Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $28.6700 (-1.65%) ($28.5800 - $29.0000) on Fri. Aug. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $28.6700(-1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    VT(82%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.93(-9.56%)
Resistance Level   $30.34
5 Day Moving Average   $29.53(-2.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.92(-4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.34(-5.5%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.08%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2014	31.2	30.34	29.92	29.53	29.5	29.03	28.67(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-100	-110	-73	-180	5.78	35%	-0.03	-77.1	0.79%	0	-2.7	21	INF
2	Jul_31_2014	31.21	30.49	30.12	29.83	29.81	29.6	29.15(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-78	-50	-58	-139	5.5	37%	-0.03	-68.4	0.77%	0	-2.5	32	INF
3	Jul_30_2014	31.22	30.61	30.26	30.11	30.05	29.98	29.86(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-20	-21	-94	2.92	42%	-0.03	-61.7	0.72%	0	-1.6	39	INF
4	Jul_29_2014	31.23	30.69	30.37	30.23	30.22	30.02	29.97(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-50	-19	-77	1.51	42%	-0.03	-60.1	0.73%	0	-1.5	34	INF
5	Jul_28_2014	31.24	30.76	30.44	30.32	30.34	30.11	30.02(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-50	-29	-76	3.03	42%	-0.03	-65.8	0.74%	0	-1.6	37	INF

6	Jul_25_2014	31.25	30.82	30.53	30.37	30.44	30.42	30.14(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	0	-19	-76	2.25	42%	-0.03	-75.7	0.74%	0	-1.6	34	INF
7	Jul_24_2014	31.26	30.87	30.57	30.46	30.45	30.57	30.57(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	30	10	-80	3.86	45%	-0.03	-89.2	0.73%	0	-0.8	33	INF
8	Jul_23_2014	31.27	30.9	30.58	30.44	30.42	30.47	30.47(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	10	0	-108	3.68	45%	-0.03	-101.6	0.73%	0	-1.1	37	INF
9	Jul_22_2014	31.28	30.97	30.63	30.53	30.45	30.33	30.39(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-40	-15	-111	3.86	49%	0	-86.6	0.73%	0	-1.3	36	INF
10	Jul_21_2014	31.28	31.05	30.68	30.59	30.59	30.38	30.26(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-50	-28	-117	2.36	49%	-0.03	-77.5	0.75%	0	-1.7	37	INF

11	Jul_18_2014	31.29	31.15	30.78	30.71	30.71	30.57	30.59(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-30	-19	-98	2.2	52%	-0.03	-64.3	0.74%	0	-1.1	41	INF
12	Jul_17_2014	31.3	31.23	30.89	30.7	30.81	30.8	30.47(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	10	-4	-80	5.46	52%	-0.03	-58.7	0.74%	0	-1.5	42	INF
13	Jul_16_2014	31.31	31.31	30.98	30.73	30.77	30.85	30.95(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	20	4	-72	3.44	61%	-0.03	-55	0.73%	0	-0.7	45	INF
14	Jul_15_2014	31.32	31.36	31.03	30.75	30.67	30.82	30.66(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	30	1	-82	6.9	54%	-0.03	-56.8	0.74%	0	-1.3	32	INF
15	Jul_14_2014	31.33	31.42	31.09	30.8	30.73	30.7	30.88(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10	5	-90	3.84	54%	-0.03	-60.5	0.76%	0	-1.1	32	INF

16	Jul_11_2014	31.34	31.47	31.13	30.88	30.74	30.51	30.55(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-64	-70	-44	-123	3.02	51%	-0.03	-62.9	0.75%	0	-1.8	24	INF
17	Jul_10_2014	31.35	31.54	31.19	31.11	30.95	30.75	30.6(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-59	-60	-39	-117	4.82	46%	-0.03	-58.9	0.75%	0	-2	24	INF
18	Jul_9_2014	31.36	31.61	31.26	31.27	31.23	30.97	31.05(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-60	-22	-107	3.35	53%	0	-56.2	0.77%	0	-1.4	30	INF
19	Jul_8_2014	31.36	31.67	31.35	31.35	31.33	31.15	30.9(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-49	-40	-32	-100	4.09	53%	-0.03	-50.8	0.78%	0	-1.9	35	INF
20	Jul_7_2014	31.37	31.73	31.46	31.42	31.45	31.49	31.29(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	10	0	-77	2.98	57%	0	-47.9	0.76%	0	-1.2	40	INF

21	Jul_3_2014	31.37	31.79	31.54	31.41	31.42	31.52	31.7(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	20	23	-64	2.25	62%	0.03	-45.8	0.75%	0	-0.2	48	INF
22	Jul_2_2014	31.36	31.81	31.59	31.29	31.3	31.4	31.41(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	20	11	-79	3.34	60%	0	-53.8	0.75%	0	-1.1	39	INF
23	Jul_1_2014	31.36	31.84	31.66	31.26	31.21	31.33	31.44(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	20	2	-82	5.23	60%	0.03	-56.9	0.75%	0	-1.1	39	INF
24	Jun_30_2014	31.35	31.87	31.71	31.36	31.17	31.19	31.28(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10	-13	-83	5.1	60%	0.03	-54	0.74%	0	-1.6	30	INF
25	Jun_27_2014	31.34	31.91	31.77	31.51	31.35	31.08	31.22(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-80	-28	-77	1.28	63%		-38.3	0.76%	0	-2	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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