average negative next day return: -3.65%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 3.68%(15%) Average negative next three day return: -3.64%(85%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 3.17%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.8%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2016	26.01	24.89	24.09	23.86	23.8	24.1	23.97(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	80	15	-100	5.69	33%	-0.04	-58.4	1.22%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	Jan_22_2016	26.02	25.03	24.12	23.79	23.77	23.87	24.18(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	30	13	-141	14.45	38%	-0.08	-58.9	1.24%	0	-0.8	31	0
3	Jan_21_2016	26.04	25.14	24.15	23.86	23.66	23.5	23.73(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-70	-19	-187	8.38	35%	-0.12	-53.6	1.23%	0	-1.2	24	0
4	Jan_20_2016	26.07	25.27	24.28	23.96	23.86	23.68	23.49(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-70	-31	-218	7.75	35%	-0.08	-48.8	1.22%	0	-1.5	19	0
5	Jan_19_2016	26.09	25.4	24.46	24.24	24.14	23.81	23.92(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-110	-23	-217	7.83	37%	-0.11	-43.7	1.2%	0	-1.3	25	0

6	Jan_15_2016	26.12	25.53	24.62	24.35	24.36	24.04	23.63(-3.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-84	-90	-33	-236	11.23	34%	-0.11	-44.2	1.18%	0	-1.8	21	0
7	Jan_14_2016	26.15	25.68	24.87	24.35	24.58	24.47	24.53(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-69	-20	-11	-241	11.88	38%	-0.08	-44.4	1.11%	0	-1.2	25	0
8	Jan_13_2016	26.17	25.76	25.07	24.48	24.62	24.69	24.25(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-70	40	-12	-242	6.58	36%	-0.08	-48.5	1.1%	0	-1.6	28	0
9	Jan_12_2016	26.19	25.85	25.34	24.64	24.63	24.68	24.87(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-55	10	-1	-217	9.03	39%	0	-54.4	1.06%	0	-1.1	34	0
10	Jan_11_2016	26.19	25.9	25.52	24.73	24.65	24.55	24.48(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-40	-23	-211	7.91	36%	-0.08	-60.6	1.04%	0	-1.7	32	0

11	Jan_8_2016	26.21	26	25.75	24.95	24.83	24.57	24.29(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-80	-90	-44	-188	6.37	36%	-0.08	-60.8	1.04%	0	-2.3	26	0
12	Jan_7_2016	26.23	26.11	26.01	25.33	25.07	24.75	24.53(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-81	-120	-59	-145	13.04	36%	-0.11	-58.8	1.04%	0	-2.5	27	0
13	Jan_6_2016	26.26	26.22	26.21	25.74	25.5	25.09	25.03(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-67	-140	-59	-91	7.37	38%	-0.08	-57.6	1.02%	0	-2.3	40	0
14	Jan_5_2016	26.28	26.32	26.35	26.15	25.95	25.39	25.32(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-52	-170	-59	-32	8.07	44%	-0.11	-46.1	1.02%	0	-2.3	48	0
15	Jan_4_2016	26.31	26.41	26.44	26.43	26.37	25.91	25.56(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-39	-130	-55	11	5.94	44%	-0.15	-35.1	1.03%	0	-2.1	51	0

16	Dec_31_2015	26.35	26.46	26.54	26.67	26.67	26.5	26.19(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-40	-29	54	6.73	48%	-0.08	-22.8	1%	0	-0.7	48	0
17	Dec_30_2015	26.37	26.5	26.57	26.79	26.79	26.83	26.62(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	10	3	87	2.44	51%	-0.08	-10.3	0.98%	0	0.3	53	0
18	Dec_29_2015	26.39	26.52	26.52	26.75	26.78	26.84	27.04(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	20	22	81	2.01	54%	-0.08	-6.6	0.97%	0	1.3	57	0
19	Dec_28_2015	26.41	26.53	26.39	26.59	26.61	26.75	26.73(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	40	14	32	1.86	52%	-0.19	-12.7	0.96%	0	0.5	44	0
20	Dec_24_2015	26.46	26.53	26.3	26.46	26.53	26.73	26.79(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	16	60	23	-5	0.89	52%	-0.08	-18.1	0.98%	0	0.5	46	0

21	Dec_23_2015	26.48	26.55	26.25	26.39	26.38	26.48	26.79(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	30	14	-24	2.39	52%	-0.08	-21.7	0.98%	0	0.5	50	0
22	Dec_22_2015	26.5	26.53	26.2	26.32	26.35	26.34	26.38(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	0	8	-46	5.85	40%	-0.08	-24.1	0.96%	0	-0.3	42	0
23	Dec_21_2015	26.52	26.55	26.21	26.26	26.36	26.27	26.27(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	-10	6	-64	3.63	40%	-0.08	-24.1	1.07%	0	-0.6	35	0
24	Dec_18_2015	26.54	26.58	26.28	26.15	26.28	26.35	26.09(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	30	2	-84	7.44	35%	-0.08	-22.3	1.08%	0	-1.1	32	0
25	Dec_17_2015	26.56	26.63	26.36	26.09	26.18	26.45	26.4(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	80	15	-85	6.21	36%		-20.5	1.16%	0	-0.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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