Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $20.9300 (4.08%) ($20.7000 - $20.9700) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $20.9300(4.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(87%)    EWP(83%)    SPY(79%)    EEM(76%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(0%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.5(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.64(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.86(0.34%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2011	21.7	20.86	20.64	20.5	20.44	20.47	20.93(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	0	9	-49	2.89	47%	-0.18	-1.6	3.38%	0	0.1	50	0
2	Nov_10_2011	21.74	20.85	20.79	20.47	20.41	19.96	20.11(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-160	-15	-48	5.11	43%	-0.32	8.6	3.4%	0	-0.9	48	0
3	Nov_9_2011	21.81	20.88	21.06	20.73	20.57	20.4	19.58(-7.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-80	-15	-15	4.93	45%	-0.32	26.8	3.5%	0	-1.7	51	0
4	Nov_8_2011	21.88	20.94	21.24	20.92	20.91	20.86	21.14(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-20	9	11	3.53	44%	-0.23	50.4	3.45%	0	0.3	58	0
5	Nov_7_2011	21.93	20.9	21.22	20.71	20.79	20.73	20.75(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10	-4	-1	2.55	44%	-0.27	56	3.67%	0	-0.2	53	0

6	Nov_4_2011	21.99	20.87	21.27	20.8	20.63	20.97	20.78(-2.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	90	-10	8	3.57	43%	-0.23	67.6	3.68%	0	-0.1	56	0
7	Nov_3_2011	22.04	20.79	21.29	21.17	20.83	20.86	21.4(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-40	-2	27	3.65	43%	-0.23	78.6	3.8%	0	0.7	54	0
8	Nov_2_2011	22.09	20.68	21.17	21.47	21.16	20.29	20.54(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-330	-14	33	5.71	40%	-0.27	79.9	3.76%	0	-0.1	52	0
9	Nov_1_2011	22.15	20.58	21.14	21.6	21.7	20.8	20.08(-5.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-280	-23	32	9.79	39%	-0.27	72.1	3.78%	0	-0.4	49	0
10	Oct_31_2011	22.21	20.49	21.21	21.6	21.99	22.04	21.2(-6.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	40	-7	51	5.19	41%	-0.22	63.6	3.74%	0	0.5	59	0

11	Oct_28_2011	22.26	20.31	21.11	21.78	21.87	22.61	22.62(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	250	21	65	6.75	42%	-0.18	59.2	3.67%	0	1.7	69	0
12	Oct_27_2011	22.3	20.09	20.92	21.43	21.48	21.95	22.92(8.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	40	160	30	68	26.59	42%	-0.18	58.2	3.67%	0	2.2	77	0
13	Oct_26_2011	22.34	19.89	20.67	20.85	21	21.13	21.19(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	60	10	48	5.37	38%	-0.27	59.5	3.53%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Oct_25_2011	22.4	19.77	20.61	20.64	20.7	21.02	20.95(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	120	6	55	7.75	38%	-0.22	57.9	3.53%	0	1.1	73	0
15	Oct_24_2011	22.45	19.67	20.53	20.57	20.51	20.86	21.2(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	110	14	75	2.41	38%	-0.27	57.6	3.53%	0	1.4	78	0

16	Oct_21_2011	22.51	19.52	20.41	20.57	20.36	20.37	20.87(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	0	4	83	3.27	39%	-0.22	50.5	3.52%	0	1.3	79	0
17	Oct_20_2011	22.56	19.37	20.23	20.35	20.25	20.16	20.03(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-50	-8	88	4.27	37%	-0.31	42.6	3.49%	0	0.6	65	0
18	Oct_19_2011	22.63	19.25	20.15	20.46	20.46	20.35	20.14(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-40	-3	97	3.01	37%	-0.31	37.8	3.5%	0	0.8	56	0
19	Oct_18_2011	22.7	19.16	19.99	20.56	20.5	20.34	20.6(2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-60	-2	104	5.12	37%	-0.09	39.5	3.49%	0	1.3	62	0
20	Oct_17_2011	22.72	19.07	19.72	20.47	20.57	20.58	20.1(-3.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	20	-0	92	3.77	37%	-0.26	43.9	3.48%	0	1	57	0

21	Oct_14_2011	22.78	19	19.48	20.46	20.49	20.67	20.87(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	70	15	94	3.75	38%	-0.26	50	3.46%	0	1.9	66	0
22	Oct_13_2011	22.84	18.91	19.21	20.08	20.22	20.56	20.58(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	140	15	80	2.84	39%	-0.22	50.9	3.45%	0	1.8	68	0
23	Oct_12_2011	22.89	18.84	19.06	19.79	19.89	20.3	20.67(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	160	24	85	4.99	39%	-0.26	50	3.46%	0	2.2	70	0
24	Oct_11_2011	22.95	18.74	18.84	19.33	19.4	19.88	20.12(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	180	24	67	5.48	38%	-0.22	35.2	3.44%	0	1.9	61	0
25	Oct_10_2011	23	18.63	18.72	18.87	18.96	19.47	20.07(5.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	34	200	30	45	3.96	38%		14.1	3.48%	0	2.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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