Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $27.0500 (-0.29%) ($26.8800 - $27.0700) on Thu. Oct. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $27.0500(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(80%)    IWD(79%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    IVW(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.1(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.76(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.33(2.73%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 5.51%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.69%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 10.02%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2015	27.24	26.33	26.76	27.1	27.07	27.06	27.05(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10	3	82	2.54	37%	-0.07	91.1	1.34%	0	1	67	0
2	Oct_28_2015	27.26	26.2	26.69	27.04	27.12	27.05	27.13(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10	10	86	8.47	37%	-0.07	84.6	1.34%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Oct_27_2015	27.28	26.09	26.58	26.88	27	27.09	26.93(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	40	7	74	1.81	37%	-0.07	76.2	1.35%	0	1.1	74	0
4	Oct_26_2015	27.3	25.96	26.49	26.75	26.87	27.18	27.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	39	90	26	78	1.08	37%	-0.04	67.5	1.35%	0	1.5	84	0
5	Oct_23_2015	27.31	25.82	26.39	26.56	26.63	26.91	27.2(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	80	29	78	4.36	37%	-0.07	56.4	1.36%	0	1.7	85	0

6	Oct_22_2015	27.33	25.69	26.28	26.37	26.41	26.55	26.75(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	40	14	78	6.19	34%	-0.15	46.3	1.34%	0	1.4	86	0
7	Oct_21_2015	27.37	25.58	26.21	26.29	26.29	26.36	26.33(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	20	7	94	1.68	30%	-0.07	31.3	1.33%	0	1	87	0
8	Oct_20_2015	27.39	25.5	26.16	26.24	26.25	26.27	26.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	10	6	108	1.37	30%	-0.11	17.8	1.33%	0	1	79	0
9	Oct_19_2015	27.42	25.41	26.09	26.24	26.2	26.27	26.27(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	10	2	121	2.98	30%	-0.11	5.2	1.33%	0	1.2	81	0
10	Oct_16_2015	27.45	25.37	26	26.24	26.13	26.23	26.24(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	20	2	140	1.11	30%	-0.15	0.4	1.33%	0	1.2	82	0

11	Oct_15_2015	27.49	25.34	25.87	26.18	26.14	26.16	26.36(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	0	9	150	1.54	30%	-0.11	-4.1	1.33%	0	1.4	74	0
12	Oct_14_2015	27.52	25.35	25.69	26.12	26.13	26.02	26.05(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-30	0	145	1.55	30%	-0.11	-5	1.32%	0	0.9	73	0
13	Oct_13_2015	27.55	25.36	25.56	26.07	26.08	26.12	26(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	10	2	145	5.38	30%	-0.07	-3.9	1.33%	0	0.8	71	0
14	Oct_12_2015	27.57	25.38	25.41	25.97	26.03	26.24	26.24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	54	60	23	145	1.65	30%	-0.14	-7.6	1.32%	0	1.1	76	0
15	Oct_9_2015	27.61	25.38	25.22	25.78	25.84	26.05	26.26(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	60	28	100	5.41	44%	-0.14	-10	1.46%	0	1.1	55	0

16	Oct_8_2015	27.65	25.37	25.05	25.5	25.59	25.83	26.04(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	80	29	59	4.24	42%	-0.18	-17.4	1.48%	0	0.8	50	0
17	Oct_7_2015	27.7	25.38	24.9	25.2	25.28	25.63	25.81(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	110	27	-0	2.3	42%	-0.18	-25.4	1.48%	0	0.5	37	0
18	Oct_6_2015	27.75	25.39	24.77	24.98	24.97	25.36	25.5(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	110	29	-48	2.58	39%	-0.18	-29.5	1.48%	0	0.1	35	0
19	Oct_5_2015	27.8	25.44	24.67	24.77	24.79	24.94	25.29(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	40	27	-94	1.91	39%	-0.18	-35	1.5%	0	-0.2	35	0
20	Oct_2_2015	27.85	25.45	24.68	24.58	24.56	24.57	24.86(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	0	1	-135	3.2	37%	-0.21	-45.1	1.49%	0	-0.7	31	0

21	Oct_1_2015	27.91	25.52	24.76	24.54	24.5	24.64	24.53(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	40	1	-151	15.41	37%	-0.18	-49.6	1.48%	0	-1.1	25	0
22	Sep_30_2015	27.96	25.6	24.97	24.55	24.56	24.55	24.74(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	-0	9	-146	8.08	37%	-0.18	-53.3	1.48%	0	-1	26	0
23	Sep_29_2015	28.01	25.65	25.14	24.52	24.48	24.37	24.42(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-40	-11	-153	4.66	33%	-0.21	-57.2	1.47%	0	-1.5	28	0
24	Sep_28_2015	28.07	25.75	25.34	24.56	24.57	24.58	24.33(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	0	-15	-147	5.29	33%	-0.21	-55.8	1.55%	0	-1.8	24	0
25	Sep_25_2015	28.13	25.86	25.54	24.81	24.62	24.6	24.7(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-30	-13	-119	6.94	32%		-50.2	1.54%	0	-1.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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