Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $29.8000 (0.2%) ($29.7100 - $29.8700) on Tue. Nov. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $29.8000(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(85%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(3%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.6(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.39(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.41(1.33%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.1%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.27%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.72%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2013	27.38	29.41	29.39	29.6	29.66	29.81	29.8(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	21	50	1.77	74%	0.18	65.4	0.84%	0	1.7	53	0
2	Nov_18_2013	27.33	29.39	29.32	29.47	29.49	29.73	29.74(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	60	26	23	2.92	74%	0.18	73.1	0.84%	0	1.5	49	0
3	Nov_15_2013	27.28	29.36	29.27	29.38	29.33	29.51	29.66(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	40	27	5	7.87	74%	0.18	75.6	0.84%	0	1.3	49	0
4	Nov_14_2013	27.23	29.32	29.22	29.27	29.24	29.26	29.45(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	0	18	-26	1.47	74%	0.18	72	0.84%	0	0.5	43	0
5	Nov_13_2013	27.18	29.3	29.21	29.17	29.24	29.16	29.33(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	0	-3	-54	1.57	74%	0.15	62.5	0.84%	0	0.1	42	0

6	Nov_12_2013	27.14	29.26	29.22	29.16	29.13	29.22	29.19(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	20	8	-50	2.84	74%	0.18	65.5	0.84%	0	-0.2	46	0
7	Nov_11_2013	27.09	29.23	29.27	29.13	29.16	29.11	29.28(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10	4	-52	0.84	74%	0.15	63.9	0.84%	0	0.1	45	0
8	Nov_8_2013	27.05	29.19	29.3	29.15	29.1	29.05	29.08(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-14	-45	1.27	75%	0.15	65.3	0.84%	0	-0.3	54	0
9	Nov_7_2013	27.01	29.15	29.36	29.17	29.18	29.21	28.96(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	10	-4	-23	3.86	75%	0.07	64.6	0.85%	0	-0.4	53	0
10	Nov_6_2013	26.99	29.12	29.43	29.25	29.2	29.21	29.28(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10	-5	4	1.54	79%	0.11	59.7	0.83%	0	0.3	62	0

11	Nov_5_2013	26.96	29.04	29.44	29.3	29.22	29.16	29.06(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-20	-20	22	1.52	79%	0.07	53.5	0.84%	0	0	64	0
12	Nov_4_2013	26.94	28.98	29.49	29.42	29.36	29.24	29.36(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-30	-10	70	1.26	83%	0.11	52.8	0.83%	0	0.6	76	0
13	Nov_1_2013	26.91	28.91	29.46	29.47	29.45	29.28	29.2(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-40	-24	87	2.23	84%	0.11	54.4	0.83%	0	0.4	73	0
14	Oct_31_2013	26.88	28.85	29.44	29.57	29.55	29.49	29.34(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-14	121	1.94	84%	0.11	56.9	0.84%	0	0.7	79	0
15	Oct_30_2013	26.85	28.78	29.4	29.63	29.62	29.49	29.54(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-0	2	155	3.12	84%	0.15	59.9	0.83%	0	1.1	87	0

16	Oct_29_2013	26.81	28.71	29.32	29.6	29.63	29.61	29.66(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-0	2	179	3.15	84%	0.11	61.5	0.83%	0	1.4	94	0
17	Oct_28_2013	26.78	28.63	29.19	29.57	29.58	29.64	29.62(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	20	12	199	2.04	84%	0.11	63.9	0.83%	0	1.5	91	0
18	Oct_25_2013	26.75	28.54	29.07	29.44	29.53	29.65	29.68(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	40	25	201	1.33	84%	0.11	62.9	0.84%	0	1.8	85	0
19	Oct_24_2013	26.72	28.45	28.93	29.3	29.36	29.52	29.63(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	40	24	193	1.57	84%	0.15	62.3	0.84%	0	2	79	0
20	Oct_23_2013	26.68	28.36	28.79	29.15	29.19	29.42	29.41(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	60	32	185	2.26	84%	0.11	60.4	0.84%	0	2	78	0

21	Oct_22_2013	26.65	28.29	28.61	28.99	29.03	29.2	29.49(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	71	50	41	159	2.2	84%	0.11	55.3	0.84%	0	2.5	74	0
22	Oct_21_2013	26.62	28.2	28.43	28.76	28.81	28.96	29(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	40	22	113	1.35	82%	0.11	54.9	0.82%	0	2	68	0
23	Oct_18_2013	26.59	28.14	28.31	28.64	28.66	28.86	28.98(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	50	30	102	2.61	82%	0.11	58.9	0.82%	0	2.4	73	0
24	Oct_17_2013	26.56	28.09	28.21	28.5	28.5	28.66	28.86(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	40	29	83	1.93	82%	0.08	72.8	0.82%	0	2.7	64	0
25	Oct_16_2013	26.54	28.05	28.11	28.37	28.37	28.45	28.62(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	20	28	65	6.03	82%		94.2	0.82%	0	2.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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