Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $23.5100 (1.56%) ($23.2000 - $23.5300) on Thu. Mar. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $23.5100(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.08(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.81(3.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.87(2.8%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 7.06%(31%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 4.77%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -2.34%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 6.91%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.27%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2012	20.88	22.87	22.81	23.08	23.09	23.28	23.51(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	60	16	8	5.98	69%	0.1	48	1.65%	0	1.6	52	NAN
2	Mar_14_2012	20.86	22.8	22.77	22.95	22.91	23.09	23.15(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	50	20	2	3.29	69%	0.14	33.7	1.64%	0	0.9	52	NAN
3	Mar_13_2012	20.83	22.75	22.74	22.73	22.79	22.89	23.14(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	40	24	-13	11.56	69%	0.1	14.4	1.65%	0	1	55	NAN
4	Mar_12_2012	20.81	22.71	22.75	22.73	22.53	22.74	22.86(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	70	5	-39	4.83	57%	0.1	-3.3	1.68%	0	0.4	50	NAN
5	Mar_9_2012	20.79	22.71	22.76	22.46	22.31	22.69	22.74(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	100	8	-31	10.9	61%	0.14	-6.3	1.8%	0	0.1	51	NAN

6	Mar_8_2012	20.76	22.68	22.76	22.5	22.35	22.32	22.87(3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-30	6	-19	4.54	54%	0.14	3.7	1.84%	0	0.4	56	NAN
7	Mar_7_2012	20.73	22.66	22.8	22.57	22.42	21.93	22.06(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-170	-25	-15	3.8	49%	0.05	16.8	1.88%	0	-1.4	53	NAN
8	Mar_6_2012	20.72	22.69	22.88	22.75	22.73	22.37	21.77(-4.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.5	-25	-110	-34	2	5.98	49%	0.1	43.8	1.87%	0	-2.3	48	NAN
9	Mar_5_2012	20.7	22.73	23.01	23.06	23.04	22.91	22.85(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-40	-8	47	5.15	57%	0.1	86.7	1.76%	0	0.3	59	NAN
10	Mar_2_2012	20.68	22.71	23	23.09	23.12	23.08	22.96(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-5	60	2.57	57%	0.1	100	1.76%	0	0.7	64	NAN

11	Mar_1_2012	20.66	22.66	22.95	23.14	23.1	23.18	23.22(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	4	65	5.44	57%	0.15	106	1.76%	0	1.5	56	NAN
12	Feb_29_2012	20.63	22.59	22.84	23.08	23.09	23.16	22.95(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	20	7	50	6.91	66%	0.15	105.8	1.93%	0	0.9	54	NAN
13	Feb_28_2012	20.6	22.52	22.77	23.04	22.98	23.02	23.3(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	0	6	44	5.29	71%	0.15	89	1.92%	0	1.7	61	NAN
14	Feb_27_2012	20.57	22.42	22.68	22.95	22.89	23.01	23.03(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	30	4	36	4.69	71%	0.24	83.6	2.03%	0	1.2	61	NAN
15	Feb_24_2012	20.52	22.35	22.59	22.89	22.9	22.94	23.19(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	10	13	32	2.97	71%	0.2	85.7	2.03%	0	1.7	61	NAN

16	Feb_23_2012	20.48	22.27	22.53	22.74	22.79	22.76	22.93(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-0	7	27	3.25	71%	0.24	85	2.05%	0	1.3	64	NAN
17	Feb_22_2012	20.43	22.19	22.5	22.57	22.66	22.86	22.74(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	70	8	25	3.87	71%	0.25	80.4	2.09%	0	1.1	65	NAN
18	Feb_21_2012	20.38	22.1	22.47	22.46	22.51	22.82	22.88(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	100	16	34	5.28	71%	0.34	78.3	2.1%	0	1.5	73	NAN
19	Feb_17_2012	20.31	22.02	22.41	22.36	22.32	22.45	22.7(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	40	12	37	8.93	71%	0.2	80.7	2.12%	0	1.2	72	NAN
20	Feb_16_2012	20.27	21.93	22.38	22.24	22.24	22.2	22.43(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10	-3	33	6.06	71%	0.2	81.4	2.12%	0	0.9	62	NAN

21	Feb_15_2012	20.23	21.86	22.34	22.31	22.23	22.19	22.08(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-20	-9	42	5.17	71%	0.15	88.7	2.13%	0	0.4	61	NAN
22	Feb_14_2012	20.2	21.79	22.33	22.42	22.36	22.29	22.19(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-3	60	4.01	71%	0.2	91	2.14%	0	0.6	65	NAN
23	Feb_13_2012	20.16	21.7	22.26	22.48	22.45	22.27	22.38(1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-60	-3	69	3.43	71%	0.25	98.8	2.16%	0	1	71	NAN
24	Feb_10_2012	20.11	21.57	22.16	22.47	22.44	22.42	22.14(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-8	68	4.14	73%	0.2	89.1	2.22%	0	0.7	68	NAN
25	Feb_9_2012	20.07	21.47	22.11	22.53	22.47	22.64	22.74(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	40	11	91	3.98	66%		89.5	2.21%	0	1.5	82	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.