Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $30.3300 (0.76%) ($30.1800 - $30.3900) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $30.3300(0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    IVE(78%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.15(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.18(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.79(1.81%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.69%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.94%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.4%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	28.52	29.79	30.18	30.15	30.17	30.21	30.33(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	12	41	5.66	58%	0.14	30.4	1.34%	0	1.1	63	0
2	Apr_1_2015	28.48	29.74	30.1	30.08	30.11	30.01	30.1(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-20	-4	32	4.45	58%	0.11	26.7	1.34%	0	0.7	61	0
3	Mar_31_2015	28.45	29.71	30.08	30.1	30.05	30.13	29.84(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	10	-11	45	9.53	58%	0.11	26.5	1.35%	0	0.3	61	0
4	Mar_30_2015	28.42	29.69	30.07	30.21	30.05	30.21	30.36(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	0	10	77	2.86	59%	0.11	31.5	1.34%	0	1.4	71	0
5	Mar_27_2015	28.39	29.66	30.02	30.18	30.18	29.98	30.1(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-50	-9	77	2.96	59%	0.11	35.5	1.34%	0	1	59	0

6	Mar_26_2015	28.36	29.64	29.94	30.21	30.22	30.15	30.01(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-20	-6	85	4.15	59%	0.14	40.1	1.35%	0	0.8	61	0
7	Mar_25_2015	28.32	29.61	29.87	30.11	30.32	30.39	30.21(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	40	12	82	5.32	59%	0.11	39.6	1.34%	0	1.4	56	0
8	Mar_24_2015	28.29	29.58	29.75	30.05	30.08	30.3	30.38(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	50	13	74	4.22	59%	0.14	44.4	1.35%	0	1.9	59	0
9	Mar_23_2015	28.25	29.54	29.58	29.9	29.91	30.25	30.21(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	80	21	54	4.28	59%	0.11	45	1.35%	0	1.8	56	0
10	Mar_20_2015	28.22	29.5	29.49	29.84	29.75	29.86	30.26(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	20	23	44	6.94	60%	0.11	47.9	1.35%	0	2.2	53	0

11	Mar_19_2015	28.19	29.46	29.49	29.63	29.65	29.57	29.47(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-20	1	9	8.53	57%	0.11	40	1.32%	0	0	47	0
12	Mar_18_2015	28.16	29.44	29.36	29.59	29.55	29.65	29.95(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	20	10	8	8.85	61%	0.11	45.9	1.31%	0	1.6	53	0
13	Mar_17_2015	28.13	29.4	29.3	29.4	29.42	29.73	29.6(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	17	80	25	-6	4.29	61%	0.14	41	1.31%	0	0.6	48	0
14	Mar_16_2015	28.09	29.37	29.28	29.21	29.25	29.45	29.93(2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	13	50	26	-25	6.38	62%	0.11	37.7	1.31%	0	1.8	52	0
15	Mar_13_2015	28.06	29.37	29.26	29.09	28.97	29.11	29.19(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	20	3	-40	5.35	56%	0.11	42.1	1.31%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Mar_12_2015	28.03	29.33	29.31	29.06	29.02	29.05	29.27(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	0	7	-39	6.01	54%	0.11	40	1.32%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Mar_11_2015	28	29.29	29.34	29.1	29.01	28.82	29.01(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-60	-14	-37	7.79	54%	0.11	30.1	1.35%	0	-0.8	51	0
18	Mar_10_2015	27.97	29.27	29.4	29.19	29.16	28.99	28.66(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-40	-19	-25	6.87	54%	0.11	24.8	1.34%	0	-1.5	45	0
19	Mar_9_2015	27.94	29.25	29.51	29.35	29.31	29.2	29.3(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-30	-12	-0	17.52	57%	0.11	27.3	1.31%	0	0.1	58	0
20	Mar_6_2015	27.91	29.21	29.52	29.46	29.39	29.33	29.04(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-20	-14	12	5.95	57%	0.14	35.4	1.3%	0	-0.4	49	0

21	Mar_5_2015	27.87	29.22	29.58	29.59	29.55	29.42	29.51(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-30	-2	33	8.11	59%	0.14	50	1.3%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Mar_4_2015	27.83	29.18	29.54	29.6	29.58	29.44	29.42(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-13	41	5.13	59%	0.11	58.3	1.3%	0	0.5	74	0
23	Mar_3_2015	27.8	29.17	29.52	29.65	29.64	29.68	29.49(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	10	-4	60	3.68	59%	0.14	72.7	1.3%	0	0.7	72	0
24	Mar_2_2015	27.76	29.13	29.48	29.69	29.66	29.71	29.82(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	10	10	85	4.46	59%	0.14	76.2	1.29%	0	1.4	83	0
25	Feb_27_2015	27.72	29.05	29.41	29.61	29.59	29.6	29.7(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	0	4	89	3.89	59%		72.2	1.28%	0	1.3	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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