Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.3600 (-1.05%) ($26.2400 - $26.4500) on Fri. Aug. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $26.3600(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(80%)    IVE(78%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    TAN(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.84(-28.53%)
Resistance Level   $27.5
5 Day Moving Average   $26.18(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.56(-0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.5(-4.15%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.43%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.35%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.23%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.4%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.66%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2015	28.93	27.5	26.56	26.18	26.36	26.46	26.36(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	50	8	-155	3.51	47%	-0.14	-47	1.47%	0	-1	21	0
2	Aug_27_2015	28.97	27.6	26.72	26.11	26.17	26.44	26.64(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-36	80	9	-171	9.83	48%	-0.1	-50.3	1.47%	0	-0.9	28	0
3	Aug_26_2015	29	27.68	26.85	26.08	26.11	26.25	26.48(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-46	40	2	-190	11.42	46%	-0.14	-55.1	1.47%	0	-1.1	26	0
4	Aug_25_2015	29.04	27.77	27.01	26.22	26.22	25.9	25.81(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-69	-90	-25	-201	11.95	42%	-0.17	-56	1.47%	0	-1.9	15	0
5	Aug_24_2015	29.09	27.9	27.28	26.56	26.47	25.97	25.63(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-85	-140	-51	-188	20.64	42%	-0.14	-56.3	1.47%	0	-2.5	19	0

6	Aug_21_2015	29.13	28.03	27.63	27	26.95	26.53	26.01(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-68	-110	-42	-145	14.37	41%	-0.14	-59.8	1.47%	0	-2.7	21	0
7	Aug_20_2015	29.17	28.15	27.92	27.41	27.29	26.96	26.46(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-54	-100	-36	-106	9.61	43%	-0.14	-61.4	1.46%	0	-2.9	28	0
8	Aug_19_2015	29.21	28.27	28.17	27.72	27.61	27.37	27.21(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-70	-23	-69	12.36	46%	-0.07	-64.4	1.43%	0	-2.3	41	0
9	Aug_18_2015	29.23	28.35	28.33	27.91	27.82	27.62	27.5(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-60	-21	-46	4.35	46%	-0.1	-62.4	1.42%	0	-2.1	41	0
10	Aug_17_2015	29.26	28.42	28.45	28.11	27.94	27.85	27.81(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-40	-24	-28	14.33	46%	-0.1	-53.8	1.42%	0	-1.6	45	0

11	Aug_14_2015	29.29	28.48	28.53	28.38	28.15	28.02	28.07(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-60	-12	7	8.62	49%	-0.07	-33.3	1.42%	0	-1.2	55	0
12	Aug_13_2015	29.31	28.52	28.56	28.51	28.39	28.04	28.01(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-100	-20	16	6.82	49%	-0.07	-23.6	1.45%	0	-1.5	48	0
13	Aug_12_2015	29.33	28.57	28.58	28.68	28.56	28.29	28.18(-1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-15	-80	-26	20	10.96	49%	-0.07	8.6	1.45%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Aug_11_2015	29.35	28.6	28.59	28.81	28.77	28.75	28.48(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10	-5	34	3.93	48%	-0.07	44.3	1.45%	0	-0.4	46	0
15	Aug_10_2015	29.37	28.62	28.57	28.82	28.84	28.83	29.14(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-0	10	33	1.8	50%	-0.03	65.2	1.43%	0	1.6	52	0

16	Aug_7_2015	29.38	28.62	28.45	28.7	28.74	28.78	28.76(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	10	2	6	3.12	53%	-0.03	80.6	1.45%	0	0.5	43	0
17	Aug_6_2015	29.39	28.6	28.39	28.61	28.71	28.85	28.85(0.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	40	15	-4	2.01	54%	-0.03	68.4	1.45%	0	0.6	48	0
18	Aug_5_2015	29.4	28.54	28.37	28.46	28.59	28.71	28.84(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	40	16	-21	4.14	52%	-0.03	40	1.46%	0	0.6	45	0
19	Aug_4_2015	29.41	28.45	28.34	28.33	28.37	28.57	28.52(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	50	7	-36	1.79	52%	-0.03	23.2	1.47%	0	0.1	45	0
20	Aug_3_2015	29.42	28.4	28.37	28.28	28.29	28.47	28.53(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	50	18	-36	3.68	52%	-0.03	13.9	1.47%	0	0.2	43	0

21	Jul_31_2015	29.43	28.35	28.41	28.16	28.19	28.17	28.33(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-0	5	-49	7.15	53%	-0.03	-6.1	1.48%	0	-0	41	0
22	Jul_30_2015	29.44	28.35	28.46	28.14	28.1	28.11	28.06(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-0	-11	-58	2.61	53%	-0.03	-15.6	1.48%	0	-0.5	33	0
23	Jul_29_2015	29.45	28.34	28.55	28.26	28.21	28.2	28.22(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10	-3	-28	4.82	51%	0	-20.8	1.48%	0	-0.2	63	0
24	Jul_28_2015	29.45	28.33	28.61	28.35	28.33	28.09	28.24(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-60	-13	-3	2.55	51%	-0.03	-31.2	1.49%	0	-0.1	69	0
25	Jul_27_2015	29.46	28.32	28.68	28.48	28.45	28.22	27.93(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-60	-27	21	5.67	53%		-39.1	1.48%	0	-0.6	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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