Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $30.3300 (-0.39%) ($30.2700 - $30.3500) on Mon. Feb. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $30.3300(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    EWJ(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    XLF(-3%)    SLV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.4(-16.25%)
Resistance Level   $30.61
5 Day Moving Average   $29.99(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.05(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.61(-0.91%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 3.31%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2014	29.78	30.61		29.99	30.03	30.32	30.33(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	70	29	-91	1	46%	0.07	-31.4	1%	0	-0.4	35	0
2	Feb_7_2014	29.76	30.65		29.79	29.81	30.14	30.45(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	80	34	-129	3.44	44%	0.1	-36.3	1%	0	-0.3	39	0
3	Feb_6_2014	29.73	30.67	30.05	29.67	29.63	29.73	30.1(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-36	20	10	-175	3.26	42%	0.07	-41.2	1%	0	-0.8	32	0
4	Feb_5_2014	29.71	30.7	30.18	29.72	29.58	29.49	29.54(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-40	-19	-190	2.14	37%	0.07	-46.2	0.98%	0	-1.6	24	0
5	Feb_4_2014	29.69	30.78	30.37	29.87	29.8	29.53	29.52(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-70	-30	-179	2.78	37%	0.07	-49.8	0.98%	0	-1.9	31	0

6	Feb_3_2014	29.67	30.85	30.57	30.12	29.99	29.67	29.34(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-70	-90	-44	-147	4.02	37%	0.07	-49.5	0.98%	0	-2.5	37	0
7	Jan_31_2014	29.65	30.93	30.79	30.34	30.28	30.07	29.83(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-50	-28	-116	5.77	39%	0.1	-55.2	0.96%	0	-2.2	39	0
8	Jan_30_2014	29.62	30.98	30.97	30.48	30.46	30.31	30.39(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-40	-29	-88	1.98	42%	0.1	-60.6	0.94%	0	-1.3	48	0
9	Jan_29_2014	29.59	31.05	31.11	30.71	30.56	30.49	30.25(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-30	-32	-48	3.6	42%	0.14	-41.3	0.94%	0	-1.9	46	0
10	Jan_28_2014	29.55	31.12	31.22	30.95	30.87	30.6	30.8(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-70	-20	-9	3.51	45%	0.14	-15.9	0.91%	0	-0.7	50	0

11	Jan_27_2014	29.51	31.15	31.23	31.11	31.07	30.64	30.42(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-38	-100	-50	-1	3.21	42%	0.17	3.5	0.9%	0	-1.7	47	0
12	Jan_24_2014	29.46	31.21	31.31	31.3	31.34	31.14	30.52(-3.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.9	-23	-40	-42	34	3.13	42%	0.17	28.2	0.89%	0	-1.7	51	0
13	Jan_23_2014	29.41	31.25	31.35	31.53	31.5	31.5	31.54(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-0	-7	88	1.94	49%	0.2	61.5	0.79%	0	0.8	66	0
14	Jan_22_2014	29.35	31.23	31.28	31.57	31.54	31.53	31.48(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10	4	78	2.03	53%	0.17	74.4	0.8%	0	0.6	44	0
15	Jan_21_2014	29.3	31.19	31.22	31.53	31.56	31.51	31.57(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10	12	60	2.38	53%	0.24	86.9	0.82%	0	1	47	0

16	Jan_17_2014	29.23	31.14	31.14	31.39	31.46	31.55	31.39(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	30	7	25	2.82	55%	0.17	89.9	0.81%	0	0.7	47	0
17	Jan_16_2014	29.18	31.09	31.07	31.32	31.32	31.61	31.67(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	60	36	11	6	60%	0.21	88.8	0.81%	0	1.5	52	0
18	Jan_15_2014	29.12	31.01	30.98	31.13	31.16	31.36	31.72(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	26	50	42	-22	2.61	60%	0.21	73.6	0.81%	0	1.8	56	0
19	Jan_14_2014	29.06	30.94	30.96	30.95	30.95	31.03	31.3(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	20	13	-45	5.01	57%	0.14	56.8	0.8%	0	0.8	53	0
20	Jan_13_2014	29.02	30.86	30.99	30.88	30.95	30.95	30.85(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	20	5	-40	2.23	53%	0.14	45	0.78%	0	-0	54	0

21	Jan_10_2014	28.98	30.81	31.05	30.87	30.88	30.88	31.05(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	0	13	-19	2.01	58%	0.14	38.4	0.77%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Jan_9_2014	28.94	30.75	31.09	30.87	30.84	30.81	30.75(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-0	-4	-14	2.09	56%	0.17	32.3	0.81%	0	0	58	0
23	Jan_8_2014	28.89	30.72	31.14	30.79	30.84	30.88	30.82(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	20	-13	8	3.01	56%	0.14	30.7	0.81%	0	0.2	66	0
24	Jan_7_2014	28.85	30.69	31.17	30.97	30.82	30.86	30.91(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-15	53	2.54	56%	0.14	36.8	0.81%	0	0.3	64	0
25	Jan_6_2014	28.81	30.66	31.16	31.13	31.04	30.76	30.8(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-70	-20	94	6	56%		41.1	0.82%	0	0.2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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