Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.3800 (0.1%) ($19.0300 - $19.4200) on Fri. Jun. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $19.3800(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $13.18(-31.99%)
Resistance Level   $19.81
5 Day Moving Average   $19.15(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.34(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.81(-2.17%)
To recent high   -18.6%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.82%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.16%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.26%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2012	21.9	19.81	19.34	19.15	19.15	19.39	19.38(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	90	11	-90	4.53	40%	-0.05	-83.6	1.55%	0	-0.7	42	0
2	Jun_7_2012	21.91	19.89	19.38	19.04	19.05	19.35	19.36(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	110	15	-101	4.08	40%	-0.09	-87	1.62%	0	-0.8	42	0
3	Jun_6_2012	21.93	19.98	19.45	19.06	18.88	18.91	19.4(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-20	2	-107	9.12	37%	-0.05	-90.8	1.63%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Jun_5_2012	21.94	20.07	19.54	19.09	18.96	18.74	18.77(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-100	-24	-115	5.01	33%	-0.14	-93.4	1.67%	0	-1.7	27	0
5	Jun_4_2012	21.97	20.21	19.71	19.36	19.2	18.85	18.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-150	-28	-96	6.79	33%	-0.05	-90.2	1.67%	0	-1.8	24	0

6	Jun_1_2012	21.98	20.35	19.83	19.56	19.53	19.18	18.82(-3.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-44	-130	-26	-96	7.93	33%	-0.05	-92.9	1.67%	0	-2.1	21	0
7	May_31_2012	21.99	20.51	19.95	19.75	19.76	19.54	19.49(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-80	-20	-96	3.4	35%	0	-90.7	1.65%	0	-1.4	25	0
8	May_30_2012	21.99	20.65	20.04	19.89	19.86	19.87	19.51(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-0	-15	-95	3.95	35%	0	-79.9	1.65%	0	-1.4	27	0
9	May_29_2012	21.99	20.8	20.13	20.05	19.98	19.98	20.14(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10	-1	-91	4.49	37%	0.14	-66.3	1.62%	0	-0.8	30	0
10	May_25_2012	21.96	20.92	20.18	20.11	20.05	19.86	19.82(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-80	-8	-105	3.64	37%	0	-53.7	1.6%	0	-1.2	20	0

11	May_24_2012	21.96	21.06	20.31	20.14	20.17	19.98	19.81(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	-60	-11	-109	4.55	37%	0	-51.3	1.61%	0	-1.3	23	0
12	May_23_2012	21.96	21.2	20.45	20.17	20.21	20.25	20.16(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-35	20	-6	-120	5.45	39%	0	-50.1	1.61%	0	-1.1	20	0
13	May_22_2012	21.96	21.3	20.54	20.2	20.21	20.37	20.33(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	50	5	-134	3.86	39%	-0.05	-51.3	1.61%	0	-1.1	20	0
14	May_21_2012	21.97	21.38	20.63	20.21	20.23	20.18	20.45(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10	-2	-159	2.77	39%	0.05	-56.5	1.61%	0	-1.1	18	0
15	May_18_2012	21.96	21.44	20.74	20.27	20.27	20.09	19.96(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-64	-60	-25	-182	2.65	35%	0.05	-57.4	1.58%	0	-1.7	11	0

16	May_17_2012	21.95	21.56	20.9	20.52	20.44	20.28	19.97(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-63	-70	-25	-177	11.08	35%	0.05	-51.1	1.59%	0	-2	10	0
17	May_16_2012	21.94	21.67	21.11	20.76	20.7	20.45	20.3(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-90	-18	-160	5.14	37%	0.05	-50.3	1.59%	0	-1.9	16	0
18	May_15_2012	21.93	21.77	21.32	20.92	20.9	20.61	20.38(-1.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-100	-24	-147	7.71	37%	-0.09	-48	1.61%	0	-2.2	23	0
19	May_14_2012	21.95	21.88	21.54	21.1	21.03	20.95	20.73(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-40	-21	-119	4.12	38%	0.09	-39.5	1.59%	0	-2.1	38	0
20	May_11_2012	21.93	21.95	21.72	21.28	21.15	21.2	21.21(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-0	-3	-84	3.39	41%	0.09	-34.6	1.57%	0	-1.5	46	0

21	May_10_2012	21.91	21.97	21.87	21.35	21.25	21.2	21.18(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-60	-13	-77	5.08	38%	0.09	-38.3	1.58%	0	-1.7	37	0
22	May_9_2012	21.89	22.04	22	21.53	21.37	21.11	21.09(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-110	-29	-59	6.61	38%	0.09	-30.5	1.61%	0	-2.2	41	0
23	May_8_2012	21.87	22.08	22.13	21.78	21.67	21.39	21.3(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-110	-27	-34	6.59	38%	0.14	-29.8	1.61%	0	-1.9	40	0
24	May_7_2012	21.84	22.1	22.19	22.05	21.92	21.63	21.64(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-110	-25	-18	3.7	38%	0.14	-38.7	1.6%	0	-1.3	41	0
25	May_4_2012	21.81	22.12	22.21	22.23	22.19	21.94	21.54(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-80	-25	-5	7.54	38%		-41.7	1.59%	0	-1.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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