Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.9000 (0.89%) ($24.6600 - $25.0600) on Wed. Jul. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $24.9000(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(3%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.55(-25.5%)
Resistance Level   $25.22
5 Day Moving Average   $24.53(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.66(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.22(-1.27%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -6.57%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.59%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2013	25.28	25.22		24.53	24.56	24.77	24.9(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	60	15	-64	2.27	50%	-0.04	-53.8	1.19%	0	-0.4	32	0
2	Jul_9_2013	25.29	25.29		24.44	24.43	24.63	24.68(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	60	11	-108	4.05	50%	0	-54.5	1.21%	0	-0.7	25	0
3	Jul_8_2013	25.29	25.39	24.66	24.47	24.37	24.34	24.53(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-20	0	-145	1.18	50%	-0.04	-51	1.21%	0	-1	27	0
4	Jul_5_2013	25.3	25.49	24.7	24.51	24.46	24.22	24.14(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-70	-21	-176	2.55	46%	0	-48.4	1.19%	0	-1.5	28	0
5	Jul_3_2013	25.3	25.59	24.83	24.65	24.6	24.4	24.39(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-60	-26	-185	1.57	46%	-0.04	-50.3	1.19%	0	-1.5	27	0

6	Jul_2_2013	25.31	25.67	25	24.8	24.75	24.7	24.46(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-20	-15	-167	3.09	48%	-0.04	-50.7	1.19%	0	-1.6	33	0
7	Jul_1_2013	25.32	25.77	25.23	24.9	24.75	24.8	24.85(0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-35	-30	2	-144	3.76	50%	0	-51.2	1.19%	0	-1.3	34	0
8	Jun_28_2013	25.32	25.85	25.4	24.87	24.9	24.79	24.7(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-30	-12	-156	10.77	50%	0	-53.9	1.19%	0	-1.6	30	0
9	Jun_27_2013	25.32	25.92	25.55	24.93	24.87	24.99	24.86(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	30	-9	-155	2.22	48%	0	-55.7	1.19%	0	-1.6	33	0
10	Jun_26_2013	25.32	26.01	25.72	25.03	24.94	25.01	25.14(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	10	-7	-139	2.08	48%	0	-55.3	1.2%	0	-1.4	40	0

11	Jun_25_2013	25.32	26.07	25.83	25.25	25.04	24.76	24.96(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-100	-40	-127	1.87	46%	-0.04	-50.5	1.19%	0	-1.9	42	0
12	Jun_24_2013	25.33	26.15	25.98	25.63	25.44	24.87	24.67(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-66	-180	-57	-92	3.35	46%	-0.04	-36	1.2%	0	-2.8	36	0
13	Jun_21_2013	25.34	26.23	26.19	26.02	25.98	25.32	25.01(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-52	-180	-53	-47	4.51	46%	-0.04	-22.4	1.2%	0	-3	37	0
14	Jun_20_2013	25.35	26.3	26.34	26.26	26.35	26.01	25.38(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-38	-80	-46	-13	4.32	48%	0	-5.3	1.19%	0	-3.1	44	0
15	Jun_19_2013	25.35	26.35	26.44	26.26	26.55	26.63	26.24(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	30	-2	25	5.1	52%	0	26.3	1.13%	0	-0.5	47	0

16	Jun_18_2013	25.35	26.36	26.41	26.49	26.5	26.7	26.84(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	22	50	19	29	2.42	53%	0.04	32.5	1.09%	0	2.3	57	0
17	Jun_17_2013	25.34	26.34	26.35	26.49	26.41	26.48	26.61(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	20	10	11	3.23	53%	0.04	32.4	1.11%	0	1.5	52	0
18	Jun_14_2013	25.33	26.32	26.35	26.4	26.33	26.3	26.24(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-20	-8	9	3.26	53%	0.04	36.9	1.09%	0	-0.5	52	0
19	Jun_13_2013	25.32	26.31	26.32	26.45	26.33	26.34	26.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-20	4	18	9.66	53%	0.08	44.6	1.09%	0	1.2	53	0
20	Jun_12_2013	25.3	26.31	26.32	26.38	26.41	26.36	26.23(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	4	-10	1	13	2.17	51%	0.04	27.7	1.09%	0	-0.4	49	0

21	Jun_11_2013	25.29	26.3	26.32	26.31	26.34	26.48	26.38(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	40	5	1	3.26	51%	0.04	21.5	1.09%	0	0.5	48	0
22	Jun_10_2013	25.28	26.28	26.31	26.28	26.26	26.47	26.63(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	14	50	18	3	8.2	51%	0.08	21.5	1.08%	0	2.1	53	0
23	Jun_7_2013	25.26	26.26	26.26	26.24	26.17	26.2	26.48(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	0	12	-7	6.05	51%	0.04	24.6	1.08%	0	1.4	53	0
24	Jun_6_2013	25.25	26.24	26.24	26.17	26.16	26.05	26.19(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-30	-10	-21	4.86	50%	0.08	36.8	1.07%	0	-0.3	53	0
25	Jun_5_2013	25.23	26.25	26.25	26.24	26.2	26.13	25.89(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-14	-20	-15	-12	2.65	50%		84.2	1.07%	0	-2.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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