Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $26.0900 (-0.27%) ($25.8100 - $26.1000) on Mon. Oct. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $26.0900(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.63(-28.59%)
Resistance Level   $26.83
5 Day Moving Average   $25.87(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.04(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.83(-2.76%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.91% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.75%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.12%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.37%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2014	29.5	26.83	26.04	25.87	25.74	26.03	26.09(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	60	22	-139	2.19	32%	-0.2	-73.4	1%	0	-0.7	29	0
2	Oct_17_2014	29.56	26.97	26.12	25.8	25.72	25.71	26.16(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-10	21	-167	4.64	31%	-0.2	-70.4	1%	0	-0.7	29	0
3	Oct_16_2014	29.62	27.11	26.19	25.71	25.68	25.45	25.52(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-82	-70	-31	-233	4.77	28%	-0.24	-69	0.95%	0	-1.3	16	0
4	Oct_15_2014	29.69	27.3	26.35	25.85	25.81	25.74	25.7(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-85	-20	-36	-233	6.59	28%	-0.2	-66.9	0.97%	0	-1.4	18	0
5	Oct_14_2014	29.75	27.46	26.52	26.11	26.04	25.91	25.87(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	-40	-14	-223	3.91	30%	-0.13	-63.7	0.97%	0	-1.4	15	0

6	Oct_13_2014	29.79	27.62	26.7	26.23	26.25	25.88	25.73(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-89	-100	-40	-235	3.53	30%	-0.2	-63.3	0.98%	0	-1.7	15	0
7	Oct_10_2014	29.85	27.79	26.9	26.48	26.43	26.18	25.72(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-98	-70	-51	-239	7.43	29%	-0.2	-62.4	0.97%	0	-2	13	0
8	Oct_9_2014	29.91	27.96	27.14	26.74	26.71	26.61	26.25(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-30	-22	-221	4.86	30%	-0.17	-63.8	0.96%	0	-1.8	14	0
9	Oct_8_2014	29.96	28.1	27.32	26.92	26.82	26.69	26.96(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-50	-16	-235	6.03	31%	-0.17	-64.7	0.92%	0	-1.3	16	0
10	Oct_7_2014	30.01	28.21	27.48	27	26.94	26.8	26.51(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-88	-40	-35	-247	3.28	27%	-0.17	-65.9	0.9%	0	-2	16	0

11	Oct_6_2014	30.06	28.35	27.69	27.24	27.14	26.96	26.97(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-76	-60	-25	-228	4.59	28%	-0.13	-65.1	0.89%	0	-1.8	17	0
12	Oct_3_2014	30.1	28.46	27.89	27.39	27.31	27.09	27.03(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-81	-70	-36	-216	6.55	30%	-0.17	-62.3	0.89%	0	-1.9	20	0
13	Oct_2_2014	30.15	28.58	28.1	27.6	27.5	27.32	27.12(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-71	-60	-33	-186	3.45	30%	-0.13	-59	0.9%	0	-2.2	21	0
14	Oct_1_2014	30.19	28.69	28.31	27.78	27.7	27.54	27.36(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-66	-50	-34	-162	3.05	30%	-0.17	-59.7	0.9%	0	-2.3	22	0
15	Sep_30_2014	30.24	28.8	28.48	28.04	27.89	27.67	27.7(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-58	-70	-32	-135	7.72	31%	-0.13	-56.9	0.9%	0	-2.2	24	0

16	Sep_29_2014	30.28	28.86	28.62	28.21	28.12	27.86	27.76(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	-70	-42	-119	3.04	31%	-0.1	-55.9	0.9%	0	-2.5	25	0
17	Sep_26_2014	30.31	28.93	28.75	28.46	28.36	28.12	28.06(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-70	-40	-92	2.91	32%	-0.13	-48.4	0.89%	0	-2.4	28	0
18	Sep_25_2014	30.35	28.98	28.84	28.67	28.62	28.38	28.02(-2.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-50	-60	-41	-76	3.04	30%	-0.1	-40	0.89%	0	-3.3	24	0
19	Sep_24_2014	30.38	29.05	28.96	28.92	28.87	28.61	28.66(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-70	-24	-40	3.44	33%	-0.1	-13	0.89%	0	-2	38	0
20	Sep_23_2014	30.41	29.08	29.01	28.98	29.04	28.86	28.57(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-30	-40	-26	-40	4.15	33%	-0.1	3.1	0.88%	0	-2.7	33	0

21	Sep_22_2014	30.44	29.11	29.06	28.98	29.13	29.13	29(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	10	-4	-15	5.33	34%	-0.07	33.3	0.87%	0	-0.8	52	0
22	Sep_19_2014	30.46	29.11	29.08	29.08	29.1	29.22	29.11(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	30	9	-7	1.43	34%	-0.1	36.4	0.87%	0	0.1	56	0
23	Sep_18_2014	30.49	29.1	29.1	29.05	29.05	29.13	29.28(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	10	20	14	-1	3.69	36%	-0.1	38.2	0.87%	0	1.1	57	0
24	Sep_17_2014	30.52	29.1	29.09	29	29.05	28.99	28.92(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	0	-2	-15	2.92	33%	-0.07	34.5	0.86%	0	-0.9	41	0
25	Sep_16_2014	30.54	29.08	29.13	29.04	28.98	28.97	29.08(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10	-1	-9	2.19	33%		60.3	0.86%	0	0	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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