Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $18.7100 (0.86%) ($18.5800 - $18.9400) on Thu. Dec. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $18.7100(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $19.48
5 Day Moving Average   $19.07(-1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.6(-4.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.48(-3.95%)
To recent high   -18.4%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 4% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.53%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.89%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.46%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -6.08%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.57%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_15_2011	20.17	19.48	19.6	19.07	18.93	18.68	18.71(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-110	-10	-32	3.04	53%	-0.35	-37.8	3.26%	0	-1	59	0
2	Dec_14_2011	20.24	19.54	19.78	19.24	19.23	18.8	18.55(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-160	-20	-10	2.85	55%	-0.39	-32.4	3.29%	0	-1.3	57	0
3	Dec_13_2011	20.32	19.63	19.99	19.61	19.51	19.17	18.75(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-140	-19	24	2.93	55%	-0.39	-25.5	3.33%	0	-1.2	52	0
4	Dec_12_2011	20.4	19.71	20.08	19.93	19.8	19.65	19.2(-4.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-70	-13	46	3.78	55%	-0.39	-16.4	3.32%	0	-0.7	53	0
5	Dec_9_2011	20.48	19.79	20.09	20.18	20.06	19.84	20.16(3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-90	-4	62	4.22	55%	-0.29	-5.7	3.26%	0	0.5	54	0

6	Dec_8_2011	20.54	19.78	19.91	20.22	20.22	19.94	19.52(-4.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-100	-12	49	5.18	52%	-0.29	-12	3.31%	0	-0.3	51	0
7	Dec_7_2011	20.6	19.79	19.81	20.4	20.43	20.28	20.4(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-50	-5	51	5.16	56%	-0.29	-11.2	3.29%	0	0.8	56	0
8	Dec_6_2011	20.66	19.82	19.65	20.45	20.5	20.49	20.38(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	0	4	46	2.38	53%	-0.19	-3.2	3.33%	0	0.7	50	0
9	Dec_5_2011	20.7	19.82	19.52	20.24	20.55	20.58	20.46(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	60	12	27	3.77	53%	-0.29	-12.8	3.39%	0	0.8	49	0
10	Dec_2_2011	20.76	19.83	19.42	19.98	20.22	20.51	20.33(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	140	16	6	2.9	52%	-0.24	-30.7	3.42%	0	0.6	43	0

11	Dec_1_2011	20.81	19.88	19.34	19.54	19.89	20.52	20.44(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	16	280	27	-16	3.25	52%	-0.24	-49.4	3.44%	0	0.6	52	0
12	Nov_30_2011	20.86	19.87	19.25	19.11	19.32	19.93	20.63(6.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	9	250	25	-38	6.04	52%	-0.24	-65.8	3.43%	0	0.8	57	0
13	Nov_29_2011	20.91	19.84	19.18	18.76	18.81	19.26	19.33(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	180	11	-71	4.36	49%	-0.29	-81.5	3.33%	0	-0.6	37	0
14	Nov_28_2011	20.97	19.93	19.27	18.71	18.71	18.72	19.18(5.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	0	3	-80	3.62	49%	-0.38	-81.2	3.35%	0	-0.8	40	0
15	Nov_25_2011	21.05	20.09	19.43	18.8	18.67	18.36	18.14(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-140	-18	-86	2.83	45%	-0.66	-61.4	3.27%	0	-1.8	31	0

16	Nov_23_2011	21.19	20.33	19.64	19.09	19.05	18.7	18.28(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-130	-17	-82	3.04	47%	-0.42	-42.1	3.28%	0	-1.8	28	0
17	Nov_22_2011	21.28	20.48	19.79	19.39	19.37	18.99	18.86(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-140	-17	-76	3.76	47%	-0.09	-34.8	3.29%	0	-1.6	40	0
18	Nov_21_2011	21.3	20.6	20.01	19.66	19.63	19.4	19.09(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-90	-16	-55	3.56	47%	-0.37	-28.2	3.29%	0	-1.6	46	0
19	Nov_18_2011	21.38	20.71	20.18	19.91	19.92	19.76	19.65(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-50	-11	-45	11.49	45%	-0.37	-16.9	3.29%	0	-1.2	41	0
20	Nov_17_2011	21.46	20.78	20.3	20.17	20.1	19.85	19.58(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-100	-9	-46	5.82	45%	-0.33	-9	3.37%	0	-1.4	34	0

21	Nov_16_2011	21.53	20.81	20.48	20.27	20.36	20.09	19.75(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-80	-3	-50	8.18	45%	-0.28	-8.9	3.37%	0	-1.3	34	0
22	Nov_15_2011	21.59	20.84	20.57	20.24	20.41	20.35	20.22(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	0	-9	-60	4.32	45%	-0.23	-13.6	3.37%	0	-0.8	47	0
23	Nov_14_2011	21.64	20.84	20.56	20.42	20.3	20.64	20.36(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	100	-1	-55	2.06	45%	-0.28	-4.5	3.39%	0	-0.6	49	0
24	Nov_11_2011	21.7	20.86	20.64	20.5	20.44	20.47	20.93(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	0	9	-49	2.89	47%	-0.18	-1.6	3.38%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Nov_10_2011	21.74	20.85	20.79	20.47	20.41	19.96	20.11(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-160	-15	-48	5.11	43%		8.6	3.4%	0	-0.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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