Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $29.1900 (-0.03%) ($29.0800 - $29.2300) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $29.1900(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    IVE(78%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.66(1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.76(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.39(2.82%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.74%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.82%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2015	27.5	28.39	28.76	28.66	28.73	29.12	29.19(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	34	100	30	45	5.91	62%	0.04	79.2	1.32%	0	1.5	56	0
2	Feb_12_2015	27.49	28.29	28.64	28.66	28.46	28.7	29.2(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	50	16	31	3.58	60%	0.04	67.7	1.32%	0	1.6	61	0
3	Feb_11_2015	27.48	28.19	28.57	28.51	28.33	28.35	28.35(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10	-3	35	5.29	57%	-0.04	72.3	1.28%	0	0.3	56	0
4	Feb_10_2015	27.49	28.12	28.53	28.58	28.5	28.22	28.45(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-80	-15	39	4.39	57%	0	76.8	1.28%	0	0.5	56	0
5	Feb_9_2015	27.49	28.05	28.51	28.74	28.62	28.31	28.11(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-90	-31	56	4.2	57%	-0.04	83.8	1.28%	0	0.1	56	0

6	Feb_6_2015	27.5	27.99	28.55	28.85	28.88	28.79	28.44(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	23	-20	-1	93	5.28	57%	-0.04	79	1.27%	0	0.6	58	0
7	Feb_5_2015	27.51	27.92	28.49	28.77	28.86	28.93	29.18(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	30	11	107	8.65	61%	0	71.7	1.22%	0	1.7	71	0
8	Feb_4_2015	27.51	27.78	28.35	28.64	28.64	28.97	28.74(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	80	20	113	9.32	59%	0	59.8	1.21%	0	1.3	68	0
9	Feb_3_2015	27.51	27.66	28.26	28.46	28.53	28.8	29.22(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	70	39	120	5.94	60%	0	40.6	1.19%	0	2	74	0
10	Feb_2_2015	27.51	27.51	28.1	28.26	28.28	28.31	28.67(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	10	6	102	3.63	58%	0	23.8	1.18%	0	1.6	72	0

11	Jan_30_2015	27.51	27.43	28	28.22	28.21	28.26	28.05(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	10	4	117	6.26	57%	-0.04	18.4	1.16%	0	0.9	70	0
12	Jan_29_2015	27.52	27.4	27.91	28.16	28.24	28.24	28.54(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	10	17	123	4.53	60%	-0.04	11.8	1.14%	0	1.7	73	0
13	Jan_28_2015	27.53	27.34	27.76	28.16	28.11	28.15	27.84(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	20	-2	117	5.69	60%	-0.04	2.7	1.11%	0	0.8	74	0
14	Jan_27_2015	27.54	27.35	27.69	28.01	28.01	28.25	28.21(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	60	18	141	6.78	62%	-0.04	4.1	1.13%	0	1.4	83	0
15	Jan_26_2015	27.55	27.34	27.56	27.9	27.89	28.07	28.44(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	40	27	147	3.73	62%	-0.04	-0.5	1.13%	0	1.9	84	0

16	Jan_23_2015	27.56	27.31	27.38	27.75	27.73	27.78	27.76(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	10	16	124	4.8	62%	-0.07	-4.4	1.09%	0	0.8	55	0
17	Jan_22_2015	27.58	27.32	27.3	27.61	27.61	27.71	27.8(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	30	15	99	8.94	59%	-0.04	-6.2	1.11%	0	0.8	53	0
18	Jan_21_2015	27.59	27.33	27.17	27.47	27.46	27.68	27.85(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	50	22	65	11.32	61%	-0.04	-4.2	1.13%	0	0.9	50	0
19	Jan_20_2015	27.6	27.32	27.01	27.31	27.3	27.52	27.67(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	60	25	17	18.78	61%	-0.07	-10.5	1.14%	0	0.6	43	0
20	Jan_16_2015	27.62	27.32	26.87	27.16	27.16	27.25	27.69(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	20	23	-32	6.94	63%	-0.04	-17.4	1.17%	0	0.6	41	0

21	Jan_15_2015	27.63	27.34	26.81	26.97	27.03	27.08	27.05(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	20	4	-77	4.36	61%	-0.07	-28.2	1.14%	0	-0.4	32	0
22	Jan_14_2015	27.65	27.34	26.84	26.95	26.95	27.07	27.1(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	30	15	-88	8.22	61%	-0.11	-35.7	1.14%	0	-0.4	35	0
23	Jan_13_2015	27.68	27.35	26.89	26.81	26.89	26.98	27.03(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	30	22	-110	4.85	61%	-0.07	-53	1.14%	0	-0.5	33	0
24	Jan_12_2015	27.7	27.38	26.97	26.65	26.7	26.83	26.91(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	40	12	-129	3.14	61%	-0.07	-67.9	1.14%	0	-0.7	38	0
25	Jan_9_2015	27.72	27.45	27.09	26.54	26.58	26.8	26.75(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	60	6	-141	2.44	53%		-75.5	1.17%	0	-1.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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