Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 11, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.5500 (0.6%) ($28.5000 - $28.6500) on Mon. Aug. 11, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $28.5500(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.34(-21.75%)
Resistance Level   $29.57
5 Day Moving Average   $28.32(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.77(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.57(-3.45%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.28% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.84%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.96%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.05%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.04%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2014	31.07	29.57	28.77	28.32	28.31	28.39	28.55(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-53	20	9	-239	9.33	34%	-0.06	-64.6	0.83%	0	-1.1	23	0
2	Aug_8_2014	31.09	29.68	28.9	28.36	28.28	28.21	28.38(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-70	-30	-10	-249	6.22	34%	-0.06	-67.5	0.83%	0	-1.4	23	0
3	Aug_7_2014	31.11	29.8	29.07	28.42	28.39	28.22	28(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-92	-50	-33	-270	7.17	31%	-0.1	-74.8	0.81%	0	-2	14	0
4	Aug_6_2014	31.14	29.93	29.33	28.65	28.54	28.34	28.35(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-99	-60	-50	-247	6.27	32%	-0.06	-78.6	0.81%	0	-1.9	19	0
5	Aug_5_2014	31.16	30.07	29.54	28.95	28.8	28.57	28.3(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-94	-70	-51	-221	4.35	32%	-0.06	-78.5	0.81%	0	-2.3	15	0

6	Aug_4_2014	31.18	30.21	29.76	29.28	29.17	28.73	28.76(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-88	-120	-53	-191	5.71	35%	-0.06	-78.1	0.79%	0	-2.1	25	0
7	Aug_1_2014	31.2	30.34	29.92	29.53	29.5	29.03	28.67(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-100	-110	-73	-180	5.78	35%	-0.03	-77.1	0.79%	0	-2.7	21	0
8	Jul_31_2014	31.21	30.49	30.12	29.83	29.81	29.6	29.15(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-78	-50	-58	-139	5.5	37%	-0.03	-68.4	0.77%	0	-2.5	32	0
9	Jul_30_2014	31.22	30.61	30.26	30.11	30.05	29.98	29.86(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-20	-21	-94	2.92	42%	-0.03	-61.7	0.72%	0	-1.6	39	0
10	Jul_29_2014	31.23	30.69	30.37	30.23	30.22	30.02	29.97(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-50	-19	-77	1.51	42%	-0.03	-60.1	0.73%	0	-1.5	34	0

11	Jul_28_2014	31.24	30.76	30.44	30.32	30.34	30.11	30.02(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-50	-29	-76	3.03	42%	-0.03	-65.8	0.74%	0	-1.6	37	0
12	Jul_25_2014	31.25	30.82	30.53	30.37	30.44	30.42	30.14(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	0	-19	-76	2.25	42%	-0.03	-75.7	0.74%	0	-1.6	34	0
13	Jul_24_2014	31.26	30.87	30.57	30.46	30.45	30.57	30.57(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	30	10	-80	3.86	45%	-0.03	-89.2	0.73%	0	-0.8	33	0
14	Jul_23_2014	31.27	30.9	30.58	30.44	30.42	30.47	30.47(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	10	0	-108	3.68	45%	-0.03	-101.6	0.73%	0	-1.1	37	0
15	Jul_22_2014	31.28	30.97	30.63	30.53	30.45	30.33	30.39(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-40	-15	-111	3.86	49%	0	-86.6	0.73%	0	-1.3	36	0

16	Jul_21_2014	31.28	31.05	30.68	30.59	30.59	30.38	30.26(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-50	-28	-117	2.36	49%	-0.03	-77.5	0.75%	0	-1.7	37	0
17	Jul_18_2014	31.29	31.15	30.78	30.71	30.71	30.57	30.59(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-30	-19	-98	2.2	52%	-0.03	-64.3	0.74%	0	-1.1	41	0
18	Jul_17_2014	31.3	31.23	30.89	30.7	30.81	30.8	30.47(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	10	-4	-80	5.46	52%	-0.03	-58.7	0.74%	0	-1.5	42	0
19	Jul_16_2014	31.31	31.31	30.98	30.73	30.77	30.85	30.95(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	20	4	-72	3.44	61%	-0.03	-55	0.73%	0	-0.7	45	0
20	Jul_15_2014	31.32	31.36	31.03	30.75	30.67	30.82	30.66(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	30	1	-82	6.9	54%	-0.03	-56.8	0.74%	0	-1.3	32	0

21	Jul_14_2014	31.33	31.42	31.09	30.8	30.73	30.7	30.88(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10	5	-90	3.84	54%	-0.03	-60.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Jul_11_2014	31.34	31.47	31.13	30.88	30.74	30.51	30.55(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-64	-70	-44	-123	3.02	51%	-0.03	-62.9	0.75%	0	-1.8	24	0
23	Jul_10_2014	31.35	31.54	31.19	31.11	30.95	30.75	30.6(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-59	-60	-39	-117	4.82	46%	-0.03	-58.9	0.75%	0	-2	24	0
24	Jul_9_2014	31.36	31.61	31.26	31.27	31.23	30.97	31.05(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-60	-22	-107	3.35	53%	0	-56.2	0.77%	0	-1.4	30	0
25	Jul_8_2014	31.36	31.67	31.35	31.35	31.33	31.15	30.9(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-49	-40	-32	-100	4.09	53%		-50.8	0.78%	0	-1.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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