Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: EWG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Germany ETF)
EWG latest price $19.6200 (-2.73%) ($19.5300 - $20.3200) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $19.6200(-2.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWG declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWG declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(88%)    EWP(84%)    SPY(80%)    EEM(77%)    IWM(75%)
Factors Impacting EWG price   EWG will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $22.75
5 Day Moving Average   $20.98(-6.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.92(-6.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.75(-13.76%)
To recent high   -27.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWG price fluctuates within 10.42% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.9%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.66%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2011	25.89	22.75	20.92	20.98	20.8	20.01	19.62(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-59	-290	-35	-130	7.35	32%	-0.27	-49.8	2.84%	0	-1.3	31	0
2	Aug_18_2011	25.96	23.1	21.22	21.36	21.36	20.93	20.17(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-140	-20	-131	6.25	32%	-0.23	-45.5	2.83%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Aug_17_2011	26.02	23.41	21.43	21.53	21.66	21.58	21.46(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	-10	9	-145	4.3	34%	-0.15	-43.8	2.74%	0	-0.9	34	0
4	Aug_16_2011	26.06	23.63	21.67	21.24	21.41	21.79	21.56(-2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-41	150	4	-177	9.16	34%	-0.11	-47.7	2.74%	0	-0.9	33	0
5	Aug_15_2011	26.09	23.83	21.88	21.23	21.13	21.74	22.09(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	190	27	-192	2.97	34%	-0.15	-48.2	2.73%	0	-0.8	32	0

6	Aug_12_2011	26.13	24	22.14	20.88	20.92	21.04	21.53(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-55	50	4	-232	5.37	33%	-0.15	-53.3	2.72%	0	-1.1	31	0
7	Aug_11_2011	26.17	24.21	22.53	21.1	20.78	20.51	20.99(4.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-140	-19	-240	7.73	32%	-0.15	-54.6	2.69%	0	-1.5	28	0
8	Aug_10_2011	26.21	24.45	22.98	21.34	21.26	20.79	20.01(-7.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-93	-170	-40	-250	11.21	29%	-0.19	-59	2.62%	0	-2.2	22	0
9	Aug_9_2011	26.26	24.76	23.59	22.16	21.84	21.05	21.54(5.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-300	-39	-221	13.3	31%	-0.11	-59.8	2.49%	0	-1.9	31	0
10	Aug_8_2011	26.29	24.95	24.11	22.63	22.54	21.73	20.33(-10.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-100	-260	-63	-209	16.35	26%	-0.19	-64	2.36%	0	-3	22	0

11	Aug_5_2011	26.34	25.23	24.75	23.56	23.36	22.63	22.64(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-82	-240	-54	-167	9.48	28%	-0.04	-70.3	2.02%	0	-2.2	34	0
12	Aug_4_2011	26.35	25.44	25.15	24.18	24.06	23.35	22.17(-8.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-74	-220	-57	-125	14.02	26%	-0.04	-64.5	2.01%	0	-3	27	0
13	Aug_3_2011	26.36	25.7	25.59	24.87	24.8	24.1	24.11(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-210	-43	-74	7.83	30%	0	-61	1.77%	0	-2	40	0
14	Aug_2_2011	26.36	25.84	25.78	25.24	25.22	24.78	23.91(-4.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-54	-120	-54	-52	6.67	30%	-0.04	-48	1.76%	0	-2.5	36	0
15	Aug_1_2011	26.37	25.99	25.98	25.81	25.72	25.49	24.98(-2.88%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-18	-70	-26	8	8.71	32%	0	-24.7	1.69%	0	-1.6	51	0

16	Jul_29_2011	26.37	26.1	26.03	26.13	26.07	25.67	25.72(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-110	-19	35	2.51	34%	0	2.1	1.67%	0	-0.6	55	0
17	Jul_28_2011	26.37	26.16	26.04	26.28	26.27	25.94	25.61(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-90	-26	33	3.03	34%	0	15.9	1.67%	0	-0.9	41	0
18	Jul_27_2011	26.37	26.16	26.03	26.43	26.45	26.48	25.97(-2.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	10	-2	35	4.55	37%	0.04	25.4	1.67%	0	-0.4	39	0
19	Jul_26_2011	26.36	26.2	26.01	26.4	26.46	26.59	26.77(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	40	20	29	3.84	39%	0.04	16.7	1.65%	0	0.9	48	0
20	Jul_25_2011	26.35	26.15	25.85	26.18	26.22	26.42	26.56(0.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	11	60	18	-12	8.84	39%	0	1.7	1.66%	0	0.7	44	0

21	Jul_22_2011	26.35	26.09	25.85	25.93	26.01	26.33	26.47(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	100	22	-52	2.16	39%	0	-15.9	1.66%	0	0.6	42	0
22	Jul_21_2011	26.35	26.06	25.73	25.77	25.73	26.01	26.38(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	70	21	-68	5.66	39%	0.04	-23.2	1.67%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Jul_20_2011	26.34	26.04	25.77	25.59	25.58	25.69	25.81(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	30	8	-81	2.82	41%	0	-29.8	1.65%	0	-0.4	45	0
24	Jul_19_2011	26.34	26.1	25.86	25.57	25.58	25.45	25.67(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-30	4	-73	5.37	41%	0	-27.2	1.73%	0	-0.6	49	0
25	Jul_18_2011	26.34	26.14	25.98	25.46	25.57	25.47	25.3(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-7	-71	4.22	39%		-31.3	1.72%	0	-1.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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