Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $22.5200 (1.12%) ($22.1600 - $22.5900) on Thu. Apr. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $22.5200(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.1(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.08(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.29(1.03%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2012	21.61	22.29	22.08	22.1	21.99	22.31	22.52(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	90	15	17	3.47	41%	0.09	-54.6	1.6%	0	0.4	53	NAN
2	Apr_25_2012	21.59	22.32	22.05	22	21.98	22.01	22.27(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	10	12	5	5.65	41%	0.09	-56.5	1.6%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
3	Apr_24_2012	21.57	22.38	22.02	21.99	21.94	21.68	21.77(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-90	-19	-27	3.64	37%	0.09	-51.5	1.58%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
4	Apr_23_2012	21.55	22.48	22	22.12	22.06	21.96	21.66(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-40	-14	-46	3.42	37%	0.05	-43	1.58%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
5	Apr_20_2012	21.54	22.56	22.03	22.17	22.23	22.21	22.3(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	0	13	-52	2.95	40%	0.09	-44.5	1.54%	0	-0.4	40	NAN

6	Apr_19_2012	21.52	22.59	22.01	22.03	22.11	22.15	22(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	20	-7	-89	3.81	40%	0.05	-52.9	1.53%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
7	Apr_18_2012	21.51	22.66	22.05	22.11	22.11	22.26	22.21(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	60	9	-91	3.38	40%	0.14	-49.5	1.53%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
8	Apr_17_2012	21.48	22.72	22.13	22.05	22.05	22.08	22.41(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	10	19	-99	4.35	46%	0.19	-49.5	1.55%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
9	Apr_16_2012	21.44	22.79	22.24	21.87	21.99	21.84	21.93(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-30	-6	-129	3.39	42%	0.19	-49.5	1.57%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
10	Apr_13_2012	21.4	22.87	22.37	21.88	21.97	22.03	21.62(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	30	-9	-130	4.21	42%	0	-44.8	1.58%	0	-1.7	36	NAN

11	Apr_12_2012	21.4	22.97	22.51	21.98	21.99	22.13	22.37(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	50	7	-120	3.68	47%	0.19	-41.1	1.55%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
12	Apr_11_2012	21.36	23.01	22.6	21.99	21.97	21.91	21.93(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-20	-15	-131	4.21	43%	0.14	-34.5	1.54%	0	-1.6	37	NAN
13	Apr_10_2012	21.33	23.08	22.76	22.24	22.07	21.85	21.52(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-90	-38	-118	7.66	38%	0.14	-16.7	1.53%	0	-2.6	31	NAN
14	Apr_9_2012	21.3	23.16	22.99	22.66	22.46	22.03	21.96(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-43	-160	-31	-78	2.42	41%	0.19	2.8	1.52%	0	-2.4	31	NAN
15	Apr_5_2012	21.26	23.21	23.14	22.92	22.83	22.29	22.14(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-42	-180	-35	-61	5.08	41%	0.14	18.8	1.52%	0	-2.5	34	NAN

16	Apr_4_2012	21.23	23.25	23.24	23.1	23.1	22.89	22.42(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-60	-27	-49	5.29	41%	0.09	26.5	1.52%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
17	Apr_3_2012	21.21	23.24	23.35	23.27	23.22	23.36	23.14(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	40	-4	-22	6.8	58%	0.14	25.1	1.47%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
18	Apr_2_2012	21.18	23.18	23.35	23.36	23.24	23.31	23.63(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	4	-5	4.83	64%	0.14	16.7	1.53%	0	0.9	58	NAN
19	Mar_30_2012	21.15	23.14	23.38	23.36	23.31	23.07	23.28(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-80	-5	7	5.29	64%	0.14	17.5	1.53%	0	0.3	58	NAN
20	Mar_29_2012	21.12	23.13	23.42	23.4	23.43	23.16	23.01(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-80	-14	18	7	64%	0.14	15.6	1.53%	0	-0.2	57	NAN

21	Mar_28_2012	21.09	23.14	23.47	23.41	23.49	23.55	23.31(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	30	-3	34	4.14	64%	0.14	18.9	1.53%	0	0.3	59	NAN
22	Mar_27_2012	21.06	23.12	23.46	23.42	23.39	23.7	23.59(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	90	13	58	3.03	64%	0.14	21.2	1.56%	0	1	74	NAN
23	Mar_26_2012	21.03	23.1	23.42	23.38	23.3	23.43	23.8(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	29	30	13	77	2.09	64%	0.14	24	1.55%	0	1.5	79	NAN
24	Mar_23_2012	21	23.06	23.32	23.37	23.22	23.08	23.29(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-60	-10	69	6.39	60%	0.1	28.7	1.55%	0	0.5	55	NAN
25	Mar_22_2012	20.98	23.05	23.27	23.45	23.34	23.17	23.04(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-70	-14	74	22.16	60%		41	1.54%	0	-0	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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