Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.3200 (-1.11%) ($22.2500 - $22.5500) on Thu. Nov. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $22.3200(-1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $22.93
5 Day Moving Average   $22.74(-1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.79(-2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.93(-2.66%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.89%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.22%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.2%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2012	21.44	22.93	22.79	22.74	22.71	22.48	22.32(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-70	-32	-73	6.21	49%	0.09	-20.8	1.1%	0	-1.8	28	0
2	Nov_7_2012	21.42	22.95	22.83	22.91	22.86	22.8	22.57(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-20	-15	-61	4.64	53%	0.14	-12.6	1.1%	0	-1.2	36	0
3	Nov_6_2012	21.39	22.97	22.83	22.98	22.86	22.93	23.08(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-20	5	-38	2.76	60%	0.14	-2.2	1.06%	0	0.4	53	0
4	Nov_5_2012	21.36	22.98	22.91	22.92	23	22.92	22.87(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-5	-41	1.7	60%	0.14	3.7	1.05%	0	-0.4	53	0
5	Nov_2_2012	21.33	22.98	22.98	22.9	22.98	23.07	22.88(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	40	5	-20	1.59	63%	0.19	3.6	1.26%	0	-0.4	54	0

6	Nov_1_2012	21.29	23	23.04	22.84	22.93	23.08	23.13(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	11	60	16	-3	2	63%	0.19	1.4	1.3%	0	0.4	62	0
7	Oct_31_2012	21.25	22.99	23.06	22.75	22.81	22.9	22.94(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	40	1	-5	2.63	63%	0.33	-7.2	1.3%	0	-0.2	59	0
8	Oct_26_2012	21.18	22.98	23.06	22.83	22.72	22.78	22.8(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	0	-6	-0	2.4	71%	0.14	-8.6	1.34%	0	-0.6	47	0
9	Oct_25_2012	21.15	22.97	23.07	22.91	22.85	22.73	22.73(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-40	-10	-2	10.64	71%	0.19	-13.7	1.4%	0	-0.7	41	0
10	Oct_24_2012	21.11	22.98	23.08	23.07	22.98	22.66	22.6(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-110	-28	1	2.6	71%	0.19	-3.6	1.41%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Oct_23_2012	21.07	22.99	23.08	23.27	23.21	22.96	22.7(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-15	-80	-25	17	3.06	64%	0.19	4.4	1.42%	0	-0.9	48	0
12	Oct_22_2012	21.03	22.99	23.09	23.41	23.43	23.3	23.3(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-40	-1	35	3.31	70%	0.19	13.3	1.45%	0	0.9	57	0
13	Oct_19_2012	20.99	23.01	23.09	23.34	23.45	23.45	23.22(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	10	4	35	19.07	64%	0.19	5.2	1.5%	0	0.7	60	0
14	Oct_18_2012	20.95	23.02	23.06	23.25	23.34	23.56	23.55(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	80	16	43	3.54	64%	0.19	-4.3	1.49%	0	1.7	69	0
15	Oct_17_2012	20.91	23	23.02	23.1	23.16	23.44	23.58(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	90	27	37	7.92	64%	0.14	-19.2	1.49%	0	1.9	59	0

16	Oct_16_2012	20.88	22.98	22.95	22.89	22.99	23.12	23.4(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	21	50	22	18	2.36	64%	0.14	-34.4	1.49%	0	1.5	60	0
17	Oct_15_2012	20.85	22.97	22.89	22.73	22.8	22.87	22.96(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	30	1	-9	2.37	62%	0.14	-41.3	1.48%	0	-0	49	0
18	Oct_12_2012	20.82	22.99	22.87	22.74	22.75	22.85	22.78(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	30	-3	-18	1.76	64%	0.14	-20.7	1.5%	0	-0.7	41	0
19	Oct_11_2012	20.79	23.03	22.85	22.85	22.79	22.73	22.77(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-30	-5	-22	2.86	64%	0.14	4.4	1.5%	0	-0.8	39	0
20	Oct_10_2012	20.76	23.05	22.87	22.93	22.92	22.65	22.55(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-80	-13	-22	1.77	64%	0.1	30.8	1.5%	0	-1.7	39	0

21	Oct_9_2012	20.74	23.08	22.9	23	23.04	22.86	22.58(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-50	-16	-27	4.32	64%	0.1	64.3	1.5%	0	-1.7	38	0
22	Oct_8_2012	20.72	23.09	22.94	23.07	23.1	23.19	23.02(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	30	2	-18	1.87	68%	0.19	87.1	1.48%	0	-0.2	45	0
23	Oct_5_2012	20.68	23.06	22.96	23.01	23.09	23.23	23.32(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	50	19	-20	3.76	60%	0.15	92.5	1.5%	0	0.8	45	0
24	Oct_4_2012	20.65	23.02	22.96	22.86	22.96	23.01	23.17(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	30	6	-41	2.62	60%	0.15	86.2	1.53%	0	0.4	42	0
25	Oct_3_2012	20.62	22.96	22.97	22.82	22.85	22.95	22.91(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	30	4	-46	20.65	60%		69.7	1.54%	0	-0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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