Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $31.3100 (2.25%) ($31.2200 - $31.4300) on Tue. Mar. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $31.3100(2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    EWJ(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    DIA(0%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.3(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.43(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.09(0.71%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.08%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2014	30.33	31.09	31.43	31.3	31.27	31.05	31.31(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-50	-14	-12	5.71	53%	0.1	41.3	1.16%	0	0.3	57	NAN
2	Mar_3_2014	30.3	30.99	31.47	31.38	31.31	31.24	30.62(-3.44%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-20	-20	-30	9	7.67	48%	0.07	33.3	1.13%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
3	Feb_28_2014	30.28	30.96	31.58	31.6	31.31	31.5	31.71(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10	8	68	5.63	54%	0.13	36.2	1.04%	0	0.9	75	NAN
4	Feb_27_2014	30.24	30.9	31.55	31.57	31.54	31.38	31.43(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-40	-13	82	2.39	54%	0.13	29.8	1.04%	0	0.7	77	NAN
5	Feb_26_2014	30.2	30.84	31.52	31.59	31.61	31.59	31.45(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-0	-4	114	1.8	54%	0.13	23.6	1.04%	0	0.8	82	NAN

6	Feb_25_2014	30.16	30.8	31.48	31.58	31.59	31.7	31.67(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	4	145	1.51	54%	0.13	19.9	1.04%	0	1.1	86	NAN
7	Feb_24_2014	30.12	30.73	31.35	31.59	31.56	31.63	31.74(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	10	8	169	2.89	54%	0.1	15.1	1.04%	0	1.3	89	NAN
8	Feb_21_2014	30.09	30.67	31.23	31.56	31.57	31.63	31.58(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	46	-20	2	178	2.3	54%	0.13	8	1.04%	0	1.2	74	NAN
9	Feb_20_2014	30.05	30.66	31.08	31.53	31.56	31.49	31.49(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	-10	-0	173	1.77	52%	0.13	5.9	1.05%	0	1.1	62	NAN
10	Feb_19_2014	30.01	30.65	30.9	31.44	31.52	31.64	31.43(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	30	11	157	1.75	52%	0.1	3.4	1.06%	0	1.1	63	NAN

11	Feb_18_2014	29.98	30.64	30.71	31.34	31.37	31.62	31.71(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	60	34	140	3.29	52%	0.2	4.1	1.05%	0	1.4	57	NAN
12	Feb_14_2014	29.92	30.62	30.48	31.07	31.15	31.39	31.57(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	60	36	96	1.31	52%	0.13	-4.7	1.04%	0	1.3	60	NAN
13	Feb_13_2014	29.88	30.62	30.29	30.84	30.84	31.12	31.47(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	60	34	61	1.93	52%	0.13	-7.7	1.04%	0	1.2	58	NAN
14	Feb_12_2014	29.84	30.61	30.17	30.57	30.61	30.9	31(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	70	43	15	4.75	50%	0.1	-12.4	1.03%	0	0.5	42	NAN
15	Feb_11_2014	29.81	30.62	30.08	30.28	30.35	30.56	30.97(2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	60	40	-38	4.88	50%	0.1	-20.8	1.03%	0	0.5	43	NAN

16	Feb_10_2014	29.78	30.61	30.08	29.99	30.03	30.32	30.33(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	70	29	-91	1	46%	0.07	-31.4	1%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
17	Feb_7_2014	29.76	30.65	30.08	29.79	29.81	30.14	30.45(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	80	34	-129	3.44	44%	0.1	-36.3	1%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
18	Feb_6_2014	29.73	30.67	30.05	29.67	29.63	29.73	30.1(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-36	20	10	-175	3.26	42%	0.07	-41.2	1%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
19	Feb_5_2014	29.71	30.7	30.18	29.72	29.58	29.49	29.54(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-19	-190	2.14	37%	0.07	-46.2	0.98%	0	-1.6	24	NAN
20	Feb_4_2014	29.69	30.78	30.37	29.87	29.8	29.53	29.52(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-70	-30	-179	2.78	37%	0.07	-49.8	0.98%	0	-1.9	31	NAN

21	Feb_3_2014	29.67	30.85	30.57	30.12	29.99	29.67	29.34(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-70	-90	-44	-147	4.02	37%	0.07	-49.5	0.98%	0	-2.5	37	NAN
22	Jan_31_2014	29.65	30.93	30.79	30.34	30.28	30.07	29.83(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-50	-28	-116	5.77	39%	0.1	-55.2	0.96%	0	-2.2	39	NAN
23	Jan_30_2014	29.62	30.98	30.97	30.48	30.46	30.31	30.39(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-29	-88	1.98	42%	0.1	-60.6	0.94%	0	-1.3	48	NAN
24	Jan_29_2014	29.59	31.05	31.11	30.71	30.56	30.49	30.25(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-30	-32	-48	3.6	42%	0.14	-41.3	0.94%	0	-1.9	46	NAN
25	Jan_28_2014	29.55	31.12	31.22	30.95	30.87	30.6	30.8(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-70	-20	-9	3.51	45%		-15.9	0.91%	0	-0.7	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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