Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $24.9900 (1.17%) ($24.8500 - $25.0600) on Wed. Jan. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $24.9900(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.62(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.61(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.32(2.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.67%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.47%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2013	22.9	24.32	24.61	24.62	24.63	24.77	24.99(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	40	28	61	5.75	57%	0.26	85.1	1.01%	0	1.9	71	0
2	Dec_31_2012	22.84	24.25	24.55	24.51	24.52	24.45	24.7(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	12	-20	-1	50	2.49	55%	0.18	81.7	1%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Dec_28_2012	22.8	24.19	24.51	24.49	24.51	24.5	24.26(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-0	-13	57	3.64	46%	0.18	83.4	0.98%	0	0.2	67	0
4	Dec_27_2012	22.76	24.15	24.5	24.49	24.54	24.59	24.61(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	10	2	83	1.36	50%	0.18	92.5	0.99%	0	1.1	72	0
5	Dec_26_2012	22.72	24.08	24.46	24.58	24.56	24.53	24.52(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10	-1	92	1.6	50%	0.22	98.4	1%	0	1	73	0

6	Dec_24_2012	22.67	24.01	24.41	24.6	24.6	24.5	24.48(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-3	101	0.73	50%	0.18	97.1	1.02%	0	0.9	72	0
7	Dec_21_2012	22.63	23.95	24.34	24.58	24.61	24.59	24.57(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-0	-0	105	4.15	50%	0.22	108.5	1.02%	0	1.2	78	0
8	Dec_20_2012	22.58	23.88	24.26	24.53	24.57	24.7	24.73(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	40	17	111	1.71	50%	0.22	121.1	1.02%	0	1.7	86	0
9	Dec_19_2012	22.53	23.77	24.17	24.4	24.45	24.63	24.61(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	60	21	107	3.45	50%	0.22	111.5	1.02%	0	1.6	86	0
10	Dec_18_2012	22.48	23.66	24.09	24.31	24.31	24.43	24.63(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	30	20	109	3.65	50%	0.18	103.7	1.02%	0	1.7	88	0

11	Dec_17_2012	22.44	23.54	24	24.19	24.22	24.27	24.38(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	20	17	109	2.23	47%	0.18	93.8	1.02%	0	1.4	88	0
12	Dec_14_2012	22.4	23.41	23.92	24.07	24.14	24.18	24.28(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	20	14	103	2.68	47%	0.22	75.6	1.02%	0	1.3	84	0
13	Dec_13_2012	22.35	23.29	23.84	23.96	24	24.16	24.09(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	50	10	97	3.07	47%	0.22	64.9	1.02%	0	1.1	82	0
14	Dec_12_2012	22.3	23.18	23.77	23.91	23.89	24.1	24.18(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	60	21	116	3.14	47%	0.27	56.7	1.04%	0	1.3	91	0
15	Dec_11_2012	22.24	23.07	23.68	23.83	23.8	23.85	24.03(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	43	10	15	125	2.3	52%	0.23	47.7	1.04%	0	1.3	91	0

16	Dec_10_2012	22.19	22.98	23.59	23.77	23.74	23.68	23.76(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	31	-20	-2	131	1.87	49%	0.18	43.5	1.06%	0	1.1	91	0
17	Dec_7_2012	22.15	22.9	23.53	23.74	23.74	23.76	23.72(-0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	42	0	1	163	3.77	55%	0.18	38.1	1.07%	0	1.1	93	0
18	Dec_6_2012	22.11	22.83	23.47	23.7	23.75	23.8	23.85(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	57	20	12	190	3.78	61%	0.18	33	1.1%	0	1.4	91	0
19	Dec_5_2012	22.07	22.76	23.34	23.61	23.67	23.74	23.77(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	55	30	11	186	2.51	61%	0.18	29.3	1.16%	0	1.5	90	0
20	Dec_4_2012	22.03	22.71	23.2	23.51	23.59	23.71	23.76(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	50	19	189	2.73	61%	0.18	28.4	1.16%	0	1.6	83	0

21	Dec_3_2012	21.99	22.66	23.05	23.37	23.42	23.61	23.61(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	60	17	175	2.75	61%	0.18	25.8	1.16%	0	1.6	74	0
22	Nov_30_2012	21.95	22.62	22.86	23.28	23.27	23.47	23.52(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	60	18	157	1.57	61%	0.23	25.1	1.17%	0	1.6	75	0
23	Nov_29_2012	21.9	22.59	22.7	23.2	23.16	23.24	23.39(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	20	22	140	3.85	61%	0.18	26.5	1.2%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Nov_28_2012	21.86	22.56	22.54	23.02	23.07	23.08	23.26(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	17	102	3.34	61%	0.18	14	1.2%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Nov_27_2012	21.82	22.53	22.41	22.84	22.92	23.09	23.08(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	60	19	62	1.52	61%		0.5	1.19%	0	1.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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